NYSE$PFGC

Performance Food Group Co. · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PFG's Q3 2023 results were announced, featuring accelerated organic case volume, double-digit profit growth, and strong cash flow.

Performance Food Group Company reported a 5.3% increase in net sales to $13.8 billion and a 32.3% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $314.7 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2023. The company also raised and tightened its fiscal 2023 Adjusted EBITDA outlook range.

  • Total case volume grew 3% in the third quarter.
  • Net sales increased 5% to $13.8 billion.
  • Gross profit improved 12% to $1.5 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 32% to $314.7 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$13.8B

Previous: $13.1B+5.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.83

Previous: $0.51+62.7%
Total Case Volume Growth

3.0%

Previous: 35.0%-91.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$315M

Previous: $238M+32.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$79.1M

Previous: -$72.3M-9.4%
Free Cash Flow

$1.2M

Previous: -$48.9M+102.5%
Net Income

$80.3M

Previous: $23.4M+243.2%
Operating Income

$169M

Previous: $68.6M+146.1%
Gross Profit

$1.51B

Previous: $1.35B+12.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.2M

Previous: $13.7M-40.1%
Total Assets

$12.2B

Previous: $12B+1.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.2M

Previous: $10.6M-3.8%

Revenue & EPS history

PFG · Revenue · Quarterly

$13.8B

Q3 2023+5.3%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PFG · $12.6B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Foodservice
    $6.95B+5.2%
  • Convenience
    $5.68B+1.9%

Forward guidance

PFG expects net sales to be in the range of $57 billion to $57.5 billion and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $1.34 billion to $1.36 billion for the full fiscal year 2023. The company continues to expect to achieve annual net sales of $62 to $64 billion and Adjusted EBITDA between $1.5 and $1.7 billion in fiscal 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales expected between $57B and $57.5B.
  • Adjusted EBITDA expected between $1.34B and $1.36B.
  • Reiterated net sales target of $62B-$64B in fiscal 2025.
  • Reiterated Adjusted EBITDA target of $1.5B-$1.7B in fiscal 2025.
  • Solid execution

Headwinds

  • Excludes the impact of certain income and expense items that management believes are not part of underlying operations.
  • Cannot estimate the impact of these income and expense items on its reported net income.
  • Difficult to predict impact of these income and expense items.
  • Impact of these income and expense items may be highly variable.
  • Outlook is subject to risks

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

22 / 46 earnings

Positive

+16.8%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-15.0%

Q2 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+6.1%+8.0%+11.5%
Q2 2026-15.0%-5.4%-9.9%
Q1 2026-1.3%+0.9%-5.3%
Q4 2025+2.8%+0.4%+7.6%
Q3 2025+2.4%+7.9%+8.9%
Q2 2025-2.6%-5.5%-14.0%
Q3 2024+2.5%+0.6%+0.3%
Q2 2024-1.0%+0.5%+4.1%
Q1 2024-0.6%+0.9%+8.2%
Q4 2023+9.2%+8.3%+5.2%
Q3 2023-2.6%-3.5%-10.5%
Q2 2023-4.7%-2.7%-11.6%
Q1 2023+8.5%+11.8%+15.1%
Q4 2022-2.0%-5.8%-8.9%
Q3 2022-9.5%-6.9%-13.9%
Q2 2022+16.8%+13.9%+4.5%
Q1 2022+3.4%+1.0%-1.4%
Q4 2021-3.7%+2.9%+1.1%
Q3 2021-3.7%-3.6%-11.9%
Q2 2021+5.0%+6.5%+10.8%
Q1 2021+0.4%+24.3%+29.1%
Q4 2020-1.6%-2.3%+7.3%
Q3 2020-9.7%-10.1%+6.9%
Q2 2020+0.0%+3.3%-25.5%
Q1 2020+6.0%+3.5%+9.4%
Q4 2019+3.3%+5.8%+6.4%
Q3 2019-4.7%-5.4%-2.8%
Q2 2019+8.0%+9.2%+7.4%
Q1 2019+9.2%+9.0%+14.2%
Q4 2018-10.4%-10.4%-13.9%
Q3 2018+7.5%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2018-3.8%-3.0%+0.9%
Q1 2018+4.1%+3.5%+17.4%
Q4 2017+2.3%+4.2%+9.6%
Q3 2017+11.0%+9.4%+10.6%
Q2 2017+5.7%+7.1%+6.6%
Q1 2017-2.9%+0.4%-5.9%
Q4 2014-4.1%-1.3%-9.5%
Q4 2016-2.8%+2.3%-9.3%
Q3 2015+6.1%
Q3 2016+6.1%
Q2 2016-2.0%
Q2 2015-2.0%
Q1 2016-6.4%
Q1 2015-6.4%
Q4 2015-6.4%
Q3 2014

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