NYSE$RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Rayonier AM's first quarter performance reflected a loss from continuing operations, but EBITDA improved due to lower costs and operational reliability, despite being disrupted by the COVID-19 outbreak.

Rayonier Advanced Materials reported a first-quarter loss from continuing operations of $25 million, comparable to the prior year. EBITDA improved by $17 million to $27 million, driven by lower costs from improved reliability. The company maintains solid liquidity at $145 million and expects second-quarter 2020 results to be well above the prior year.

  • Established safety protocols in response to COVID-19, including remote work and enhanced sanitation.
  • Operations were curtailed for products with significantly reduced demand, and annual maintenance outages were delayed.
  • Maintained a strong focus on cost reductions and streamlined capital expenditures.
  • EBITDA improved by $17 million driven by lower costs from improved reliability.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$410M

Previous: $483M-15.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.39

Previous: -$0.52+25.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$27M

Previous: $10M+170.0%
Interest Expense

$15M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$12.6M

Previous: -$31.4M+59.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$36.7M

Previous: -$53.4M+31.3%
Net Income

-$24.1M

Previous: -$22.1M-9.4%
Operating Income

-$12M

Previous: -$18.5M+35.0%
Gross Profit

$10.5M

Previous: $17.2M-39.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$42.7M

Previous: $68M-37.2%
Total Assets

$2.45B

Previous: $2.66B-7.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.94M

Previous: $3.93M-50.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Rayonier AM · Revenue · Quarterly

$410M

Q1 2020-15.1%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Rayonier AM · $97M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Paperboard
    $50M+6.4%
  • High-Yield Pulp
    $47M-7.8%

Forward guidance

The Company expects varying impacts across its segments due to COVID-19. High Purity Cellulose sees modest impact, Forest Products manages production balancing lumber demand and wood chip availability, Paperboard experiences limited impact, and Pulp & Newsprint sees positive pricing momentum for high yield pulp but declining demand for newsprint.

Tailwinds

  • Strength in food and pharmaceutical end-markets is mostly offsetting weakness in the automotive and certain industrial segments for High Purity Cellulose.
  • The Company has realized significant pricing momentum in absorbent materials (fluff pulp) markets with strong demand globally.
  • Remodeling activity remains robust as demand for stud lumber products from lumber retailers continues above expectations for Forest Products.
  • Paperboard profitability has benefited from lower input costs.
  • The Company is experiencing positive pricing momentum for its high yield pulp products with weakness in Europe being more than offset by increased demand in China.

Headwinds

  • Customers are beginning to experience weakness in acetate industrial and textile applications.
  • Viscose pulp markets remain extremely weak due to tariffs and stay-at-home directives.
  • Lumber sales prices had fallen 35 percent below the prior six-week levels due to buyer reaction to the potential impact of COVID-19.
  • Demand for newsprint products has declined significantly, an estimated 12 percent from prior year and accelerating into April.
  • The outlook for the balance of the year is far from certain due to COVID-19.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.3%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

23 / 53 earnings

Positive

+34.0%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-40.2%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.7%-0.6%
Q4 2025+16.5%+9.6%+13.3%
Q3 2025-8.9%-4.3%-3.5%
Q1 2025-6.6%-7.1%-7.6%
Q4 2024-17.6%-28.0%-33.5%
Q3 2024+20.9%+22.5%+5.3%
Q2 2024+33.5%+30.0%+39.9%
Q1 2024-0.5%+12.2%+36.9%
Q4 2023-21.9%-13.7%+9.1%
Q3 2023+4.4%+6.7%+17.5%
Q2 2023-23.4%-23.2%-30.2%
Q1 2023-17.5%-21.1%-20.6%
Q4 2022+27.9%+30.3%-3.7%
Q3 2022+31.9%+56.9%+73.8%
Q2 2022+15.3%+26.5%+14.7%
Q1 2022+14.4%+5.3%-25.7%
Q4 2021+6.4%+13.3%+29.9%
Q3 2021-5.3%-10.1%-26.0%
Q2 2021-4.3%+2.4%+3.0%
Q1 2021-26.7%-18.6%-17.4%
Q4 2020-7.8%+22.7%+8.0%
Q3 2020+12.9%+11.4%+114.7%
Q2 2020+10.2%+10.9%+11.9%
Q1 2020+9.4%+41.7%+130.9%
Q4 2019-17.8%-9.3%-55.2%
Q3 2019-18.6%+0.9%-8.8%
Q2 2019-40.2%-41.6%-22.7%
Q1 2019-35.2%-40.0%-52.9%
Q4 2018-6.0%-3.7%-13.1%
Q3 2018+6.0%+5.9%+5.0%
Q2 2018+11.4%+14.6%+17.9%
Q1 2018-8.7%-5.1%-9.6%
Q4 2017+12.3%+10.2%+9.7%
Q3 2017+7.2%+16.0%+30.5%
Q2 2017-5.5%-7.1%-7.1%
Q1 2017-8.1%+0.5%+31.2%
Q4 2016-20.8%-19.6%-21.8%
Q3 2016-5.6%-8.9%+5.1%
Q2 2016+4.7%-11.0%-10.7%
Q1 2016+34.0%
Q4 2015-0.4%
Q3 2015+15.5%
Q2 2015+15.4%
Q1 2014+12.4%
Q1 2015+12.4%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2014-9.4%
Q3 2013-3.4%
Q3 2014-8.1%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q2 2014-12.6%

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