NYSE$MOH

Molina Healthcare Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Molina Healthcare's financial performance improved with increased premium revenue and net income, driven by effective cost management and the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Molina Healthcare reported a strong second quarter with increased net income and premium revenue. The company's performance was positively impacted by reduced demand for medical services due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which was partially offset by COVID-related premium rate refunds and direct medical costs. The company introduced full year 2021 premium revenue guidance of approximately $21.5 billion, representing 20% growth over 2020.

  • Premium revenue increased by 8.0% to $4.4 billion compared to the second quarter of 2019.
  • Medical care ratio (MCR) improved to 82.3% compared to 85.6% in the second quarter of 2019.
  • Net income rose to $276 million, compared to $196 million for the second quarter of 2019.
  • The company estimates that COVID-19 increased second quarter after-tax income by approximately $65 million to $100 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.62B

Previous: $4.19B+10.1%
EPS (adj)

$4.79

Previous: $2.96+61.8%
Total Membership

3.6M

No prior period
Medicaid Membership

3.1M

No prior period
Medicare Membership

108.0K

No prior period
Marketplace Membership

325.0K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$45M

Previous: -$20M-125.0%
Free Cash Flow

$231M

Previous: $176M+31.3%
Net Income

$276M

Previous: $196M+40.8%
Operating Income

$424M

Previous: $265M+60.0%
Gross Profit

$1.02B

Previous: $4.19B-75.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.3B

Previous: $2.25B+46.6%
Total Assets

$7.88B

Previous: $6.69B+17.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$16M

Previous: $10M+60.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Molina · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.62B

Q2 2020+10.1%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Molina · $8.04B total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Medicaid
    $6.49B+2.9%
  • Medicare
    $1.04B+9.1%
  • Marketplace
    $513M-5.2%

Forward guidance

The Company has increased its full year 2020 total revenue outlook to approximately $18.8 billion, from its previous estimate of $18.3 billion. The Company introduced full year 2021 premium revenue guidance of approximately $21.5 billion, or 20% growth over 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Full year earnings guidance range remains at $11.20 to $11.70 per diluted share.
  • Full year 2020 total revenue outlook increased to approximately $18.8 billion.
  • Full year 2021 premium revenue guidance of approximately $21.5 billion, or 20% growth over 2020.
  • Kentucky Medicaid managed care RFP was awarded to Molina.
  • Acquisition of YourCare assets was completed.

Headwinds

  • Environmental uncertainty is expected to exist through the end of the year.
  • COVID-related premium rate refunds.
  • Impact of lower pricing in the Marketplace program.
  • Direct COVID-19 medical costs.
  • Unspecified risks and uncertainties that could affect future developments.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

27 / 66 earnings

Positive

+26.3%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-25.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%+21.2%+20.3%
Q4 2025-25.5%-30.6%-18.3%
Q3 2025-17.3%-16.5%-27.5%
Q2 2025+4.9%+8.8%+13.3%
Q1 2025-5.5%-3.7%-8.1%
Q4 2024-10.1%-13.9%+3.3%
Q3 2024+14.0%+11.0%+2.4%
Q2 2024+13.0%+16.1%+20.5%
Q1 2024-3.0%-5.3%-8.6%
Q4 2023+6.8%+9.9%+9.9%
Q3 2023-0.7%-1.7%+10.1%
Q2 2023-2.6%-3.5%+1.0%
Q1 2023+6.3%+9.4%-2.2%
Q4 2022-0.5%-1.1%-13.7%
Q3 2022-3.9%-2.0%-10.7%
Q2 2022+2.7%+5.3%+9.7%
Q1 2022-1.9%-4.7%-5.1%
Q4 2021-0.5%-0.0%+1.8%
Q3 2021-0.8%-0.5%-2.4%
Q2 2021-2.0%+5.4%+3.2%
Q1 2021+1.2%+2.2%+0.2%
Q4 2020+5.0%+5.0%+12.9%
Q3 2020-8.2%-2.5%+1.5%
Q2 2020-1.6%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2020+5.2%+9.9%+12.8%
Q4 2019+10.5%+13.3%+3.1%
Q3 2019-0.3%-4.4%+11.0%
Q2 2019-4.4%-7.0%-6.5%
Q1 2019+0.9%-0.2%+2.0%
Q4 2018-5.5%-1.1%+3.6%
Q3 2018-0.8%-0.9%+11.1%
Q2 2018+18.7%+23.1%+34.7%
Q1 2018-2.9%-1.2%+3.4%
Q4 2017-3.8%-8.1%-2.8%
Q3 2017+16.1%+13.7%+14.6%
Q2 2017-6.8%-12.4%-4.0%
Q1 2017+26.3%+30.8%+31.3%
Q4 2016-17.2%+1.6%-6.0%
Q3 2016-5.9%-7.0%-9.3%
Q2 2016+10.1%+8.1%+4.2%
Q1 2016-20.6%
Q4 2015-1.5%
Q3 2015-8.6%
Q2 2015+9.6%
Q1 2015+11.6%
Q4 2014+8.8%
Q3 2014+4.6%
Q2 2014-6.5%
Q1 2014+4.5%
Q4 2013-6.4%
Q3 2013-7.5%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q4 2012+10.0%
Q3 2012+14.3%
Q2 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011-2.5%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q1 2010-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011-2.7%
Q4 2010-2.7%
Q2 2010-2.7%

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