NYSE$EL

Estee Lauder Companies Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net sales and diluted EPS decreased due to COVID-19 restrictions in mainland China and rising COVID cases, partially offset by strong organic net sales growth across developed and emerging markets globally. The company exceeded adjusted diluted EPS outlook despite incremental external headwinds.

The Estée Lauder Companies reported a 17% decrease in net sales and a 63% decrease in diluted EPS for the second quarter of fiscal year 2023. Organic net sales fell by 11%. The company exceeded its adjusted diluted EPS outlook despite challenges in mainland China due to COVID-19 restrictions.

  • Net sales decreased 17% and diluted EPS decreased 63%.
  • Organic net sales decreased 11% and adjusted diluted EPS fell 44% in constant currency.
  • The company exceeded adjusted diluted EPS outlook despite incremental external headwinds.
  • Lowering second half outlook amid volatility in travel retail.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.62B

Previous: $5.54B-16.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.54

Previous: $3.01-48.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$419M

Previous: -$459M+8.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$22M

Previous: $631M-103.5%
Net Income

$397M

Previous: $1.09B-63.6%
Operating Income

$556M

Previous: $1.42B-60.8%
Gross Profit

$3.4B

Previous: $4.32B-21.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.73B

Previous: $4.6B-19.1%
Total Assets

$20.7B

Previous: $22.1B-6.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$112M

Previous: $113M-0.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Estee Lauder · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.62B

Q2 2023-16.6%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Estee Lauder · $4.62B total across 5 segments · Q2 2023

  • Skin Care
    $2.38B-24.6%
  • Makeup
    $1.27B-8.5%
  • Fragrance
    $775M-3.0%
  • Hair Care
    $182M+1.1%
  • Other
    $14M-12.5%

Forward guidance

The Company expects the remainder of the fiscal year to be volatile, including risks associated with the uncertain pace of recovery of consumers in travel retail, and pressured by the ongoing disruptions due to the evolving COVID-19 environment, inflation, supply chain disruptions, and the risk of a slowdown in certain markets globally.

Tailwinds

  • A shift in the return to growth in Asia Travel Retail and mainland China from the fiscal 2023 third quarter to the fourth quarter, reflecting the normalization of inventory levels in Hainan.
  • An acceleration of retail sales in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 in travel retail, primarily due to the resumption of outbound Chinese traveling consumers.
  • A moderate return to net sales growth in mainland China.
  • Increased productive distribution throughout the year to retailers that provide new consumer reach and continued strategic entry into new countries for some of the Company’s brands.
  • The mitigation of most inflationary pressures through strategic price increases, mix optimization and cost savings in other areas.

Headwinds

  • Risks associated with the uncertain pace of recovery of consumers in travel retail.
  • Pressured by the ongoing disruptions due to the evolving COVID-19 environment.
  • Inflation.
  • Supply chain disruptions.
  • The risk of a slowdown in certain markets globally.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 67 earnings

Positive

+12.8%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-23.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.8%+13.0%+16.1%
Q2 2026-19.2%-15.3%-22.5%
Q1 2026+0.3%-4.6%-3.4%
Q3 2025-1.8%-2.4%+11.6%
Q2 2025-16.1%-21.4%-13.6%
Q1 2025-23.6%-24.4%-17.2%
Q4 2024-4.2%-1.3%-7.3%
Q3 2024-8.0%-11.3%-15.9%
Q2 2024+9.0%+6.9%+8.4%
Q1 2024-11.2%-12.6%+2.4%
Q4 2023-6.9%-5.7%-3.9%
Q3 2023-18.0%-16.0%-23.2%
Q2 2023-4.0%-7.0%-9.8%
Q1 2023-6.3%-0.4%+15.6%
Q4 2022-1.2%-4.0%-13.4%
Q3 2022-1.3%-7.8%+1.4%
Q2 2022-1.8%-1.3%-10.5%
Q1 2022+4.7%+7.5%+2.9%
Q4 2021+3.5%+5.8%+0.3%
Q3 2021-3.7%-3.3%-3.2%
Q2 2021+10.9%+12.4%+15.7%
Q1 2021+2.3%+8.6%+11.7%
Q4 2020-2.6%+1.4%-0.1%
Q3 2020-1.1%-3.9%+11.9%
Q2 2020+3.8%+4.2%-4.7%
Q1 2020-3.5%-4.8%+1.1%
Q4 2019+12.8%+10.0%+7.1%
Q3 2019-0.9%-1.0%-6.3%
Q2 2019+10.3%+13.6%+14.1%
Q1 2019+8.2%+8.1%+8.7%
Q4 2018+0.5%-0.3%+2.7%
Q3 2018-7.5%-7.7%+2.4%
Q2 2018-0.2%+0.1%+4.5%
Q1 2018+7.5%+8.3%+11.6%
Q4 2017+8.3%+6.2%+11.6%
Q3 2017+5.0%+5.9%+9.9%
Q2 2017+3.9%+4.4%+3.8%
Q1 2017-7.8%-6.7%-12.1%
Q4 2016-3.9%-4.8%-7.8%
Q3 2016-4.1%
Q2 2016+3.0%
Q1 2016+7.9%
Q4 2015-5.6%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q2 2015+9.6%
Q1 2015-6.3%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2014+2.6%
Q2 2014-3.5%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-2.6%
Q4 2012+10.8%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q2 2012-0.1%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q2 2011+4.0%
Q4 2009+4.0%
Q4 2011+4.0%
Q3 2011+5.7%
Q3 2010+5.7%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%

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