NYSE$MTH

Meritage Homes Corp · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Meritage Homes' first quarter 2023 performance reflected stabilizing demand, with closings and home closing revenue slightly exceeding the first quarter of 2022.

Meritage Homes reported first quarter 2023 results, featuring a slight increase in home closing revenue and closings compared to the prior year. The company's focus on move-in ready homes and strategic use of price cuts and incentives drove sales, while diluted EPS decreased due to lower gross margin and overhead leverage.

  • Home closing revenue increased by 1% year-over-year to $1.3 billion, driven by a 1% increase in home closing volume.
  • Orders decreased by 10% year-over-year, primarily due to a decrease in average absorption pace.
  • Diluted EPS decreased by 39% year-over-year to $3.54, due to lower gross margin and overhead leverage partially offset by a favorable tax rate.
  • The company initiated a cash dividend of $0.27 per share and repurchased over 93,000 shares for $10 million during the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.28B

Previous: $1.29B-0.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.77

Previous: $2.90-39.0%
Ending backlog (units)

3.9K

Previous: 6.7K-41.4%
Ending backlog value

$1.76B

Previous: $3.04B-42.0%
Average sales price - backlog

$450K

Previous: $454.00+99018.9%
Capital Expenditures

$8.9M

Previous: $6.42M+38.5%
Free Cash Flow

$116M

Previous: $5.77M+1904.7%
Net Income

$131M

Previous: $217M-39.6%
Operating Income

$165M

Previous: $286M-42.2%
Gross Profit

$284M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$957M

Previous: $520M+83.9%
Total Assets

$5.87B

Previous: $5.06B+16.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.23M

Previous: $5.98M+4.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Meritage Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.28B

Q1 2023-0.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Meritage Homes · $23.1M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Land closing revenue
    $17.4M
  • Financial services revenue
    $5.73M

Forward guidance

Meritage Homes anticipates returning to 300 communities by year-end and plans a full-year land spend of $1.5 billion. They expect the undersupply of new and resale home inventory as well as favorable demographics provide a strong long-term runway for the homebuying market.

Tailwinds

  • Focus on pace over price to capitalize on buyer demand and gain market share.
  • Commitment to spec inventory positions the company well.
  • Undersupply of new and resale home inventory provides a strong long-term runway.
  • Favorable demographics support the homebuying market.
  • Expects to return to 300 communities by year end.

Headwinds

  • Transformer issues across the country halted some new community openings.
  • Lower ending community count than expected.
  • Home closing gross margin declined due to greater sales incentives and continued elevated direct costs.
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses increased as a percentage of home closing revenue.
  • Orders of 3,487 homes decreased 10% year-over-year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.3%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

33 / 66 earnings

Positive

+20.9%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+1.0%-6.6%
Q4 2025+1.1%+5.2%+9.0%
Q3 2025-5.9%-7.4%+2.9%
Q2 2025-5.4%-7.1%+7.1%
Q1 2025+1.0%-1.8%-5.8%
Q4 2024+2.8%-1.8%-8.1%
Q3 2024-3.8%-0.6%+2.6%
Q2 2024+1.1%+3.7%+13.9%
Q1 2024+4.3%+7.1%+10.4%
Q4 2023-8.8%-9.9%-5.2%
Q3 2023+9.0%+19.1%+26.2%
Q2 2023+7.0%+6.1%-5.4%
Q1 2023-2.2%+0.7%-6.4%
Q4 2022+8.3%+2.5%+2.1%
Q3 2022+1.6%+4.3%+17.8%
Q2 2022+2.6%+2.4%-6.5%
Q1 2022+4.2%+3.8%+5.9%
Q4 2021-5.6%-2.4%-6.5%
Q3 2021+4.1%+2.2%+9.0%
Q2 2021+10.6%+13.0%+16.1%
Q1 2021+12.6%+13.6%+13.3%
Q4 2020-8.5%-12.0%-10.3%
Q3 2020-11.1%-12.7%-17.1%
Q2 2020+5.3%+15.3%+23.0%
Q1 2020+19.9%+16.3%+59.5%
Q4 2019+3.4%+1.9%-10.5%
Q3 2019-0.6%+0.4%-10.0%
Q2 2019+20.9%+17.8%+20.3%
Q1 2019+5.4%+3.6%+3.9%
Q4 2018+11.5%+10.0%+7.5%
Q3 2018+7.8%+5.4%+15.5%
Q2 2018-0.1%-0.9%+0.8%
Q1 2018+7.0%+4.0%+7.2%
Q4 2017+3.2%-0.3%-8.9%
Q3 2017-0.1%+1.1%+5.9%
Q2 2017+7.9%+7.6%-0.1%
Q1 2017-1.8%-3.8%+1.8%
Q4 2016-6.4%-6.3%-1.2%
Q3 2016-6.9%-8.7%+11.0%
Q2 2016-10.2%-12.9%-12.0%
Q1 2016-11.8%
Q4 2015+17.9%
Q3 2015-10.2%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015-3.9%
Q4 2014+9.3%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-7.2%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013-7.0%
Q1 2013+9.1%
Q4 2012-3.2%
Q3 2012-8.7%
Q2 2012+14.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2009-1.7%
Q4 2011-1.7%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2011+0.1%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010-4.7%

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