NYSE$MOH

Molina Healthcare Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Molina Healthcare reported first quarter earnings with GAAP EPS of $4.39 and adjusted EPS of $4.90.

Molina Healthcare reported strong first quarter results, with premium revenue increasing by 19% compared to the first quarter of 2021. GAAP earnings were $4.39 per diluted share, and adjusted earnings were $4.90 per diluted share. The company increased its full year 2022 premium revenue and adjusted earnings guidance.

  • Served approximately 5.1 million members, a 10% increase compared to March 31, 2021.
  • Premium revenue was approximately $7.5 billion, a 19% increase compared to the first quarter of 2021.
  • GAAP earnings were $4.39 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted earnings were $4.90 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.77B

Previous: $6.52B+19.1%
EPS (adj)

$4.90

Previous: $4.44+10.4%
Total Membership

5.1M

Previous: 4.6M+10.7%
Medicaid Membership

4.6M

Previous: 3.9M+18.3%
Medicare Membership

148.0K

Previous: 126.0K+17.5%
Marketplace Membership

371.0K

Previous: 620.0K-40.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$23M

Previous: -$16M-43.8%
Free Cash Flow

$235M

Previous: $212M+10.8%
Net Income

$258M

Previous: $228M+13.2%
Operating Income

$372M

Previous: $335M+11.0%
Gross Profit

$1.21B

Previous: $1.05B+15.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.8B

Previous: $4.43B+8.4%
Total Assets

$12.4B

Previous: $9.95B+24.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$34M

Previous: $24M+41.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Molina · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.77B

Q1 2022+19.1%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Molina · $7.53B total across 3 segments · Q1 2022

  • Medicaid
    $5.98B+23.6%
  • Medicare
    $943M+18.0%
  • Marketplace
    $608M-8.8%

Forward guidance

The Company increased its full year 2022 premium revenue guidance to approximately $29.25 billion and adjusted earnings guidance to no less than $17.10 per diluted share.

Tailwinds

  • Strong first quarter 2022 performance
  • Expected underlying business strength in the rest of the year
  • Margin associated with the increase in premium revenue guidance
  • Extension of the Public Health Emergency from April to July
  • Higher Marketplace membership

Headwinds

  • A $0.50 per diluted share increase in projected net effect of COVID
  • Temporary labor challenges
  • One-time items
  • Timing differences in government receivables and payables
  • Net effect of COVID decreased net income by approximately $0.57 per diluted share

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

27 / 66 earnings

Positive

+26.3%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-25.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%+21.2%+20.3%
Q4 2025-25.5%-30.6%-18.3%
Q3 2025-17.3%-16.5%-27.5%
Q2 2025+4.9%+8.8%+13.3%
Q1 2025-5.5%-3.7%-8.1%
Q4 2024-10.1%-13.9%+3.3%
Q3 2024+14.0%+11.0%+2.4%
Q2 2024+13.0%+16.1%+20.5%
Q1 2024-3.0%-5.3%-8.6%
Q4 2023+6.8%+9.9%+9.9%
Q3 2023-0.7%-1.7%+10.1%
Q2 2023-2.6%-3.5%+1.0%
Q1 2023+6.3%+9.4%-2.2%
Q4 2022-0.5%-1.1%-13.7%
Q3 2022-3.9%-2.0%-10.7%
Q2 2022+2.7%+5.3%+9.7%
Q1 2022-1.9%-4.7%-5.1%
Q4 2021-0.5%-0.0%+1.8%
Q3 2021-0.8%-0.5%-2.4%
Q2 2021-2.0%+5.4%+3.2%
Q1 2021+1.2%+2.2%+0.2%
Q4 2020+5.0%+5.0%+12.9%
Q3 2020-8.2%-2.5%+1.5%
Q2 2020-1.6%-0.5%-2.0%
Q1 2020+5.2%+9.9%+12.8%
Q4 2019+10.5%+13.3%+3.1%
Q3 2019-0.3%-4.4%+11.0%
Q2 2019-4.4%-7.0%-6.5%
Q1 2019+0.9%-0.2%+2.0%
Q4 2018-5.5%-1.1%+3.6%
Q3 2018-0.8%-0.9%+11.1%
Q2 2018+18.7%+23.1%+34.7%
Q1 2018-2.9%-1.2%+3.4%
Q4 2017-3.8%-8.1%-2.8%
Q3 2017+16.1%+13.7%+14.6%
Q2 2017-6.8%-12.4%-4.0%
Q1 2017+26.3%+30.8%+31.3%
Q4 2016-17.2%+1.6%-6.0%
Q3 2016-5.9%-7.0%-9.3%
Q2 2016+10.1%+8.1%+4.2%
Q1 2016-20.6%
Q4 2015-1.5%
Q3 2015-8.6%
Q2 2015+9.6%
Q1 2015+11.6%
Q4 2014+8.8%
Q3 2014+4.6%
Q2 2014-6.5%
Q1 2014+4.5%
Q4 2013-6.4%
Q3 2013-7.5%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q4 2012+10.0%
Q3 2012+14.3%
Q2 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011-2.5%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q1 2010-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011-2.7%
Q4 2010-2.7%
Q2 2010-2.7%

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