NYSE$EL

Estee Lauder Companies Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net sales and diluted EPS declined due to pressures in Asia travel retail and a slower recovery in mainland China, but profitability exceeded expectations.

The Estée Lauder Companies reported a 10% decrease in net sales and a significant decline in diluted EPS for the first quarter of fiscal 2024. The results were impacted by challenges in Asia travel retail and a slower recovery of prestige beauty in mainland China, although organic sales grew in the United States and other markets. The company is lowering its full-year outlook due to these headwinds but is accelerating its profit recovery plan.

  • Net sales decreased by 10%, with organic net sales declining by 11%.
  • Diluted EPS decreased to $0.09, with adjusted diluted EPS declining to $0.11.
  • The company is lowering its fiscal 2024 outlook due to slower growth in Asia travel retail and mainland China.
  • A profit recovery plan is being accelerated and expanded to benefit fiscal years 2025 and 2026.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.52B

Previous: $3.93B-10.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.11

Previous: $1.37-92.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$295M

Previous: -$152M-94.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$259M

Previous: $338M-176.6%
Net Income

$36M

Previous: $490M-92.7%
Operating Income

$98M

Previous: $661M-85.2%
Gross Profit

$2.45B

Previous: $2.91B-15.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.09B

Previous: $2.94B+5.2%
Total Assets

$22.7B

Previous: $20B+13.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$80M

Previous: $53M+50.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Estee Lauder · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.52B

Q1 2024-10.5%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Estee Lauder · $3.52B total across 5 segments · Q1 2024

  • Skin Care
    $1.64B-22.1%
  • Makeup
    $1.06B+1.0%
  • Fragrance
    $637M+4.9%
  • Hair Care
    $148M-6.3%
  • Other
    $32M+128.6%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates progressively improving performance in the second half of fiscal 2024 and plans to strategically invest in consumer-facing activities. They are lowering their outlook to reflect the slower pace of recovery in net sales and margins due to incremental external headwinds.

Tailwinds

  • A return to net sales growth in the second half of fiscal 2024 is expected.
  • Full-year gross margin expansion is primarily driven by strategic price increases, discount reductions, and lower obsolescence charges.
  • Progressive operating margin improvement is expected throughout the second half of fiscal 2024.
  • The company will continue to strategically invest in consumer-facing activities to support recovery and share gains.
  • Completion of the first manufacturing facility in Asia, located in Japan, to support the regionalization of the supply chain in the Asia/Pacific region.

Headwinds

  • Reported net sales are forecasted to decrease between 11% and 9% for the second quarter of fiscal 2024.
  • Organic net sales are forecasted to decrease between 10% and 8% for the second quarter of fiscal 2024.
  • The potential risks of further business disruptions in Israel and other parts of the Middle East are expected to have a dilutive impact to net earnings per share of $0.08 for Q2 2024.
  • Adjusted diluted net earnings per common share are expected to decrease between 33% and 25% for the full year on a constant currency basis.
  • The expected growth rate of overall prestige beauty has slowed in mainland China.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 67 earnings

Positive

+12.8%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-23.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.8%+13.0%+16.1%
Q2 2026-19.2%-15.3%-22.5%
Q1 2026+0.3%-4.6%-3.4%
Q3 2025-1.8%-2.4%+11.6%
Q2 2025-16.1%-21.4%-13.6%
Q1 2025-23.6%-24.4%-17.2%
Q4 2024-4.2%-1.3%-7.3%
Q3 2024-8.0%-11.3%-15.9%
Q2 2024+9.0%+6.9%+8.4%
Q1 2024-11.2%-12.6%+2.4%
Q4 2023-6.9%-5.7%-3.9%
Q3 2023-18.0%-16.0%-23.2%
Q2 2023-4.0%-7.0%-9.8%
Q1 2023-6.3%-0.4%+15.6%
Q4 2022-1.2%-4.0%-13.4%
Q3 2022-1.3%-7.8%+1.4%
Q2 2022-1.8%-1.3%-10.5%
Q1 2022+4.7%+7.5%+2.9%
Q4 2021+3.5%+5.8%+0.3%
Q3 2021-3.7%-3.3%-3.2%
Q2 2021+10.9%+12.4%+15.7%
Q1 2021+2.3%+8.6%+11.7%
Q4 2020-2.6%+1.4%-0.1%
Q3 2020-1.1%-3.9%+11.9%
Q2 2020+3.8%+4.2%-4.7%
Q1 2020-3.5%-4.8%+1.1%
Q4 2019+12.8%+10.0%+7.1%
Q3 2019-0.9%-1.0%-6.3%
Q2 2019+10.3%+13.6%+14.1%
Q1 2019+8.2%+8.1%+8.7%
Q4 2018+0.5%-0.3%+2.7%
Q3 2018-7.5%-7.7%+2.4%
Q2 2018-0.2%+0.1%+4.5%
Q1 2018+7.5%+8.3%+11.6%
Q4 2017+8.3%+6.2%+11.6%
Q3 2017+5.0%+5.9%+9.9%
Q2 2017+3.9%+4.4%+3.8%
Q1 2017-7.8%-6.7%-12.1%
Q4 2016-3.9%-4.8%-7.8%
Q3 2016-4.1%
Q2 2016+3.0%
Q1 2016+7.9%
Q4 2015-5.6%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q2 2015+9.6%
Q1 2015-6.3%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2014+2.6%
Q2 2014-3.5%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-2.6%
Q4 2012+10.8%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q2 2012-0.1%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q2 2011+4.0%
Q4 2009+4.0%
Q4 2011+4.0%
Q3 2011+5.7%
Q3 2010+5.7%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%

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