NYSE$RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rayonier AM experienced a loss due to weak commodity pricing but took actions to improve margins and reduce costs.

Rayonier Advanced Materials reported a loss from continuing operations of $57 million, or $0.91 loss per diluted common share, compared to income from continuing operations of $7 million, or $0.07 earnings per diluted common share for the prior year. The adjusted loss from continuing operations was $49 million, or $0.78 loss per diluted common share, compared to adjusted income from continuing operations of $7 million, or $0.08 earnings per diluted common share for the prior year comparable quarter.

  • Loss from continuing operations was $57 million due primarily to weak commodity pricing.
  • Implemented strategy to increase margins for Cellulose Specialties.
  • Reduced capital expenditures and debt.
  • Initiating actions to evaluate alternatives for non-core assets and additional cost reductions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$468M

Previous: $526M-11.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.78

Previous: $0.19-510.5%
Interest Expense

$18M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$22M

Previous: $39.6M-44.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$4.16M

Previous: $47M-108.8%
Net Income

$29M

Previous: $13M+123.1%
Operating Income

-$32M

Previous: $29M-210.3%
Gross Profit

$12M

Previous: $66M-81.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$64M

Previous: $109M-41.3%
Total Assets

$2.48B

Previous: $2.68B-7.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$835K

Previous: $2.86M-70.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Rayonier AM · Revenue · Quarterly

$468M

Q4 2019-11%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rayonier AM · $103M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • High-Yield Pulp
    $54M-10.0%
  • Paperboard
    $49M+2.1%

Forward guidance

The Company expects cost savings and cash preservation plan of $60 to $70 million for 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Cellulose Specialties prices are expected to increase approximately 2 percent.
  • Lumber demand is rebounding due to increased housing starts and remodeling activity.
  • Paperboard margins should improve as raw material costs for pulp have declined.
  • High-yield pulp prices appear to have reached the bottom in the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Newsprint sales volumes are expected to increase due to improved productivity.

Headwinds

  • Cellulose Specialties volumes are expected to decline due to a ramp down in certain contractual volumes.
  • Pricing for commodity products are currently at decades lows.
  • Duties on lumber sales from Canada into the U.S. will continue to impact financial results.
  • Newsprint prices remain challenged due to demand weakness.
  • It is unclear how the current health crisis will impact the high-yield pulp business.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.3%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

23 / 53 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-40.2%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.7%-0.6%
Q4 2025+16.5%+9.6%+13.3%
Q3 2025-8.9%-4.3%-3.5%
Q1 2025-6.6%-7.1%-7.6%
Q4 2024-17.6%-28.0%-33.5%
Q3 2024+20.9%+22.5%+5.3%
Q2 2024+33.5%+30.0%+39.9%
Q1 2024-0.5%+12.2%+36.9%
Q4 2023-21.9%-13.7%+9.1%
Q3 2023+4.4%+6.7%+17.5%
Q2 2023-23.4%-23.2%-30.2%
Q1 2023-17.5%-21.1%-20.6%
Q4 2022+27.9%+30.3%-3.7%
Q3 2022+31.9%+56.9%+73.8%
Q2 2022+15.3%+26.5%+14.7%
Q1 2022+14.4%+5.3%-25.7%
Q4 2021+6.4%+13.3%+29.9%
Q3 2021-5.3%-10.1%-26.0%
Q2 2021-4.3%+2.4%+3.0%
Q1 2021-26.7%-18.6%-17.4%
Q4 2020-7.8%+22.7%+8.0%
Q3 2020+12.9%+11.4%+114.7%
Q2 2020+10.2%+10.9%+11.9%
Q1 2020+9.4%+41.7%+130.9%
Q4 2019-17.8%-9.3%-55.2%
Q3 2019-18.6%+0.9%-8.8%
Q2 2019-40.2%-41.6%-22.7%
Q1 2019-35.2%-40.0%-52.9%
Q4 2018-6.0%-3.7%-13.1%
Q3 2018+6.0%+5.9%+5.0%
Q2 2018+11.4%+14.6%+17.9%
Q1 2018-8.7%-5.1%-9.6%
Q4 2017+12.3%+10.2%+9.7%
Q3 2017+7.2%+16.0%+30.5%
Q2 2017-5.5%-7.1%-7.1%
Q1 2017-8.1%+0.5%+31.2%
Q4 2016-20.8%-19.6%-21.8%
Q3 2016-5.6%-8.9%+5.1%
Q2 2016+4.7%-11.0%-10.7%
Q1 2016+34.0%
Q4 2015-0.4%
Q3 2015+15.5%
Q2 2015+15.4%
Q1 2014+12.4%
Q1 2015+12.4%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2014-9.4%
Q3 2013-3.4%
Q3 2014-8.1%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q2 2014-12.6%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro