NYSE$RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rayonier AM's Q3 2024 financial performance improved with increased sales and adjusted EBITDA, but net loss persisted due to non-cash charges.

Rayonier Advanced Materials reported net sales of $401 million for Q3 2024, up from $369 million in the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $51 million from $24 million year-over-year. However, the company experienced a net loss of $33 million, impacted by a $25 million non-cash asset impairment and $7 million in indefinite suspension charges. The company successfully refinanced its capital structure and reiterated its 2024 Adjusted EBITDA guidance while increasing its Free Cash Flow guidance.

  • Net sales increased to $401 million, up $32 million from the prior year quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose to $51 million, a $27 million increase from the prior year quarter.
  • Net loss was $33 million, which included a $25 million non-cash asset impairment and $7 million in indefinite suspension charges.
  • 2024 Adjusted EBITDA guidance was reiterated at $205 million to $215 million, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance was increased to $115 million to $125 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$401M

Previous: $369M+8.8%
EPS

-$0.49

Previous: -$0.40-22.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$51M

Previous: $24M+112.5%
Interest Expense

$20M

Previous: $21M-4.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$22M

Previous: -$41M+46.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$32.6M

Previous: -$25.1M-29.9%
Net Income

-$32.6M

Previous: -$25.1M-29.9%
Operating Income

-$16.8M

Previous: -$14.4M-16.3%
Gross Profit

$43.6M

Previous: $8.73M+399.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$136M

Previous: $27.1M+401.7%
Total Assets

$2.16B

Previous: $2.18B-0.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.62M

Previous: $1.99M-18.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Rayonier AM · Revenue · Quarterly

$401M

Q3 2024+8.8%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rayonier AM · $82M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Paperboard
    $57M-13.6%
  • High-Yield Pulp
    $25M-37.5%

Forward guidance

RYAM expects to generate $205 million to $215 million of Adjusted EBITDA in 2024 with $115 million to $125 million of Adjusted Free Cash Flow, including passive asset sales but excluding any operating asset sales.

Tailwinds

  • Average sales prices for cellulose specialties in 2024 are expected to increase by a low single-digit percentage.
  • Sales volumes for cellulose specialties are expected to increase compared to 2023.
  • Pricing for all commodity HPC products is forecasted to soften slightly in Q4, with volumes seeing a modest increase sequentially.
  • Costs are expected to be lower in 2024 driven by lower key input and logistics costs, improved productivity and the suspension of operations at the Temiscaming HPC plant.
  • Looking forward to 2025, the Company announced price increases of up to 10 percent for its cellulose specialties products, as contracts allow, and expects higher margins for cellulose specialties in the coming year.

Headwinds

  • EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2024 is expected to be lower than the third quarter of 2024 due to the anticipated net custodial site expenses at the Temiscaming site, Jesup fire repair costs and the impact of the fire on sales and costs.
  • Paperboard prices are expected to decrease in the fourth quarter while sales volumes are expected to increase.
  • Raw material prices are expected to increase compared to the third quarter for Paperboard.
  • High-Yield Pulp prices are expected to decline in the fourth quarter.
  • Overall, the Company expects to incur a loss in EBITDA from the High-Yield Pulp segment in the coming quarter due to the decline in sales prices.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.3%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

23 / 53 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-40.2%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.7%-0.6%
Q4 2025+16.5%+9.6%+13.3%
Q3 2025-8.9%-4.3%-3.5%
Q1 2025-6.6%-7.1%-7.6%
Q4 2024-17.6%-28.0%-33.5%
Q3 2024+20.9%+22.5%+5.3%
Q2 2024+33.5%+30.0%+39.9%
Q1 2024-0.5%+12.2%+36.9%
Q4 2023-21.9%-13.7%+9.1%
Q3 2023+4.4%+6.7%+17.5%
Q2 2023-23.4%-23.2%-30.2%
Q1 2023-17.5%-21.1%-20.6%
Q4 2022+27.9%+30.3%-3.7%
Q3 2022+31.9%+56.9%+73.8%
Q2 2022+15.3%+26.5%+14.7%
Q1 2022+14.4%+5.3%-25.7%
Q4 2021+6.4%+13.3%+29.9%
Q3 2021-5.3%-10.1%-26.0%
Q2 2021-4.3%+2.4%+3.0%
Q1 2021-26.7%-18.6%-17.4%
Q4 2020-7.8%+22.7%+8.0%
Q3 2020+12.9%+11.4%+114.7%
Q2 2020+10.2%+10.9%+11.9%
Q1 2020+9.4%+41.7%+130.9%
Q4 2019-17.8%-9.3%-55.2%
Q3 2019-18.6%+0.9%-8.8%
Q2 2019-40.2%-41.6%-22.7%
Q1 2019-35.2%-40.0%-52.9%
Q4 2018-6.0%-3.7%-13.1%
Q3 2018+6.0%+5.9%+5.0%
Q2 2018+11.4%+14.6%+17.9%
Q1 2018-8.7%-5.1%-9.6%
Q4 2017+12.3%+10.2%+9.7%
Q3 2017+7.2%+16.0%+30.5%
Q2 2017-5.5%-7.1%-7.1%
Q1 2017-8.1%+0.5%+31.2%
Q4 2016-20.8%-19.6%-21.8%
Q3 2016-5.6%-8.9%+5.1%
Q2 2016+4.7%-11.0%-10.7%
Q1 2016+34.0%
Q4 2015-0.4%
Q3 2015+15.5%
Q2 2015+15.4%
Q1 2014+12.4%
Q1 2015+12.4%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2014-9.4%
Q3 2013-3.4%
Q3 2014-8.1%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q2 2014-12.6%

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