NYSE$MOH

Molina Healthcare Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Molina Healthcare's financial performance was strong in Q1 2024, driven by excellent operating metrics and profitable growth.

Molina Healthcare reported a strong first quarter in 2024, with GAAP earnings per diluted share of $5.17 and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $5.73. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2024 guidance, expecting premium revenue of approximately $38 billion and adjusted earnings of at least $23.50 per diluted share.

  • Served approximately 5.7 million members as of March 31, 2024, a 9% increase compared to March 31, 2023.
  • Premium revenue was approximately $9.5 billion for the first quarter of 2024, a 21% year-over-year increase.
  • GAAP net income was $5.17 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2024, a 6% decrease year-over-year.
  • Adjusted net income was $5.73 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2024, a 1% decrease year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$9.93B

Previous: $8.15B+21.9%
EPS

$5.17

Previous: $5.81-11.0%
Total Membership

5.7M

Previous: 5.3M+8.1%
Medicaid Membership

5.1M

Previous: 4.8M+6.0%
Medicare Membership

258.0K

Previous: 161.0K+60.2%
Marketplace Membership

346.0K

Previous: 271.0K+27.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$27M

Previous: -$32M+15.6%
Free Cash Flow

$274M

Previous: $289M-5.2%
Net Income

$301M

Previous: $321M-6.2%
Operating Income

$426M

Previous: $455M-6.4%
Gross Profit

$1.52B

Previous: $1.28B+18.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.51B

Previous: $4.55B-0.9%
Total Assets

$15.5B

Previous: $13.4B+16.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$36M

Previous: $25M+44.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Molina · Revenue · Quarterly

$9.93B

Q1 2024+21.9%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Molina · $8.04B total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Medicaid
    $6.49B+2.9%
  • Medicare
    $1.04B+9.1%
  • Marketplace
    $513M-5.2%

Forward guidance

The company reaffirmed its full year 2024 guidance with expected premium revenue of approximately $38 billion and adjusted earnings of at least $23.50 per diluted share.

Headwinds

  • Potential earnings headwind in the second half of the year from potential contract losses in Virginia and Florida.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

27 / 66 earnings

Positive

+26.3%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-25.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%+21.2%+20.3%
Q4 2025-25.5%-30.6%-18.3%
Q3 2025-17.3%-16.5%-27.5%
Q2 2025+4.9%+8.8%+13.3%
Q1 2025-5.5%-3.7%-8.1%
Q4 2024-10.1%-13.9%+3.3%
Q3 2024+14.0%+11.0%+2.4%
Q2 2024+13.0%+16.1%+20.5%
Q1 2024-3.0%-5.3%-8.6%
Q4 2023+6.8%+9.9%+9.9%
Q3 2023-0.7%-1.7%+10.1%
Q2 2023-2.6%-3.5%+1.0%
Q1 2023+6.3%+9.4%-2.2%
Q4 2022-0.5%-1.1%-13.7%
Q3 2022-3.9%-2.0%-10.7%
Q2 2022+2.7%+5.3%+9.7%
Q1 2022-1.9%-4.7%-5.1%
Q4 2021-0.5%-0.0%+1.8%
Q3 2021-0.8%-0.5%-2.4%
Q2 2021-2.0%+5.4%+3.2%
Q1 2021+1.2%+2.2%+0.2%
Q4 2020+5.0%+5.0%+12.9%
Q3 2020-8.2%-2.5%+1.5%
Q2 2020-1.6%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2020+5.2%+9.9%+12.8%
Q4 2019+10.5%+13.3%+3.1%
Q3 2019-0.3%-4.4%+11.0%
Q2 2019-4.4%-7.0%-6.5%
Q1 2019+0.9%-0.2%+2.0%
Q4 2018-5.5%-1.1%+3.6%
Q3 2018-0.8%-0.9%+11.1%
Q2 2018+18.7%+23.1%+34.7%
Q1 2018-2.9%-1.2%+3.4%
Q4 2017-3.8%-8.1%-2.8%
Q3 2017+16.1%+13.7%+14.6%
Q2 2017-6.8%-12.4%-4.0%
Q1 2017+26.3%+30.8%+31.3%
Q4 2016-17.2%+1.6%-6.0%
Q3 2016-5.9%-7.0%-9.3%
Q2 2016+10.1%+8.1%+4.2%
Q1 2016-20.6%
Q4 2015-1.5%
Q3 2015-8.6%
Q2 2015+9.6%
Q1 2015+11.6%
Q4 2014+8.8%
Q3 2014+4.6%
Q2 2014-6.5%
Q1 2014+4.5%
Q4 2013-6.4%
Q3 2013-7.5%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q4 2012+10.0%
Q3 2012+14.3%
Q2 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011-2.5%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q1 2010-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011-2.7%
Q4 2010-2.7%
Q2 2010-2.7%

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