NYSE$PFGC

Performance Food Group Co. · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PFG's first quarter of fiscal year 2023 experienced substantial growth. The company reported strong net sales and profit growth across all business segments, along with solid cash flow generation.

Performance Food Group Company reported a strong first quarter in fiscal 2023, with results exceeding prior expectations. All operating segments contributed to high-quality top-line performance and margin expansion. The company is confidently raising its sales and Adjusted EBITDA outlook for the second quarter and the full fiscal year.

  • Total case volume grew 16%.
  • Net sales increased 42% to $14.7 billion.
  • Gross profit improved 38% to $1.6 billion.
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS increased 151% to $1.08.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$14.7B

Previous: $10.4B+41.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.08

Previous: $0.43+151.2%
Total Case Volume Growth

16.0%

Previous: 27.0%-40.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$355M

Previous: $184M+93.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$40.1M

Previous: -$24.4M-64.3%
Free Cash Flow

$55.6M

Previous: -$19.7M+382.2%
Net Income

$95.7M

Previous: $4.7M+1936.2%
Operating Income

$191M

Previous: $48.2M+296.7%
Gross Profit

$1.58B

Previous: $1.14B+37.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$10.6M

Previous: $35.1M-69.8%
Total Assets

$12.2B

Previous: $11.6B+5.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.5M

Previous: $10M+15.0%

Revenue & EPS history

PFG · Revenue · Quarterly

$14.7B

Q1 2023+41.7%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PFG · $13.6B total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Foodservice
    $7.33B+15.2%
  • Convenience
    $6.29B

Forward guidance

PFG provided guidance for the fiscal second quarter and full year 2023. The company expects net sales to be in the range of $13.6 billion to $13.9 billion for the second quarter and $57 billion to $59 billion for the full year. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $260 million to $280 million for the second quarter and $1.23 billion to $1.33 billion for the full year.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales to be in a range of $13.6 billion to $13.9 billion for the fiscal second quarter of 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $260 million to $280 million for the fiscal second quarter of 2023.
  • Net sales to be in a range of $57 billion to $59 billion for the full fiscal year 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $1.23 billion to $1.33 billion for the full fiscal year of 2023.
  • Company continues to expect to achieve annual net sales of $62 to $64 billion and Adjusted EBITDA between $1.5 and $1.7 billion in fiscal 2025.

Headwinds

  • Economic factors, including inflation, negatively affecting consumer confidence and discretionary spending.
  • Costs and risks associated with a potential cybersecurity incident or other technology disruption.
  • Reliance on technology and risks associated with disruption or delay in implementation of new technology.
  • Intense competition in the industry.
  • The effects of health epidemics, including the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

22 / 46 earnings

Positive

+16.8%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-15.0%

Q2 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+6.1%+8.0%+11.5%
Q2 2026-15.0%-5.4%-9.9%
Q1 2026-1.3%+0.9%-5.3%
Q4 2025+2.8%+0.4%+7.6%
Q3 2025+2.4%+7.9%+8.9%
Q2 2025-2.6%-5.5%-14.0%
Q3 2024+2.5%+0.6%+0.3%
Q2 2024-1.0%+0.5%+4.1%
Q1 2024-0.6%+0.9%+8.2%
Q4 2023+9.2%+8.3%+5.2%
Q3 2023-2.6%-3.5%-10.5%
Q2 2023-4.7%-2.7%-11.6%
Q1 2023+8.5%+11.8%+15.1%
Q4 2022-2.0%-5.8%-8.9%
Q3 2022-9.5%-6.9%-13.9%
Q2 2022+16.8%+13.9%+4.5%
Q1 2022+3.4%+1.0%-1.4%
Q4 2021-3.7%+2.9%+1.1%
Q3 2021-3.7%-3.6%-11.9%
Q2 2021+5.0%+6.5%+10.8%
Q1 2021+0.4%+24.3%+29.1%
Q4 2020-1.6%-2.3%+7.3%
Q3 2020-9.7%-10.1%+6.9%
Q2 2020+0.0%+3.3%-25.5%
Q1 2020+6.0%+3.5%+9.4%
Q4 2019+3.3%+5.8%+6.4%
Q3 2019-4.7%-5.4%-2.8%
Q2 2019+8.0%+9.2%+7.4%
Q1 2019+9.2%+9.0%+14.2%
Q4 2018-10.4%-10.4%-13.9%
Q3 2018+7.5%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2018-3.8%-3.0%+0.9%
Q1 2018+4.1%+3.5%+17.4%
Q4 2017+2.3%+4.2%+9.6%
Q3 2017+11.0%+9.4%+10.6%
Q2 2017+5.7%+7.1%+6.6%
Q1 2017-2.9%+0.4%-5.9%
Q4 2014-4.1%-1.3%-9.5%
Q4 2016-2.8%+2.3%-9.3%
Q3 2015+6.1%
Q3 2016+6.1%
Q2 2016-2.0%
Q2 2015-2.0%
Q1 2016-6.4%
Q1 2015-6.4%
Q4 2015-6.4%
Q3 2014

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