NYSE$RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong financial results driven by improved product mix and cost management.

Rayonier Advanced Materials reported net sales of $419 million for the second quarter of 2024, a $34 million increase from the prior year quarter. Income from continuing operations was $8 million, up $24 million from the prior year quarter, and adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $68 million, up $41 million from the prior year quarter. The company increased its 2024 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $205 million to $215 million and Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance to $100 million to $110 million.

  • Net sales increased by $34 million to $419 million compared to the prior year quarter.
  • Income from continuing operations increased by $24 million to $8 million compared to the prior year quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by $41 million to $68 million compared to the prior year quarter, including $10 million of CEWS benefits.
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $69 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$419M

Previous: $385M+8.7%
EPS

$0.17

Previous: -$0.25+168.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$68M

Previous: $27M+151.9%
Interest Expense

$21M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$25.4M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$11.4M

Previous: -$16.8M+168.0%
Net Income

$11.4M

Previous: -$16.8M+168.0%
Operating Income

$28.2M

Previous: -$6.46M+536.8%
Gross Profit

$48.3M

Previous: $14.6M+230.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$114M

Previous: $157M-27.2%
Total Assets

$2.2B

Previous: $2.31B-4.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.69M

Previous: $1.89M-10.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Rayonier AM · Revenue · Quarterly

$419M

Q2 2024+8.7%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rayonier AM · $82M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Paperboard
    $57M-13.6%
  • High-Yield Pulp
    $25M-37.5%

Forward guidance

The Company is actively pursuing the refinancing of its 2026 Senior Notes before they go current in January 2025 and strongly believes that, due to improving business performance and credit metrics, it will secure refinancing at satisfactory terms. The Company expects to generate between $205 million and $215 million of Adjusted EBITDA in 2024 with $100 million to $110 million of Adjusted Free Cash Flow, including passive asset sales but excluding any operating asset sales.

Tailwinds

  • Average sales prices for cellulose specialties in 2024 are expected to increase by a low single-digit percentage as compared to average sales prices in 2023 as the Company continues to prioritize value over volume.
  • Sales volumes for cellulose specialties are expected to increase compared to 2023 driven by increased volumes from the closure of a competitor’s plant, a modest increase in ethers sales and additional volume sold to customers ahead of the suspension of Temiscaming HPC operations, partially offset by a one-time favorable impact from a change in customer contract terms in the prior year first quarter and customer destocking in the acetate markets.
  • Demand for RYAM commodity products remains stable.
  • Commodity sales volumes are expected to increase slightly in the second half of 2024 due to increased fluff sales.
  • The Company’s bioethanol facility in Tartas, France is operating as expected and represents a significant milestone towards the Company’s goal of generating $42 million of annual EBITDA from these biomaterial products in 2027.

Headwinds

  • In connection with the suspension of operations, the Company expects to incur one-time operating charges in 2024 of approximately $25 million to $30 million, including mothballing and severance and other employee costs.
  • Further, the Company also expects to incur non-cash charges in the third quarter of 2024 related to asset impairments.
  • Paperboard prices in the second half of 2024 are expected to decrease slightly compared to the first half of 2024, while sales volumes are expected to increase slightly as inventories reduce, despite higher planned maintenance downtime for the Company’s distributed control system upgrade.
  • Raw material prices are expected to increase compared to the first half of the year.
  • High-Yield Pulp prices are expected to decline in the second half of 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.3%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

23 / 53 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-40.2%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.7%-0.6%
Q4 2025+16.5%+9.6%+13.3%
Q3 2025-8.9%-4.3%-3.5%
Q1 2025-6.6%-7.1%-7.6%
Q4 2024-17.6%-28.0%-33.5%
Q3 2024+20.9%+22.5%+5.3%
Q2 2024+33.5%+30.0%+39.9%
Q1 2024-0.5%+12.2%+36.9%
Q4 2023-21.9%-13.7%+9.1%
Q3 2023+4.4%+6.7%+17.5%
Q2 2023-23.4%-23.2%-30.2%
Q1 2023-17.5%-21.1%-20.6%
Q4 2022+27.9%+30.3%-3.7%
Q3 2022+31.9%+56.9%+73.8%
Q2 2022+15.3%+26.5%+14.7%
Q1 2022+14.4%+5.3%-25.7%
Q4 2021+6.4%+13.3%+29.9%
Q3 2021-5.3%-10.1%-26.0%
Q2 2021-4.3%+2.4%+3.0%
Q1 2021-26.7%-18.6%-17.4%
Q4 2020-7.8%+22.7%+8.0%
Q3 2020+12.9%+11.4%+114.7%
Q2 2020+10.2%+10.9%+11.9%
Q1 2020+9.4%+41.7%+130.9%
Q4 2019-17.8%-9.3%-55.2%
Q3 2019-18.6%+0.9%-8.8%
Q2 2019-40.2%-41.6%-22.7%
Q1 2019-35.2%-40.0%-52.9%
Q4 2018-6.0%-3.7%-13.1%
Q3 2018+6.0%+5.9%+5.0%
Q2 2018+11.4%+14.6%+17.9%
Q1 2018-8.7%-5.1%-9.6%
Q4 2017+12.3%+10.2%+9.7%
Q3 2017+7.2%+16.0%+30.5%
Q2 2017-5.5%-7.1%-7.1%
Q1 2017-8.1%+0.5%+31.2%
Q4 2016-20.8%-19.6%-21.8%
Q3 2016-5.6%-8.9%+5.1%
Q2 2016+4.7%-11.0%-10.7%
Q1 2016+34.0%
Q4 2015-0.4%
Q3 2015+15.5%
Q2 2015+15.4%
Q1 2014+12.4%
Q1 2015+12.4%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2014-9.4%
Q3 2013-3.4%
Q3 2014-8.1%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q2 2014-12.6%

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