NYSE$MCO

Moody's Corp. · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Moody's reported an increase in revenue and EPS, driven by strong performance in Moody's Analytics and Moody's Investors Service.

Moody's Corporation reported strong results for the second quarter of 2023, with revenue increasing by 8% and diluted EPS increasing by 16%. The company updated its full-year 2023 outlook to reflect stronger-than-expected investment-grade issuance.

  • Revenue increased by 8% driven by strong demand for data, analytics, and software solutions.
  • Moody's Analytics reported its 62nd consecutive quarter of growth, up 11% from the prior-year period.
  • Increased investor demand for high-quality credits led to higher-than-expected investment grade activity.
  • Diluted EPS increased 16% from the prior-year period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.49B

Previous: $1.38B+8.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.30

Previous: $2.22+3.6%
Operating Margin

36.8%

No prior period
Adjusted Operating Margin

43.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$127M

Previous: -$133M+4.5%
Free Cash Flow

$250M

Previous: $194M+28.9%
Net Income

$377M

Previous: $327M+15.3%
Operating Income

$550M

Previous: $508M+8.3%
Gross Profit

$1.07B

Previous: $988M+8.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.28B

Previous: $1.62B+40.9%
Total Assets

$14.7B

Previous: $14.3B+2.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$50M

Previous: $38M+31.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Moody's · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.49B

Q2 2023+8.2%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Moody's · $1.47B total across 7 segments · Q3 2023

  • Decision Solutions
    $354M+8.9%
  • Corporate Finance
    $346M+24.9%
  • Research & Insights
    $222M+20.7%
  • Data & Information
    $200M+13.6%
  • Financial Institutions
    $126M+15.6%
  • Public, Project, and Infrastructure Finance
    $115M+25.0%
  • Structured Finance
    $102M+1.0%

Forward guidance

Moody's updated its outlook for full year 2023, reflecting assumptions about economic conditions, interest rates, inflation, and capital market activity.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue: Increase in the high-single-digit percent range
  • Adjusted Operating Margin: 44% to 45%
  • Interest expense, net: $260 to $280 million
  • Diluted EPS: $8.70 to $9.20
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS: $9.75 to $10.25

Headwinds

  • Operating expenses: Increase in the mid-single-digit percent range
  • Effective tax rate: 16% to 18%
  • Operating cash flow: $1.9 to $2.1 billion
  • Free Cash Flow: $1.6 to $1.8 billion
  • Share repurchases: Approximately $500 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

44 / 73 earnings

Positive

+13.5%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.8%+0.3%-2.3%
Q4 2025+6.6%+3.3%+2.8%
Q3 2025-2.6%+2.1%-1.1%
Q2 2025+0.0%-1.8%-1.7%
Q1 2025+4.0%+6.1%+14.1%
Q4 2024+4.4%+2.8%-11.6%
Q3 2024-3.7%-5.0%-1.9%
Q2 2024-3.7%-0.4%+6.6%
Q1 2024+2.1%+5.7%+6.5%
Q4 2023-8.6%-7.6%-4.4%
Q3 2023+1.5%+0.2%+18.6%
Q2 2023+0.7%-1.0%-7.2%
Q1 2023+0.8%+3.5%+2.3%
Q4 2022+2.9%+3.2%-7.6%
Q3 2022+4.9%+9.8%+21.6%
Q2 2022+1.0%+6.8%+5.3%
Q1 2022-2.2%-5.1%-10.8%
Q4 2021-3.2%-3.9%-11.3%
Q3 2021+2.9%-0.5%-2.2%
Q2 2021+0.6%-0.6%+0.7%
Q1 2021+1.1%+0.9%+2.7%
Q4 2020+0.6%+0.7%+4.7%
Q3 2020+0.4%+2.8%+5.9%
Q2 2020-3.5%-5.3%+1.0%
Q1 2020-5.2%-1.8%+4.9%
Q4 2019+0.7%+2.5%-21.4%
Q3 2019+0.1%-1.1%+2.8%
Q2 2019+6.8%+0.2%+6.6%
Q1 2019+2.4%+3.2%-1.9%
Q4 2018+2.6%+3.5%+7.9%
Q3 2018-8.9%-6.2%-3.1%
Q2 2018-8.0%-7.8%-6.7%
Q1 2018-1.5%-1.2%+5.7%
Q4 2017+4.7%+7.5%+11.8%
Q3 2017+0.7%+1.0%+5.4%
Q2 2017+5.0%+4.8%+2.6%
Q1 2017-2.3%-2.3%-0.5%
Q4 2016+2.4%+3.0%+1.6%
Q3 2016-4.9%-5.5%-7.0%
Q2 2016+1.3%+0.8%+0.3%
Q1 2016-3.1%
Q4 2015-8.9%
Q3 2015-5.0%
Q2 2015-1.3%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+2.3%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013-3.7%
Q2 2013+3.6%
Q1 2013+4.9%
Q4 2012-3.2%
Q3 2012+5.3%
Q2 2012+13.5%
Q1 2012-1.0%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011+2.0%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011+0.3%
Q4 2010+0.4%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q1 2009-7.5%
Q1 2010-2.8%
Q4 2007+2.2%
Q4 2009+2.2%
Q2 2009+2.2%
Q3 2008+2.0%
Q3 2009+2.0%
Q2 2008-4.9%
Q4 2008-4.9%

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