NYSE$MTH
Meritage Homes Corp · Q4 2022 earnings
Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Meritage Homes finished 2022 with record fourth quarter results, including a 29% increase in home closings and a 32% increase in home closing revenue.
Meritage Homes reported a strong fourth quarter in 2022, with a 29% increase in home closings and a 32% increase in home closing revenue. Diluted EPS was $7.09, a 13% year-over-year increase. However, the company noted that ongoing economic uncertainty continued to impact buyer psychology and undermine housing demand, leading to a 46% decrease in fourth quarter orders.
- Home closings increased by 29% year-over-year, driving $2.0 billion in home closing revenue.
- Diluted EPS increased by 13% year-over-year to $7.09.
- Sales orders decreased by 46% due to elevated cancellations, with a cancellation rate of 39%.
- The company ended the year with over $860 million in cash and increased community count by 5% year-over-year to 271 active communities.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Meritage Homes · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.98B
Revenue by segment
Meritage Homes · $23.1M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023
- Land closing revenue$17.4M—75.2%
- Financial services revenue$5.73M—24.8%
Forward guidance
Meritage Homes did not provide specific financial guidance for the next quarter or full year 2023 in the earnings report. However, they expressed confidence in their ability to capture market share by focusing on affordable, move-in ready products.
Tailwinds
- Favorable demographics and low supply of new and resale housing inventory should drive long-term demand.
- Company believes they have the right level of completed and near-completed homes to sell in nearly all of their stores.
- Company is working to find the market clearing price to get back to their target absorption pace of 3-4 net sales per month.
- Strategy is centered on affordable, move-in ready product, which they believe will allow them to continue to capture market share.
- Company remains focused on balance sheet discipline and ended the year with over $860 million in cash.
Headwinds
- Ongoing economic uncertainty continued to impact buyer psychology and undermine housing demand.
- Sales orders of 1,808 homes were 46% lower than prior year primarily due to elevated cancellations.
- Cancellation rate was 39% this quarter.
- Average absorption pace was down from 4.5 per month in the fourth quarter of 2021 to 2.2 per month.
- Macroeconomic factors overshadowed favorable demographics and low supply of new and resale housing inventory.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022
+1.0%
Avg return
Earnings day
+2.0%
Avg return
5 days after
+4.3%
Avg return
30 days after
50%
33 / 66 earnings
Positive
+20.9%
Q2 2019
Best reaction
-11.8%
Q1 2016
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.9% | +1.0% | -6.6% | |
| Q4 2025 | +1.1% | +5.2% | +9.0% | |
| Q3 2025 | -5.9% | -7.4% | +2.9% | |
| Q2 2025 | -5.4% | -7.1% | +7.1% | |
| Q1 2025 | +1.0% | -1.8% | -5.8% | |
| Q4 2024 | +2.8% | -1.8% | -8.1% | |
| Q3 2024 | -3.8% | -0.6% | +2.6% | |
| Q2 2024 | +1.1% | +3.7% | +13.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | +4.3% | +7.1% | +10.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | -8.8% | -9.9% | -5.2% | |
| Q3 2023 | +9.0% | +19.1% | +26.2% | |
| Q2 2023 | +7.0% | +6.1% | -5.4% | |
| Q1 2023 | -2.2% | +0.7% | -6.4% | |
| Q4 2022 | +8.3% | +2.5% | +2.1% | |
| Q3 2022 | +1.6% | +4.3% | +17.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | +2.6% | +2.4% | -6.5% | |
| Q1 2022 | +4.2% | +3.8% | +5.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | -5.6% | -2.4% | -6.5% | |
| Q3 2021 | +4.1% | +2.2% | +9.0% | |
| Q2 2021 | +10.6% | +13.0% | +16.1% | |
| Q1 2021 | +12.6% | +13.6% | +13.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | -8.5% | -12.0% | -10.3% | |
| Q3 2020 | -11.1% | -12.7% | -17.1% | |
| Q2 2020 | +5.3% | +15.3% | +23.0% | |
| Q1 2020 | +19.9% | +16.3% | +59.5% | |
| Q4 2019 | +3.4% | +1.9% | -10.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | -0.6% | +0.4% | -10.0% | |
| Q2 2019 | +20.9% | +17.8% | +20.3% | |
| Q1 2019 | +5.4% | +3.6% | +3.9% | |
| Q4 2018 | +11.5% | +10.0% | +7.5% | |
| Q3 2018 | +7.8% | +5.4% | +15.5% | |
| Q2 2018 | -0.1% | -0.9% | +0.8% | |
| Q1 2018 | +7.0% | +4.0% | +7.2% | |
| Q4 2017 | +3.2% | -0.3% | -8.9% | |
| Q3 2017 | -0.1% | +1.1% | +5.9% | |
| Q2 2017 | +7.9% | +7.6% | -0.1% | |
| Q1 2017 | -1.8% | -3.8% | +1.8% | |
| Q4 2016 | -6.4% | -6.3% | -1.2% | |
| Q3 2016 | -6.9% | -8.7% | +11.0% | |
| Q2 2016 | -10.2% | -12.9% | -12.0% | |
| Q1 2016 | -11.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +17.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -10.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -3.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +9.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -5.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -7.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -7.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -7.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +9.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -3.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -8.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +14.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -4.7% | — | — |
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