NYSE$SAM

Boston Beer Co Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Boston Beer reported flat depletions and a 0.5% decrease in shipments, with net revenue increasing by 2.2% and gross margin improving by 230 basis points year over year.

The Boston Beer Company reported mixed financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 28, 2024. While depletions were flat and shipments decreased slightly, net revenue increased by 2.2% and gross margin saw a significant improvement. However, the company reported a GAAP diluted loss per share, primarily due to a contract settlement expense.

  • Depletions were flat and shipments decreased 0.5% in the fourth quarter.
  • Net revenue increased 2.2% to $402.3 million.
  • Gross margin improved by 230 basis points year over year to 39.9%.
  • GAAP diluted loss per share was $3.38, including a $1.70 per share contract settlement expense.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$402M

Previous: $394M+2.2%
EPS (adj)

-$1.68

Previous: -$1.49-12.8%
Gross Margin

39.9%

Previous: 37.6%+6.1%
APS Expenses

$140M

Previous: $129M+8.5%
G&A Expenses

$47.7M

Previous: $43.7M+9.1%
Effective Tax Rate

27.7%

Previous: 18.3%+51.4%
Barrels Sold

1.5M

Previous: 1.5M-0.5%
Net Income

-$38.8M

Previous: -$18.1M-113.8%
Operating Income

-$56M

Previous: -$25.9M-116.1%
Gross Profit

$161M

Previous: $148M+8.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Boston Beer · Revenue · Quarterly

$402M

Q4 2024+2.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the full year 2025, Boston Beer projects depletions and shipments to be down low single digit to up low single digit, with net revenue increasing by 1% to 2%. GAAP EPS is expected to be between $8.00 and $10.50.

Tailwinds

  • Advertising investment will be stepped up in 2025 to strengthen brands and drive long-term sustainable growth.
  • Strong balance sheet and cash flow generation allow for increased advertising investment and continued share repurchases.
  • First half 2025 shipments are expected to be at the high end of the full year guidance range due to timing of estimated demand and wholesaler inventory levels for certain brands.
  • The Company expects its December 28, 2024 cash balance of $211.8 million, together with projected future operating cash flows and unused line of credit, will be sufficient to fund future cash requirements.
  • The benefit of lapping CEO transition costs incurred in 2024 is expected to offset an increase in estimated incentive compensation at target for 2025.

Headwinds

  • Actual 2025 results could vary significantly from current projections due to changes in volume projections, supply chain performance, and inflationary impacts.
  • Projections do not include any impact related to potential tariffs.
  • The Company's business is seasonal, with the first and fourth quarters being lower volume quarters and the fourth quarter typically having the lowest absolute gross margin rate.
  • During full year 2025, shortfall fees are estimated to negatively impact gross margin by 60 to 80 basis points.
  • Non-cash expense of third-party production pre-payments will negatively impact gross margins by 40 to 60 basis points in 2025.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+24.7%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-24.6%

Q2 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.2%-12.8%-25.2%
Q4 2025-7.1%-1.9%+1.0%
Q3 2025+5.7%-3.0%-10.8%
Q1 2025+2.3%+1.4%-4.3%
Q4 2024+3.0%+5.9%+2.2%
Q3 2024-1.8%-0.9%+3.7%
Q2 2024+7.0%+2.7%+3.7%
Q1 2024-3.4%-5.1%-11.1%
Q4 2023-13.3%-15.3%-15.3%
Q3 2023-14.2%-10.3%-8.3%
Q2 2023+16.5%+16.9%+13.1%
Q1 2023+1.8%-0.2%+1.9%
Q4 2022-13.1%-14.7%-19.6%
Q3 2022+20.0%+23.8%+12.3%
Q2 2022+6.6%+7.8%+10.1%
Q1 2022-2.9%-0.4%-8.9%
Q4 2021-6.0%-10.5%-4.9%
Q3 2021+2.8%-2.2%-9.1%
Q2 2021-24.6%-23.0%-36.8%
Q1 2021+2.3%-3.2%-16.7%
Q4 2020-4.3%-11.7%-5.2%
Q3 2020+19.8%+18.2%+3.0%
Q2 2020+24.7%+23.1%+33.0%
Q1 2020+5.9%+11.3%+26.7%
Q4 2019-7.0%-4.9%-28.1%
Q3 2019-1.0%+2.4%+4.1%
Q2 2019+3.3%+0.3%+11.3%
Q1 2019+8.0%+9.5%+20.8%
Q4 2018+14.1%+13.2%+6.4%
Q3 2018-0.3%+13.7%+1.2%
Q2 2018-15.1%-15.9%-4.5%
Q1 2018-0.8%+2.7%+10.0%
Q4 2017-13.6%-12.4%-3.3%
Q3 2017-7.1%-1.1%-1.3%
Q2 2017+15.0%+18.2%+10.7%
Q1 2017-2.4%-0.1%+0.4%
Q4 2016-6.4%-6.6%-11.6%
Q3 2016+1.5%+1.6%+3.2%
Q2 2016+14.6%+10.5%+13.8%
Q1 2016-10.5%
Q4 2015-4.0%
Q3 2015-10.7%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-7.8%
Q4 2014-10.9%
Q3 2014+8.5%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014-1.2%
Q4 2013+1.9%
Q3 2013-6.6%
Q2 2013+13.1%
Q1 2013-13.3%
Q4 2012-4.9%
Q3 2012+8.4%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q1 2011+5.0%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q1 2010-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q2 2011-0.2%
Q3 2011+11.9%
Q4 2010-3.6%
Q2 2010-3.6%

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