NYSE$MTH

Meritage Homes Corp · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Meritage Homes reported third quarter results, achieving highest quarterly home closing revenue and record SG&A leverage.

Meritage Homes reported a strong third quarter with a 35% increase in diluted EPS, driven by record home closing revenue and SG&A leverage. Despite a challenging housing market, the company achieved significant growth in earnings and maintained a healthy balance sheet.

  • Home closing revenue increased by 25% year-over-year to $1.6 billion.
  • Diluted EPS rose by 35% year-over-year, reaching $7.10.
  • SG&A leverage improved by 120 bps to 8.1% of home closing revenue.
  • Sales orders decreased by 33% year-over-year due to elevated cancellations.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.58B

Previous: $1.26B+25.2%
EPS (adj)

$3.55

Previous: $2.63+35.0%
Ending backlog (units)

6.1K

Previous: 5.8K+3.9%
Ending backlog value

$2.83B

Previous: $2.56B+10.6%
Average sales price - backlog

$466K

Previous: $438.00+106292.7%
Capital Expenditures

$6.69M

Previous: $6.94M-3.7%
Free Cash Flow

$30.3M

Previous: -$112M+127.0%
Net Income

$262M

Previous: $201M+30.8%
Operating Income

$308M

Previous: $201M+53.3%
Gross Profit

$451M

Previous: $372M+21.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$299M

Previous: $562M-46.8%
Total Assets

$5.57B

Previous: $4.57B+22.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.85M

Previous: $5.85M+17.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Meritage Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.58B

Q3 2022+25.2%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Meritage Homes · $1.58B total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • Home closing revenue
    $1.57B
  • Land closing revenue
    $8.99M
  • Financial services revenue
    $6.31M

Forward guidance

Meritage Homes projects 4,300-4,700 home closings for the fourth quarter of 2022, generating $1.85-2.10 billion in revenue with a gross margin around 25%. Diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $6.50-7.40.

Tailwinds

  • Projecting 4,300-4,700 home closings.
  • Anticipating quarterly home closing revenue of $1.85-2.10 billion.
  • Projecting an effective tax rate of 23.5%.
  • Expecting diluted EPS to be in the range of $6.50-7.40.
  • Committed to growing Meritage's market share and maximizing shareholder return.

Headwinds

  • Home closing gross margin is projected to be around 25%, reflecting increased incentives.
  • Continuation of rapidly increasing mortgage interest rates.
  • Expectations of further significant increases to come.
  • Inflation and uncertainty in the economy.
  • Building materials and labor shortages are still delaying a return to normal cycle times.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.3%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

33 / 66 earnings

Positive

+20.9%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%+1.0%-6.6%
Q4 2025+1.1%+5.2%+9.0%
Q3 2025-5.9%-7.4%+2.9%
Q2 2025-5.4%-7.1%+7.1%
Q1 2025+1.0%-1.8%-5.8%
Q4 2024+2.8%-1.8%-8.1%
Q3 2024-3.8%-0.6%+2.6%
Q2 2024+1.1%+3.7%+13.9%
Q1 2024+4.3%+7.1%+10.4%
Q4 2023-8.8%-9.9%-5.2%
Q3 2023+9.0%+19.1%+26.2%
Q2 2023+7.0%+6.1%-5.4%
Q1 2023-2.2%+0.7%-6.4%
Q4 2022+8.3%+2.5%+2.1%
Q3 2022+1.6%+4.3%+17.8%
Q2 2022+2.6%+2.4%-6.5%
Q1 2022+4.2%+3.8%+5.9%
Q4 2021-5.6%-2.4%-6.5%
Q3 2021+4.1%+2.2%+9.0%
Q2 2021+10.6%+13.0%+16.1%
Q1 2021+12.6%+13.6%+13.3%
Q4 2020-8.5%-12.0%-10.3%
Q3 2020-11.1%-12.7%-17.1%
Q2 2020+5.3%+15.3%+23.0%
Q1 2020+19.9%+16.3%+59.5%
Q4 2019+3.4%+1.9%-10.5%
Q3 2019-0.6%+0.4%-10.0%
Q2 2019+20.9%+17.8%+20.3%
Q1 2019+5.4%+3.6%+3.9%
Q4 2018+11.5%+10.0%+7.5%
Q3 2018+7.8%+5.4%+15.5%
Q2 2018-0.1%-0.9%+0.8%
Q1 2018+7.0%+4.0%+7.2%
Q4 2017+3.2%-0.3%-8.9%
Q3 2017-0.1%+1.1%+5.9%
Q2 2017+7.9%+7.6%-0.1%
Q1 2017-1.8%-3.8%+1.8%
Q4 2016-6.4%-6.3%-1.2%
Q3 2016-6.9%-8.7%+11.0%
Q2 2016-10.2%-12.9%-12.0%
Q1 2016-11.8%
Q4 2015+17.9%
Q3 2015-10.2%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015-3.9%
Q4 2014+9.3%
Q3 2014-5.3%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-7.2%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013-7.0%
Q1 2013+9.1%
Q4 2012-3.2%
Q3 2012-8.7%
Q2 2012+14.5%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2009-1.7%
Q4 2011-1.7%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2011+0.1%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q1 2010-4.7%

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