NYSE$PM
Philip Morris International Inc. · Q4 2021 earnings
Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported excellent performance driven by strong underlying momentum and reacceleration of business in the fourth quarter.
Philip Morris International Inc. reported a strong performance in Q4 2021, marked by a reacceleration of business momentum. The company saw growth in total volume, high single-digit organic net revenue growth, and double-digit adjusted diluted EPS growth. There was also a step-up in sequential IQOS user growth and outstanding initial performance of IQOS ILUMA.
- Reported diluted EPS increased by 5.5%, and adjusted diluted EPS grew by 7.1%.
- Cigarette and heated tobacco unit shipment volume increased by 4.2%, with heated tobacco unit volume up by 17.0% to 25.4 billion units.
- Net revenues increased by 8.9%, with net revenues from smoke-free products accounting for 30.7% of total net revenues.
- Operating income increased by 1.4%, and adjusted operating income grew by 8.3% on an organic basis.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Philip Morris · Revenue · Quarterly
$8.1B
Revenue by segment
Philip Morris · $8B total across 2 segments · Q4 2021
- Combustible Products$5.61B+1.9%70.1%
- Reduced-Risk Products$2.39B+23.4%29.9%
Forward guidance
Philip Morris International forecasts organic top-line growth of 4% to 6% and currency-neutral adjusted diluted EPS growth of 8% to 11% for the full year 2022.
Tailwinds
- Continuing uncertainty over the pace of the ongoing recovery from pandemic-related effects on the operating environment
- An improving IQOS device supply situation, with a gradual return to an unconstrained IQOS user quarterly growth progression, albeit with a lack of full visibility over the year
- A continued gradual improvement in PMI's duty-free business outside Asia, with no meaningful recovery in Asia
- Adjusted net revenue growth of approximately 4% to 6% on an organic basis
- An increase in adjusted operating income margin of 50 to 150 basis points on an organic basis, mainly driven by the continued favorable product mix shift from cigarettes to smoke-free products, coupled with the benefit of further operating leverage and accelerated operating efficiencies
Headwinds
- The expectation of a moderately lower gross margin primarily due to temporary factors, such as the higher initial cost of IQOS ILUMA devices and initial weight and cost of TEREA consumables
- Higher logistics costs, including costs related to the use of air freight to support the strong up-take of IQOS ILUMA and TEREA consumables in Japan
- Investments to grow capacity across PMI's smoke-free platforms
- Some inflation for certain supply chain elements
- Continued commercial reinvestment to support our growing portfolio of smoke-free alternatives
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021
+0.8%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.6%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.2%
Avg return
30 days after
55%
40 / 73 earnings
Positive
+10.9%
Q4 2024
Best reaction
-16.9%
Q1 2018
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +6.5% | +5.0% | +23.5% | |
| Q4 2025 | +0.4% | +2.3% | -6.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | -4.0% | -0.3% | -1.5% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4% | +1.7% | +0.1% | |
| Q1 2025 | +2.3% | +3.1% | +8.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | +10.9% | +13.0% | +15.2% | |
| Q3 2024 | +10.5% | +9.2% | +10.3% | |
| Q2 2024 | +3.9% | +5.7% | +12.0% | |
| Q1 2024 | +5.3% | +1.0% | +5.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | -2.5% | -2.5% | +1.4% | |
| Q3 2023 | -0.7% | -2.6% | -1.4% | |
| Q2 2023 | -1.3% | -1.6% | -4.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | -3.7% | -2.8% | -8.2% | |
| Q4 2022 | +1.1% | +0.4% | -2.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | +0.0% | +2.3% | +11.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | +6.8% | +7.5% | +11.5% | |
| Q1 2022 | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | +3.7% | +5.4% | -14.6% | |
| Q3 2021 | -0.4% | -0.6% | -6.1% | |
| Q2 2021 | -1.4% | +0.5% | +3.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | +2.7% | +3.2% | +6.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | +5.0% | +6.7% | +7.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | -5.2% | -4.4% | -0.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +4.3% | +5.4% | +7.3% | |
| Q1 2020 | -4.9% | -4.2% | -8.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | +4.2% | +6.6% | +4.0% | |
| Q3 2019 | +1.8% | +2.6% | +7.2% | |
| Q2 2019 | +9.5% | +7.0% | +4.8% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.4% | -0.7% | +1.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | +5.9% | +6.7% | +15.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | +5.0% | +4.7% | +2.1% | |
| Q2 2018 | +2.6% | +1.7% | +3.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | -16.9% | -18.7% | -20.4% | |
| Q4 2017 | +1.1% | +4.2% | +9.5% | |
| Q3 2017 | -2.7% | -3.5% | -8.8% | |
| Q2 2017 | -1.7% | -3.1% | -5.2% | |
| Q1 2017 | -3.8% | -0.7% | +0.7% | |
| Q4 2016 | +5.4% | +5.9% | +14.9% | |
| Q3 2016 | +0.5% | +0.8% | -6.5% | |
| Q2 2016 | -3.3% | -3.1% | -2.6% | |
| Q1 2016 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +9.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +3.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -4.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +1.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2008 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -2.1% | — | — |
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