NYSE$MCO

Moody's Corp. · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Moody's reported strong first-quarter results, marked by significant revenue growth and improved earnings per share.

Moody's Corporation reported a strong first quarter in 2024, with revenue increasing by 21% to $1.8 billion. Moody's Investors Service (MIS) revenue grew by 35%, and Moody's Analytics (MA) revenue increased by 8%. The company's diluted EPS was $3.15, and adjusted diluted EPS was $3.37. Moody's has narrowed its Adjusted Diluted EPS guidance to be in the range of $10.40 to $11.00.

  • Revenue increased by 21% compared to the prior-year period.
  • Moody’s Investors Service revenue grew 35%, driven by improved market conditions.
  • Moody’s Analytics revenue increased by 8%, with ARR growing by 10%.
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS guidance narrowed to a range of $10.40 to $11.00.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.79B

Previous: $1.47B+21.5%
EPS

$3.15

Previous: $2.99+5.4%
Operating Margin

44.8%

Previous: 37.7%+18.8%
Adjusted Operating Margin

50.7%

Previous: 44.6%+13.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$78M

Previous: -$73M-6.8%
Free Cash Flow

$499M

Previous: $428M+16.6%
Net Income

$577M

Previous: $501M+15.2%
Operating Income

$801M

Previous: $554M+44.6%
Gross Profit

$1.32B

Previous: $1.04B+26.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.48B

Previous: $2.12B+16.8%
Total Assets

$15B

Previous: $14.7B+2.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$53M

Previous: $47M+12.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Moody's · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.79B

Q1 2024+21.5%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Moody's · $4.48B total across 10 segments · Q2 2026

  • Moody's Investors Service
    $1.26B
  • Moody's Analytics
    $925M
  • Corporate Finance
    $651M
  • Decision Solutions
    $423M
  • Research and Insights
    $256M
  • Data and Information
    $246M
  • Public, Project and Infrastructure Finance
    $224M
  • Financial Institutions
    $222M
  • Structured Finance
    $151M
  • KYC
    $121M

Forward guidance

Moody's updated outlook for full year 2024 reflects assumptions about numerous factors that could affect its business and is based on currently available information reviewed by management.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue: Increase in the high-single-digit to low-double-digit percent range
  • Operating Expenses: Increase in the mid-to-high-single-digit percent range
  • Adjusted Operating Margin: 44% to 46%
  • Operating Cash Flow: $2.3 to $2.5 billion
  • Free Cash Flow: $1.9 to $2.1 billion

Headwinds

  • Operating Margin: 37% to 39%
  • Interest Expense, Net: $240 - $260 million
  • Effective Tax Rate: 22% to 24%
  • Diluted EPS: $9.55 to $10.15
  • Share Repurchases: Approximately $1.0 billion (subject to available cash, market conditions, M&A opportunities, and other ongoing capital allocation decisions)

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

44 / 73 earnings

Positive

+13.5%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026
Q1 2026+3.8%+0.3%-2.3%
Q4 2025+6.6%+3.3%+2.8%
Q3 2025-2.6%+2.1%-1.1%
Q2 2025+0.0%-1.8%-1.7%
Q1 2025+4.0%+6.1%+14.1%
Q4 2024+4.4%+2.8%-11.6%
Q3 2024-3.7%-5.0%-1.9%
Q2 2024-3.7%-0.4%+6.6%
Q1 2024+2.1%+5.7%+6.5%
Q4 2023-8.6%-7.6%-4.4%
Q3 2023+1.5%+0.2%+18.6%
Q2 2023+0.7%-1.0%-7.2%
Q1 2023+0.8%+3.5%+2.3%
Q4 2022+2.9%+3.2%-7.6%
Q3 2022+4.9%+9.8%+21.6%
Q2 2022+1.0%+6.8%+5.3%
Q1 2022-2.2%-5.1%-10.8%
Q4 2021-3.2%-3.9%-11.3%
Q3 2021+2.9%-0.5%-2.2%
Q2 2021+0.6%-0.6%+0.7%
Q1 2021+1.1%+0.9%+2.7%
Q4 2020+0.6%+0.7%+4.7%
Q3 2020+0.4%+2.8%+5.9%
Q2 2020-3.5%-5.3%+1.0%
Q1 2020-5.2%-1.8%+4.9%
Q4 2019+0.7%+2.5%-21.4%
Q3 2019+0.1%-1.1%+2.8%
Q2 2019+6.8%+0.2%+6.6%
Q1 2019+2.4%+3.2%-1.9%
Q4 2018+2.6%+3.5%+7.9%
Q3 2018-8.9%-6.2%-3.1%
Q2 2018-8.0%-7.8%-6.7%
Q1 2018-1.5%-1.2%+5.7%
Q4 2017+4.7%+7.5%+11.8%
Q3 2017+0.7%+1.0%+5.4%
Q2 2017+5.0%+4.8%+2.6%
Q1 2017-2.3%-2.3%-0.5%
Q4 2016+2.4%+3.0%+1.6%
Q3 2016-4.9%-5.5%-7.0%
Q2 2016+1.3%+0.8%+0.3%
Q1 2016-3.1%
Q4 2015-8.9%
Q3 2015-5.0%
Q2 2015-1.3%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+2.3%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013-3.7%
Q2 2013+3.6%
Q1 2013+4.9%
Q4 2012-3.2%
Q3 2012+5.3%
Q2 2012+13.5%
Q1 2012-1.0%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011+2.0%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011+0.3%
Q4 2010+0.4%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q1 2009-7.5%
Q1 2010-2.8%
Q4 2007+2.2%
Q4 2009+2.2%
Q2 2009+2.2%
Q3 2008+2.0%
Q3 2009+2.0%
Q2 2008-4.9%
Q4 2008-4.9%

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