NYSE$EL
Estee Lauder Companies Inc · Q1 2023 earnings
Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Net sales and diluted EPS decreased due to COVID-19 restrictions in China, high inflation globally, and a strong U.S. dollar.
The Estée Lauder Companies reported a decrease in net sales by 11% to $3.93 billion and a decrease in diluted EPS by 28% to $1.35 for the first quarter of fiscal 2023. Organic net sales fell by 5%, impacted by COVID-19 restrictions in China and inventory management by retailers. Strong growth was seen in fragrance and hair care, as well as in several markets in Asia/Pacific and the West.
- Net sales decreased by 11% and diluted EPS decreased by 28%.
- Organic net sales decreased by 5%, impacted by COVID-19 restrictions in China.
- Fragrance and Hair Care each rose double digits organically.
- 13 brands grew organically, including M·A·C, La Mer, Jo Malone London, and Aveda.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Estee Lauder · Revenue · Quarterly
$3.93B
Revenue by segment
Estee Lauder · $3.94B total across 5 segments · Q1 2023
- Skin Care$2.1B-14.1%53.5%
- Makeup$1.05B-10.4%26.7%
- Fragrance$607M-0.3%15.4%
- Hair Care$158M+6.8%4.0%
- Other$14M+7.7%0.4%
Forward guidance
The Company expects the remainder of the fiscal year to be pressured by the temporary disruptions due to headwinds from the COVID-19 restrictions in China, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, record-high inflation, supply chain disruptions, and the risk of a slowdown in certain markets globally.
Tailwinds
- Increased productive distribution throughout the year to retailers that provide new consumer reach and continued strategic entry into new countries for some of our brands.
- The mitigation of most inflationary pressures through strategic price increases, mix optimization and cost savings in other areas.
- Incremental savings from the Post-COVID Business Acceleration Program and reinvestment in advertising and capabilities.
- Full-year effective tax rate of approximately 25%.
- Sequential improvement to its results and a gradual recovery as restrictions are lifted, travel resumes to Hainan and the tightening of inventory subsides.
Headwinds
- Ongoing tightening of inventory by certain of our retailers in Asia travel retail and in the United States.
- A more tempered expectation on the timing of traffic recovery in travel retail in Hainan to the second half of the fiscal year.
- The Company is mindful of ongoing risks related to the COVID-19 pandemic as well as risks related to the effects of the global macro environment, including the risk of recession.
- Foreign currency volatility; increasing inflationary pressures; supply chain disruptions; social and political issues; regulatory matters, including the imposition of tariffs and sanctions; geopolitical tensions; and global security issues.
- The Company is also mindful of inflationary pressures on our cost base and consumer behaviors.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023
-0.2%
Avg return
Earnings day
-1.3%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.0%
Avg return
30 days after
49%
33 / 67 earnings
Positive
+12.8%
Q4 2019
Best reaction
-23.6%
Q1 2025
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | +0.8% | +13.0% | +16.1% | |
| Q2 2026 | -19.2% | -15.3% | -22.5% | |
| Q1 2026 | +0.3% | -4.6% | -3.4% | |
| Q3 2025 | -1.8% | -2.4% | +11.6% | |
| Q2 2025 | -16.1% | -21.4% | -13.6% | |
| Q1 2025 | -23.6% | -24.4% | -17.2% | |
| Q4 2024 | -4.2% | -1.3% | -7.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | -8.0% | -11.3% | -15.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | +9.0% | +6.9% | +8.4% | |
| Q1 2024 | -11.2% | -12.6% | +2.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | -6.9% | -5.7% | -3.9% | |
| Q3 2023 | -18.0% | -16.0% | -23.2% | |
| Q2 2023 | -4.0% | -7.0% | -9.8% | |
| Q1 2023 | -6.3% | -0.4% | +15.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | -1.2% | -4.0% | -13.4% | |
| Q3 2022 | -1.3% | -7.8% | +1.4% | |
| Q2 2022 | -1.8% | -1.3% | -10.5% | |
| Q1 2022 | +4.7% | +7.5% | +2.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | +3.5% | +5.8% | +0.3% | |
| Q3 2021 | -3.7% | -3.3% | -3.2% | |
| Q2 2021 | +10.9% | +12.4% | +15.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | +2.3% | +8.6% | +11.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | -2.6% | +1.4% | -0.1% | |
| Q3 2020 | -1.1% | -3.9% | +11.9% | |
| Q2 2020 | +3.8% | +4.2% | -4.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -3.5% | -4.8% | +1.1% | |
| Q4 2019 | +12.8% | +10.0% | +7.1% | |
| Q3 2019 | -0.9% | -1.0% | -6.3% | |
| Q2 2019 | +10.3% | +13.6% | +14.1% | |
| Q1 2019 | +8.2% | +8.1% | +8.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | +0.5% | -0.3% | +2.7% | |
| Q3 2018 | -7.5% | -7.7% | +2.4% | |
| Q2 2018 | -0.2% | +0.1% | +4.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | +7.5% | +8.3% | +11.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | +8.3% | +6.2% | +11.6% | |
| Q3 2017 | +5.0% | +5.9% | +9.9% | |
| Q2 2017 | +3.9% | +4.4% | +3.8% | |
| Q1 2017 | -7.8% | -6.7% | -12.1% | |
| Q4 2016 | -3.9% | -4.8% | -7.8% | |
| Q3 2016 | -4.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2016 | +3.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | +7.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -5.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +4.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +9.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -6.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -3.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -2.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +3.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +3.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +10.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +2.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +4.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +4.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +4.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +5.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +5.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -0.9% | — | — |
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