NYSE$MTH

Meritage Homes Corp · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Meritage Homes reported record orders and increased net earnings driven by revenue growth and margin improvement.

Meritage Homes reported a strong second quarter with record orders, a 20% increase in revenue, and a 78% increase in net earnings. The company's strategic focus on the entry-level market and efficient operations drove significant improvements in gross margin and overhead leverage, resulting in a strong balance sheet.

  • Total orders increased 32% year-over-year, driven by a 42% increase in absorption pace.
  • Home closing revenue increased 20% due to a 23% increase in home closing volume.
  • Home closing gross margin increased 300 bps to 21.4% due to streamlined operations and cost efficiencies.
  • Net earnings increased 78% to $90.7 million, or $2.38 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.03B

Previous: $865M+19.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.19

Previous: $0.66+80.3%
Ending backlog (units)

4.4K

Previous: 3.7K+19.4%
Ending backlog value

$1.65B

Previous: $1.48B+11.6%
Average sales price - backlog

$375.00

Previous: $401.00-6.5%
Capital Expenditures

$5.01M

Previous: $6.89M-27.3%
Free Cash Flow

$189M

Previous: $74.2M+154.1%
Net Income

$90.7M

Previous: $50.8M+78.4%
Operating Income

$116M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$221M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$485M

Previous: $407M+18.9%
Total Assets

$3.54B

Previous: $3.47B+2.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.16M

Previous: $4.2M-24.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Meritage Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.03B

Q2 2020+19.5%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Meritage Homes · $23.1M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Land closing revenue
    $17.4M
  • Financial services revenue
    $5.73M

Forward guidance

Meritage Homes anticipates generating between $4.0-4.3 billion in home closing revenue for the year, including $1.0-1.1 billion for the third quarter, with home closing gross margins around 21% for the third quarter and full year. This is expected to translate to approximately $8.75-9.25 of diluted earnings per share for the full year, including approximately $2.15-2.35 for the third quarter.

Tailwinds

  • Projected home closing revenue between $4.0-4.3 billion for the year.
  • Expected home closing revenue of $1.0-1.1 billion for the third quarter.
  • Anticipated home closing gross margins around 21% for the third quarter and full year.
  • Estimated diluted earnings per share between $8.75-9.25 for the full year.
  • Projected diluted earnings per share between $2.15-2.35 for the third quarter.

Headwinds

  • Risks and uncertainties in the economy until the pandemic is brought under control.
  • Potential adverse impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Fluctuations in quarterly operating results.
  • Limited geographic diversification.
  • The availability and cost of finished lots and undeveloped land.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.3%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

33 / 66 earnings

Positive

+20.9%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+1.0%-6.6%
Q4 2025+1.1%+5.2%+9.0%
Q3 2025-5.9%-7.4%+2.9%
Q2 2025-5.4%-7.1%+7.1%
Q1 2025+1.0%-1.8%-5.8%
Q4 2024+2.8%-1.8%-8.1%
Q3 2024-3.8%-0.6%+2.6%
Q2 2024+1.1%+3.7%+13.9%
Q1 2024+4.3%+7.1%+10.4%
Q4 2023-8.8%-9.9%-5.2%
Q3 2023+9.0%+19.1%+26.2%
Q2 2023+7.0%+6.1%-5.4%
Q1 2023-2.2%+0.7%-6.4%
Q4 2022+8.3%+2.5%+2.1%
Q3 2022+1.6%+4.3%+17.8%
Q2 2022+2.6%+2.4%-6.5%
Q1 2022+4.2%+3.8%+5.9%
Q4 2021-5.6%-2.4%-6.5%
Q3 2021+4.1%+2.2%+9.0%
Q2 2021+10.6%+13.0%+16.1%
Q1 2021+12.6%+13.6%+13.3%
Q4 2020-8.5%-12.0%-10.3%
Q3 2020-11.1%-12.7%-17.1%
Q2 2020+5.3%+15.3%+23.0%
Q1 2020+19.9%+16.3%+59.5%
Q4 2019+3.4%+1.9%-10.5%
Q3 2019-0.6%+0.4%-10.0%
Q2 2019+20.9%+17.8%+20.3%
Q1 2019+5.4%+3.6%+3.9%
Q4 2018+11.5%+10.0%+7.5%
Q3 2018+7.8%+5.4%+15.5%
Q2 2018-0.1%-0.9%+0.8%
Q1 2018+7.0%+4.0%+7.2%
Q4 2017+3.2%-0.3%-8.9%
Q3 2017-0.1%+1.1%+5.9%
Q2 2017+7.9%+7.6%-0.1%
Q1 2017-1.8%-3.8%+1.8%
Q4 2016-6.4%-6.3%-1.2%
Q3 2016-6.9%-8.7%+11.0%
Q2 2016-10.2%-12.9%-12.0%
Q1 2016-11.8%
Q4 2015+17.9%
Q3 2015-10.2%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015-3.9%
Q4 2014+9.3%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-7.2%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013-7.0%
Q1 2013+9.1%
Q4 2012-3.2%
Q3 2012-8.7%
Q2 2012+14.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2009-1.7%
Q4 2011-1.7%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2011+0.1%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010-4.7%

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