NYSE$RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rayonier AM's Q3 2021 performance was influenced by the sale of lumber and newsprint assets and strategic initiatives, resulting in a net loss despite higher HPC and HYP prices.

Rayonier Advanced Materials reported a net loss of $5 million for Q3 2021, compared to a net income of $29 million in the same quarter of the previous year. The company completed the sale of its lumber and newsprint assets for approximately $232 million and repaid $127 million of senior unsecured debt and $25 million of senior secured debt. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $35 million, up $3 million from the comparable quarter in 2020.

  • Completed sale of lumber and newsprint assets for approximately $232 million, resulting in an estimated gain of $6 million after tax.
  • Retired $127 million of senior unsecured debt and an additional $25 million of senior secured debt.
  • Expect significant price increases on the majority of cellulose specialties contracts in 2022.
  • Net loss from continuing operations was $13 million, $26 million unfavorable to the comparable period in 2020 due to income tax benefits recorded in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$374M

Previous: $424M-11.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.21

Previous: $0.45-146.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$35M

Previous: $55M-36.4%
Interest Expense

$17M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$4.76M

Previous: -$14M+65.9%
Net Income

-$4.76M

Previous: $28.9M-116.5%
Operating Income

$2.83M

Previous: $17.4M-83.7%
Gross Profit

$19.3M

Previous: $50M-61.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$279M

Previous: $82.9M+236.8%
Total Assets

$2.47B

Previous: $2.49B-0.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.3M

Previous: $1.68M-22.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Rayonier AM · Revenue · Quarterly

$374M

Q3 2021-11.8%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rayonier AM · $94M total across 2 segments · Q3 2021

  • Paperboard
    $52M+10.6%
  • High-Yield Pulp
    $42M+10.5%

Forward guidance

Rayonier AM is focused on driving price increases for cellulose specialties, lowering costs, improving reliability, driving returns on strategic investments, and funding attractive R&D and innovation initiatives to grow consolidated EBITDA margins significantly over the next three to five years.

Tailwinds

  • Significant price increases expected on the majority of cellulose specialties contracts in 2022.
  • Strong demand for cellulose specialties volumes.
  • Company well-positioned to offset inflationary pressures in 2022.
  • Investments in reliability, strategic growth, and innovation are expected to drive significant incremental margins in the coming years.
  • Tartas green energy project is fully operational and the Company anticipates realizing $10 million in annualized benefits from this investment.

Headwinds

  • Prices for commodity products are expected to moderate for the fourth quarter.
  • Total segment volumes are expected to decline for the full year mainly due to logistics constraints.
  • Logistic and shipping constraints may negatively impact sales volumes in the near term.
  • Key costs remain difficult to predict, with prices for energy, wood, chemicals, and logistics costs expected to escalate further in the fourth quarter and into 2022.
  • Pulp market prices have recently declined and lower realized prices are expected for the remainder of the year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.3%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

23 / 53 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-40.2%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.7%-0.6%
Q4 2025+16.5%+9.6%+13.3%
Q3 2025-8.9%-4.3%-3.5%
Q1 2025-6.6%-7.1%-7.6%
Q4 2024-17.6%-28.0%-33.5%
Q3 2024+20.9%+22.5%+5.3%
Q2 2024+33.5%+30.0%+39.9%
Q1 2024-0.5%+12.2%+36.9%
Q4 2023-21.9%-13.7%+9.1%
Q3 2023+4.4%+6.7%+17.5%
Q2 2023-23.4%-23.2%-30.2%
Q1 2023-17.5%-21.1%-20.6%
Q4 2022+27.9%+30.3%-3.7%
Q3 2022+31.9%+56.9%+73.8%
Q2 2022+15.3%+26.5%+14.7%
Q1 2022+14.4%+5.3%-25.7%
Q4 2021+6.4%+13.3%+29.9%
Q3 2021-5.3%-10.1%-26.0%
Q2 2021-4.3%+2.4%+3.0%
Q1 2021-26.7%-18.6%-17.4%
Q4 2020-7.8%+22.7%+8.0%
Q3 2020+12.9%+11.4%+114.7%
Q2 2020+10.2%+10.9%+11.9%
Q1 2020+9.4%+41.7%+130.9%
Q4 2019-17.8%-9.3%-55.2%
Q3 2019-18.6%+0.9%-8.8%
Q2 2019-40.2%-41.6%-22.7%
Q1 2019-35.2%-40.0%-52.9%
Q4 2018-6.0%-3.7%-13.1%
Q3 2018+6.0%+5.9%+5.0%
Q2 2018+11.4%+14.6%+17.9%
Q1 2018-8.7%-5.1%-9.6%
Q4 2017+12.3%+10.2%+9.7%
Q3 2017+7.2%+16.0%+30.5%
Q2 2017-5.5%-7.1%-7.1%
Q1 2017-8.1%+0.5%+31.2%
Q4 2016-20.8%-19.6%-21.8%
Q3 2016-5.6%-8.9%+5.1%
Q2 2016+4.7%-11.0%-10.7%
Q1 2016+34.0%
Q4 2015-0.4%
Q3 2015+15.5%
Q2 2015+15.4%
Q1 2014+12.4%
Q1 2015+12.4%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2014-9.4%
Q3 2013-3.4%
Q3 2014-8.1%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q2 2014-12.6%

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