NYSE$SAM

Boston Beer Co Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Boston Beer's financial performance declined due to hard seltzer category slowdown and supply chain challenges.

Boston Beer reported a decrease in fourth-quarter net revenue and a net loss, primarily driven by shipment decreases and indirect volume adjustment costs related to Truly Hard Seltzer. Despite these challenges, the company saw growth in depletions and aims to level set inventory levels and reset their growth model to benefit from future category growth.

  • Fourth quarter depletions increased 15%, while shipments decreased 24.5%.
  • Net revenue for the fourth quarter decreased by 24.5% to $348.1 million.
  • The company experienced a net loss of $51.8 million, or $4.22 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $32.8 million in the same quarter of the previous year.
  • The fourth quarter net loss was primarily driven by a more aggressive wholesaler inventory reduction than expected, mainly affecting Truly Hard Seltzer, with indirect volume adjustment costs reaching $52.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$348M

Previous: $461M-24.5%
EPS (adj)

-$4.22

Previous: $2.64-259.8%
Capital Expenditures

$27M

Previous: $39.7M-31.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$21.7M

Previous: $4.83M-549.1%
Net Income

-$51.8M

Previous: $32.8M-257.8%
Operating Income

-$72.9M

Previous: $42.1M-273.1%
Gross Profit

$99.8M

Previous: $216M-53.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$26.9M

Previous: $163M-83.6%
Total Assets

$1.39B

Previous: $1.38B+0.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.61M

Previous: $4.55M+1.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Boston Beer · Revenue · Quarterly

$348M

Q4 2021-24.5%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company currently projects full-year 2022 Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share of between $11.00 and $16.00.

Tailwinds

  • Depletions and shipments increase of between 4% and 10%.
  • National price increases of between 3% and 5%.
  • Gross margin of between 45% and 48%.
  • Increased investments in advertising, promotional and selling expenses of between $0 and $20 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+24.7%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-24.6%

Q2 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.2%-12.8%-25.2%
Q4 2025-7.1%-1.9%+1.0%
Q3 2025+5.7%-3.0%-10.8%
Q1 2025+2.3%+1.4%-4.3%
Q4 2024+3.0%+5.9%+2.2%
Q3 2024-1.8%-0.9%+3.7%
Q2 2024+7.0%+2.7%+3.7%
Q1 2024-3.4%-5.1%-11.1%
Q4 2023-13.3%-15.3%-15.3%
Q3 2023-14.2%-10.3%-8.3%
Q2 2023+16.5%+16.9%+13.1%
Q1 2023+1.8%-0.2%+1.9%
Q4 2022-13.1%-14.7%-19.6%
Q3 2022+20.0%+23.8%+12.3%
Q2 2022+6.6%+7.8%+10.1%
Q1 2022-2.9%-0.4%-8.9%
Q4 2021-6.0%-10.5%-4.9%
Q3 2021+2.8%-2.2%-9.1%
Q2 2021-24.6%-23.0%-36.8%
Q1 2021+2.3%-3.2%-16.7%
Q4 2020-4.3%-11.7%-5.2%
Q3 2020+19.8%+18.2%+3.0%
Q2 2020+24.7%+23.1%+33.0%
Q1 2020+5.9%+11.3%+26.7%
Q4 2019-7.0%-4.9%-28.1%
Q3 2019-1.0%+2.4%+4.1%
Q2 2019+3.3%+0.3%+11.3%
Q1 2019+8.0%+9.5%+20.8%
Q4 2018+14.1%+13.2%+6.4%
Q3 2018-0.3%+13.7%+1.2%
Q2 2018-15.1%-15.9%-4.5%
Q1 2018-0.8%+2.7%+10.0%
Q4 2017-13.6%-12.4%-3.3%
Q3 2017-7.1%-1.1%-1.3%
Q2 2017+15.0%+18.2%+10.7%
Q1 2017-2.4%-0.1%+0.4%
Q4 2016-6.4%-6.6%-11.6%
Q3 2016+1.5%+1.6%+3.2%
Q2 2016+14.6%+10.5%+13.8%
Q1 2016-10.5%
Q4 2015-4.0%
Q3 2015-10.7%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-7.8%
Q4 2014-10.9%
Q3 2014+8.5%
Q2 2014+1.2%
Q1 2014-1.2%
Q4 2013+1.9%
Q3 2013-6.6%
Q2 2013+13.1%
Q1 2013-13.3%
Q4 2012-4.9%
Q3 2012+8.4%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q1 2011+5.0%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q1 2010-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q2 2011-0.2%
Q3 2011+11.9%
Q4 2010-3.6%
Q2 2010-3.6%

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