NYSE$MTH

Meritage Homes Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Meritage Homes reported strong orders and solid financial performance, driven by healthy demand and effective execution.

Meritage Homes reported a 60% year-over-year increase in sales orders for Q4 2023, driven by decreasing interest rates and recovering consumer confidence. Home closing revenue was $1.6 billion, and diluted EPS was $5.38. The company's backlog conversion reached a record 110%.

  • Sales orders increased by 60% year-over-year due to higher absorption pace.
  • Home closing revenue was $1.6 billion, reflecting lower volume and ASP.
  • Home closing gross margin was 25.2%, benefiting from improved cycle time and lower lumber costs.
  • Net earnings decreased by 24% to $198.9 million, with diluted EPS at $5.38.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.64B

Previous: $1.98B-17.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.69

Previous: $3.55-24.2%
Ending backlog (units)

2.5K

Previous: 3.3K-23.5%
Ending backlog value

$1.09B

Previous: $1.52B-28.6%
Average sales price - backlog

$427.00

Previous: $458K-99.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.97M

Previous: $7.43M-193.8%
Net Income

$199M

Previous: $262M-24.2%
Operating Income

$259M

Previous: $342M-24.4%
Gross Profit

$416M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$5.95M

Previous: $5.44M+9.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Meritage Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.64B

Q4 2023-17.2%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Meritage Homes · $23.1M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Land closing revenue
    $17.4M
  • Financial services revenue
    $5.73M

Forward guidance

Meritage Homes anticipates continued confidence from entry-level buyers and is well-positioned to leverage its spec inventory in the current demand environment as the economy stabilizes.

Tailwinds

  • Growing spec inventory levels
  • Well-positioned to take advantage of positive demand environment
  • Entry-level buyers will continue to gain confidence
  • Favorable need-based demand for millennials and Gen Z
  • Continuing shortage of existing homes for sale

Headwinds

  • Changes in mortgage interest rates
  • Inflation in the cost of materials
  • Supply chain and labor constraints
  • Adverse effect of slow absorption rates
  • Potential exposure to impacts from natural disasters

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.3%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

33 / 66 earnings

Positive

+20.9%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+1.0%-6.6%
Q4 2025+1.1%+5.2%+9.0%
Q3 2025-5.9%-7.4%+2.9%
Q2 2025-5.4%-7.1%+7.1%
Q1 2025+1.0%-1.8%-5.8%
Q4 2024+2.8%-1.8%-8.1%
Q3 2024-3.8%-0.6%+2.6%
Q2 2024+1.1%+3.7%+13.9%
Q1 2024+4.3%+7.1%+10.4%
Q4 2023-8.8%-9.9%-5.2%
Q3 2023+9.0%+19.1%+26.2%
Q2 2023+7.0%+6.1%-5.4%
Q1 2023-2.2%+0.7%-6.4%
Q4 2022+8.3%+2.5%+2.1%
Q3 2022+1.6%+4.3%+17.8%
Q2 2022+2.6%+2.4%-6.5%
Q1 2022+4.2%+3.8%+5.9%
Q4 2021-5.6%-2.4%-6.5%
Q3 2021+4.1%+2.2%+9.0%
Q2 2021+10.6%+13.0%+16.1%
Q1 2021+12.6%+13.6%+13.3%
Q4 2020-8.5%-12.0%-10.3%
Q3 2020-11.1%-12.7%-17.1%
Q2 2020+5.3%+15.3%+23.0%
Q1 2020+19.9%+16.3%+59.5%
Q4 2019+3.4%+1.9%-10.5%
Q3 2019-0.6%+0.4%-10.0%
Q2 2019+20.9%+17.8%+20.3%
Q1 2019+5.4%+3.6%+3.9%
Q4 2018+11.5%+10.0%+7.5%
Q3 2018+7.8%+5.4%+15.5%
Q2 2018-0.1%-0.9%+0.8%
Q1 2018+7.0%+4.0%+7.2%
Q4 2017+3.2%-0.3%-8.9%
Q3 2017-0.1%+1.1%+5.9%
Q2 2017+7.9%+7.6%-0.1%
Q1 2017-1.8%-3.8%+1.8%
Q4 2016-6.4%-6.3%-1.2%
Q3 2016-6.9%-8.7%+11.0%
Q2 2016-10.2%-12.9%-12.0%
Q1 2016-11.8%
Q4 2015+17.9%
Q3 2015-10.2%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015-3.9%
Q4 2014+9.3%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-7.2%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013-7.0%
Q1 2013+9.1%
Q4 2012-3.2%
Q3 2012-8.7%
Q2 2012+14.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2009-1.7%
Q4 2011-1.7%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2011+0.1%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010-4.7%

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