NYSE$PM
Philip Morris International Inc. · Q1 2020 earnings
Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported diluted EPS increased by 34.5%, adjusted diluted EPS grew by 11.0%, and net revenues were up by 6.0%.
Philip Morris International Inc. reported a strong first quarter with reported diluted EPS of $1.17, up 34.5% from 2019. The company has withdrawn its 2020 full-year reported diluted EPS forecast due to uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic and replaced it with a quarterly forecast. The company provided a 2020 second-quarter reported diluted EPS forecast of $1.00 to $1.10, reflecting an unfavorable currency impact of approximately $0.12.
- Reported diluted EPS of $1.17, up by 34.5%; up by 49.4%, excluding currency.
- Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.21, up by 11.0%; up by 30.1% on a like-for-like basis, excluding currency.
- Cigarette and heated tobacco unit shipment volume down by 1.2% (reflecting cigarette shipment volume down by 4.4%, and heated tobacco unit shipment volume up by 45.5% to 16.7 billion units); down by 0.6% on a like-for-like basis
- Net revenues up by 6.0%; up by 10.0% on a like-for-like basis, excluding currency.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Philip Morris · Revenue · Quarterly
$7.15B
Revenue by segment
Philip Morris · $7.15B total across 2 segments · Q1 2020
- Combustible Products$5.6B—78.3%
- Reduced-Risk Products$1.56B—21.7%
Forward guidance
PMI forecasts second-quarter reported diluted EPS to be in a range of $1.00 to $1.10, including an unfavorable currency impact, at prevailing exchange rates, of approximately $0.12 per share.
Tailwinds
- a currency-neutral net revenue decline of approximately 8% to 12%, wholly attributable to COVID-19-related factors, including lower IQOS device sales; and
- no additional disruption in the company's ability to supply its customers, based on its current operations and inventory levels.
- capital expenditures of approximately $0.8 billion
- effective tax rate of approximately 23%
- Despite near-term uncertainty, our company is resilient with a robust financial position.
Headwinds
- 10 cents for distributor and trade inventory movements, mainly related to reversals from the first quarter;
- 9 cents for lost Duty-Free sales, net of domestic sales recapture, assuming no recovery in global travel in the period;
- 5 to 15 cents for the impact of the delay in minimum price enforcement in Indonesia and other COVID-19-related factors, including temporary reductions in daily consumption and down-trading in certain developing markets.
- The Indonesian government has announced that the enforcement of the new minimum price, originally scheduled for April 1, 2020, is delayed until June due to COVID-19 restrictions.
- The company now anticipates a further adverse impact related to the COVID-19 pandemic, with the largest quarterly impact this year expected in the second quarter.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020
+0.8%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.6%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.2%
Avg return
30 days after
55%
40 / 73 earnings
Positive
+10.9%
Q4 2024
Best reaction
-16.9%
Q1 2018
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +6.5% | +5.0% | +23.5% | |
| Q4 2025 | +0.4% | +2.3% | -6.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | -4.0% | -0.3% | -1.5% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4% | +1.7% | +0.1% | |
| Q1 2025 | +2.3% | +3.1% | +8.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | +10.9% | +13.0% | +15.2% | |
| Q3 2024 | +10.5% | +9.2% | +10.3% | |
| Q2 2024 | +3.9% | +5.7% | +12.0% | |
| Q1 2024 | +5.3% | +1.0% | +5.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | -2.5% | -2.5% | +1.4% | |
| Q3 2023 | -0.7% | -2.6% | -1.4% | |
| Q2 2023 | -1.3% | -1.6% | -4.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | -3.7% | -2.8% | -8.2% | |
| Q4 2022 | +1.1% | +0.4% | -2.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | +0.0% | +2.3% | +11.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | +6.8% | +7.5% | +11.5% | |
| Q1 2022 | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | +3.7% | +5.4% | -14.6% | |
| Q3 2021 | -0.4% | -0.6% | -6.1% | |
| Q2 2021 | -1.4% | +0.5% | +3.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | +2.7% | +3.2% | +6.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | +5.0% | +6.7% | +7.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | -5.2% | -4.4% | -0.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +4.3% | +5.4% | +7.3% | |
| Q1 2020 | -4.9% | -4.2% | -8.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | +4.2% | +6.6% | +4.0% | |
| Q3 2019 | +1.8% | +2.6% | +7.2% | |
| Q2 2019 | +9.5% | +7.0% | +4.8% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.4% | -0.7% | +1.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | +5.9% | +6.7% | +15.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | +5.0% | +4.7% | +2.1% | |
| Q2 2018 | +2.6% | +1.7% | +3.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | -16.9% | -18.7% | -20.4% | |
| Q4 2017 | +1.1% | +4.2% | +9.5% | |
| Q3 2017 | -2.7% | -3.5% | -8.8% | |
| Q2 2017 | -1.7% | -3.1% | -5.2% | |
| Q1 2017 | -3.8% | -0.7% | +0.7% | |
| Q4 2016 | +5.4% | +5.9% | +14.9% | |
| Q3 2016 | +0.5% | +0.8% | -6.5% | |
| Q2 2016 | -3.3% | -3.1% | -2.6% | |
| Q1 2016 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +9.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +3.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -4.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +1.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2008 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -2.1% | — | — |
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