NYSE$MCO
Moody's Corp. · Q4 2023 earnings
Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Moody's reported strong fourth-quarter results, with revenue increasing by 15% and diluted EPS increasing by 38%.
Moody's Corporation reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2023. The company's revenue increased by 15% in Q4, driven by growth in both Moody's Analytics (MA) and Moody's Investors Service (MIS). Diluted EPS increased by 38% to $1.85, and adjusted diluted EPS increased by 37% to $2.19. The company provided a positive outlook for 2024, projecting revenue growth in the high-single-digit to low-double-digit percent range.
- Revenue increased 15% driven by strong performance in MA and MIS.
- Diluted EPS increased 38% and Adjusted Diluted EPS increased 37%.
- MA's revenue grew 11% with double-digit growth across all lines of business.
- MIS's revenue grew 19% driven by a recovery in debt capital markets.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Moody's · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.48B
Revenue by segment
Moody's · $1.47B total across 7 segments · Q3 2023
- Decision Solutions$354M+8.9%24.2%
- Corporate Finance$346M+24.9%23.6%
- Research & Insights$222M+20.7%15.2%
- Data & Information$200M+13.6%13.7%
- Financial Institutions$126M+15.6%8.6%
- Public, Project, and Infrastructure Finance$115M+25.0%7.8%
- Structured Finance$102M+1.0%7.0%
Forward guidance
Moody's provided its outlook for full year 2024. Revenue is expected to increase in the high-single-digit to low-double-digit percent range. Operating expenses are projected to increase in the mid-to-high-single-digit percent range. Diluted EPS is projected to be between $9.45 and $10.20, and adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be between $10.25 and $11.00.
Tailwinds
- Revenue growth in the high-single-digit to low-double-digit percent range.
- Operating cash flow between $2.3 to $2.5 billion.
- Free cash flow between $1.9 to $2.1 billion.
- Share repurchases of approximately $1.0 billion.
- MA Revenue Increase of approximately 10%
Headwinds
- Operating expenses to increase in the mid-to-high-single-digit percent range.
- Interest Expense, Net $240 - $260 million
- Effective Tax Rate 22% to 24%
- Global high yield default rate Rise towards 5.0% in 1H 2024 and then ease to around 4.0% by year-end
- U.S. unemployment rate To average between 4.0% - 4.5% for the full year
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023
+0.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.4%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.0%
Avg return
30 days after
60%
44 / 73 earnings
Positive
+13.5%
Q2 2012
Best reaction
-8.9%
Q3 2018
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +3.8% | +0.3% | -2.3% | |
| Q4 2025 | +6.6% | +3.3% | +2.8% | |
| Q3 2025 | -2.6% | +2.1% | -1.1% | |
| Q2 2025 | +0.0% | -1.8% | -1.7% | |
| Q1 2025 | +4.0% | +6.1% | +14.1% | |
| Q4 2024 | +4.4% | +2.8% | -11.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | -3.7% | -5.0% | -1.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | -3.7% | -0.4% | +6.6% | |
| Q1 2024 | +2.1% | +5.7% | +6.5% | |
| Q4 2023 | -8.6% | -7.6% | -4.4% | |
| Q3 2023 | +1.5% | +0.2% | +18.6% | |
| Q2 2023 | +0.7% | -1.0% | -7.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | +0.8% | +3.5% | +2.3% | |
| Q4 2022 | +2.9% | +3.2% | -7.6% | |
| Q3 2022 | +4.9% | +9.8% | +21.6% | |
| Q2 2022 | +1.0% | +6.8% | +5.3% | |
| Q1 2022 | -2.2% | -5.1% | -10.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | -3.2% | -3.9% | -11.3% | |
| Q3 2021 | +2.9% | -0.5% | -2.2% | |
| Q2 2021 | +0.6% | -0.6% | +0.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | +1.1% | +0.9% | +2.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | +0.6% | +0.7% | +4.7% | |
| Q3 2020 | +0.4% | +2.8% | +5.9% | |
| Q2 2020 | -3.5% | -5.3% | +1.0% | |
| Q1 2020 | -5.2% | -1.8% | +4.9% | |
| Q4 2019 | +0.7% | +2.5% | -21.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | +0.1% | -1.1% | +2.8% | |
| Q2 2019 | +6.8% | +0.2% | +6.6% | |
| Q1 2019 | +2.4% | +3.2% | -1.9% | |
| Q4 2018 | +2.6% | +3.5% | +7.9% | |
| Q3 2018 | -8.9% | -6.2% | -3.1% | |
| Q2 2018 | -8.0% | -7.8% | -6.7% | |
| Q1 2018 | -1.5% | -1.2% | +5.7% | |
| Q4 2017 | +4.7% | +7.5% | +11.8% | |
| Q3 2017 | +0.7% | +1.0% | +5.4% | |
| Q2 2017 | +5.0% | +4.8% | +2.6% | |
| Q1 2017 | -2.3% | -2.3% | -0.5% | |
| Q4 2016 | +2.4% | +3.0% | +1.6% | |
| Q3 2016 | -4.9% | -5.5% | -7.0% | |
| Q2 2016 | +1.3% | +0.8% | +0.3% | |
| Q1 2016 | -3.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -8.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -5.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -1.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +5.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +3.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -3.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +3.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +4.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -3.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +5.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +13.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | -7.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -2.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2008 | -4.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -4.9% | — | — |
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