NYSE$RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc · Q1 2023 earnings
Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Rayonier AM's Q1 2023 financial performance reflected increased net sales and improved profitability, driven by strong demand and operational efficiencies.
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. reported net income of $2 million for the quarter ended April 1, 2023, a significant improvement compared to the net loss of $25 million in the prior year quarter. The company's net sales increased by 33 percent to $467 million, and adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations rose by 155 percent to $51 million. RYAM reaffirmed its 2023 Adjusted EBITDA guidance and increased its Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance.
- Net sales increased by 33 percent year-over-year to $467 million.
- Income from continuing operations improved by 108 percent year-over-year to $2 million.
- Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations increased by 155 percent year-over-year to $51 million.
- The company reaffirmed its 2023 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $200 million to $215 million and increased its Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance to $40 million to $65 million.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Rayonier AM · Revenue · Quarterly
$467M
Revenue by segment
Rayonier AM · $101M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023
- Paperboard$59M+9.3%58.4%
- High-Yield Pulp$42M+90.9%41.6%
Forward guidance
RYAM expects income (loss) from continuing operations to be between $(8) million and $12 million, with Adjusted EBITDA between $200 million and $215 million for 2023. The Company expects to generate $40 million to $65 million of Adjusted Free Cash Flow in 2023.
Tailwinds
- Average sales prices for cellulose specialties in 2023 are expected to be high single digit percent higher than average 2022 sales prices.
- Commodity sales volumes are expected to increase as production and logistics constraints improve.
- Additional benefits from prior strategic capital investments are expected throughout the year.
- Paperboard prices are expected to moderate slightly over the balance of the year but remain elevated from 2022 levels, while sales volumes are expected to remain steady.
- Sales volumes for high-yield pulp are expected to improve slightly in 2023, primarily due to improved logistics and production reliability.
Headwinds
- Strength in acetate and certain other cellulose specialty end markets is offsetting softness in construction and food-related end markets.
- Market demand for commodity products remains resilient but at lower prices than first quarter levels.
- Fluff sales prices are expected to decline versus 2022 levels, in line with industry forecasts.
- High-yield pulp markets have declined as global economic demand slows and new capacity ramps up, impacting sales price.
- The Company experienced a slower than anticipated return to production after the annual maintenance outage of its Tartas facility, which has been completed but is expected to impact the second quarter.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023
-0.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
+2.0%
Avg return
5 days after
+6.3%
Avg return
30 days after
43%
23 / 53 earnings
Positive
+34.0%
Q1 2016
Best reaction
-40.2%
Q2 2019
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +5.7% | -0.6% | — | |
| Q4 2025 | +16.5% | +9.6% | +13.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | -8.9% | -4.3% | -3.5% | |
| Q1 2025 | -6.6% | -7.1% | -7.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | -17.6% | -28.0% | -33.5% | |
| Q3 2024 | +20.9% | +22.5% | +5.3% | |
| Q2 2024 | +33.5% | +30.0% | +39.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | -0.5% | +12.2% | +36.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | -21.9% | -13.7% | +9.1% | |
| Q3 2023 | +4.4% | +6.7% | +17.5% | |
| Q2 2023 | -23.4% | -23.2% | -30.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | -17.5% | -21.1% | -20.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | +27.9% | +30.3% | -3.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | +31.9% | +56.9% | +73.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | +15.3% | +26.5% | +14.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | +14.4% | +5.3% | -25.7% | |
| Q4 2021 | +6.4% | +13.3% | +29.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | -5.3% | -10.1% | -26.0% | |
| Q2 2021 | -4.3% | +2.4% | +3.0% | |
| Q1 2021 | -26.7% | -18.6% | -17.4% | |
| Q4 2020 | -7.8% | +22.7% | +8.0% | |
| Q3 2020 | +12.9% | +11.4% | +114.7% | |
| Q2 2020 | +10.2% | +10.9% | +11.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | +9.4% | +41.7% | +130.9% | |
| Q4 2019 | -17.8% | -9.3% | -55.2% | |
| Q3 2019 | -18.6% | +0.9% | -8.8% | |
| Q2 2019 | -40.2% | -41.6% | -22.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | -35.2% | -40.0% | -52.9% | |
| Q4 2018 | -6.0% | -3.7% | -13.1% | |
| Q3 2018 | +6.0% | +5.9% | +5.0% | |
| Q2 2018 | +11.4% | +14.6% | +17.9% | |
| Q1 2018 | -8.7% | -5.1% | -9.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | +12.3% | +10.2% | +9.7% | |
| Q3 2017 | +7.2% | +16.0% | +30.5% | |
| Q2 2017 | -5.5% | -7.1% | -7.1% | |
| Q1 2017 | -8.1% | +0.5% | +31.2% | |
| Q4 2016 | -20.8% | -19.6% | -21.8% | |
| Q3 2016 | -5.6% | -8.9% | +5.1% | |
| Q2 2016 | +4.7% | -11.0% | -10.7% | |
| Q1 2016 | +34.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +15.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +15.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +12.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +12.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -9.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -8.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -12.6% | — | — |
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