NYSE$TAP

Molson Coors Brewing Co · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Molson Coors reported a strong start to the year with top-line growth and increased income before income taxes, driven by both business units and supported by elevated demand in the U.S.

Molson Coors reported a 10.7% increase in net sales and a 160.5% increase in U.S. GAAP income before income taxes for the first quarter of 2024. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance for top-line and bottom-line growth, driven by the strength of its core power brands and above-premium portfolio.

  • Net sales increased by 10.7% reported and 10.1% in constant currency.
  • U.S. GAAP income before income taxes increased 160.5% reported.
  • Underlying income before income taxes improved 68.8% in constant currency.
  • Underlying EPS of $0.95 per share increased 75.9%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.05B

Previous: $2.77B+9.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.95

Previous: $0.54+75.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$215M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$208M

Previous: $72.5M+186.6%
Net Income

$208M

Previous: $72.5M+186.6%
Operating Income

$314M

Previous: $158M+98.7%
Gross Profit

$964M

Previous: $771M+25.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$458M

Previous: $328M+39.7%
Total Assets

$26.1B

Previous: $25.9B+0.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Molson Coors · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.05B

Q1 2024+9.9%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Molson Coors · $3.3B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Americas Segment Net Sales
    $2.63B+10.8%
  • EMEA&APAC Segment Net Sales
    $670M+19.2%

Forward guidance

The company continues to expect to achieve its key financial targets for full year 2024, including a low single-digit increase in net sales and a mid single-digit increase in underlying income before income taxes and underlying diluted earnings per share.

Tailwinds

  • U.S. brand volume is expected to outpace domestic shipment volume during the remaining three quarters of 2024.
  • Capital expenditures: $750 million incurred, plus or minus 5%.
  • Underlying free cash flow: $1.2 billion, plus or minus 10%.
  • Underlying depreciation and amortization: $700 million, plus or minus 5%.
  • Consolidated net interest expense: $210 million, plus or minus 5%.

Headwinds

  • The wind down of a contract brewing agreement leading up to the termination by the end of 2024 is expected to result in a reduction in Americas' financial volume by 1.6 million hectoliters for the balance of the year.
  • Underlying COGS per hectoliter are expected to be higher in full year 2024 as compared to full year 2023.
  • This is due to expected continued, albeit moderating inflation, mix impacts from premiumization and a lower volume leverage impact as compared to full year 2023 and the first quarter of 2024.
  • MG&A expense for full year 2024 is expected to be relatively flat to full year 2023.
  • Underlying effective tax rate: in the range of 23% to 25% for 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 72 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.0%-0.5%-6.9%
Q4 2025+0.8%-1.8%-18.5%
Q3 2025+1.0%+7.2%+5.4%
Q1 2025-4.6%-2.9%-8.5%
Q4 2024+9.5%+13.4%+11.5%
Q3 2024+5.4%+9.5%+8.2%
Q2 2024+1.9%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024-10.2%-9.0%-16.3%
Q4 2023-1.1%+0.1%+6.2%
Q3 2023+1.4%+1.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-3.5%-6.4%-9.0%
Q1 2023+7.5%+7.3%+3.1%
Q4 2022+1.8%+3.4%-4.7%
Q3 2022-2.2%+1.5%+9.0%
Q2 2022-9.2%-9.4%-13.9%
Q1 2022-2.0%-2.2%-0.6%
Q4 2021+1.7%+7.4%+11.1%
Q3 2021+1.1%+4.6%+4.5%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.8%-4.1%
Q1 2021+5.9%+8.8%+12.4%
Q4 2020-10.1%-9.1%-4.8%
Q3 2020+7.1%+17.5%+42.2%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2020-15.7%-18.9%-17.8%
Q4 2019-4.6%-4.8%-26.7%
Q3 2019-3.6%-2.0%-7.7%
Q2 2019-7.8%-11.1%-9.8%
Q1 2019-6.7%-5.0%-14.3%
Q4 2018-8.7%-6.8%-7.5%
Q3 2018+13.4%+8.4%+13.0%
Q2 2018+2.7%+3.1%-0.4%
Q1 2018-17.1%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2017+8.0%+7.6%+5.9%
Q3 2017-2.2%-2.4%-2.1%
Q2 2017+1.9%+0.7%+0.9%
Q1 2017-3.8%-1.5%+1.6%
Q4 2016+2.9%+5.6%+2.1%
Q3 2016-0.2%-1.0%-8.8%
Q2 2016-1.2%-1.8%+1.6%
Q1 2016+1.4%
Q4 2015-0.0%
Q3 2015+0.2%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2014-4.4%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+3.7%
Q1 2014+6.2%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013+5.4%
Q1 2013-2.5%
Q4 2012-2.4%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+2.4%
Q4 2009-3.0%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010-2.1%
Q2 2009+1.7%
Q4 2007+1.7%
Q3 2009-2.9%
Q3 2008-2.9%
Q4 2008-2.4%
Q2 2008-2.4%

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