NYSE$EL

Estee Lauder Companies Inc · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net sales and diluted net EPS decreased, while adjusted diluted EPS increased, and fiscal 2025 outlook was withdrawn amid uncertainty in China and leadership changes.

The Estée Lauder Companies reported a decrease in net sales and a net loss for the first quarter of fiscal 2025. Despite challenges in China and Asia travel retail, adjusted diluted EPS increased. The company has withdrawn its fiscal 2025 outlook due to market uncertainties and leadership changes, and has reduced its dividend payout ratio.

  • Net sales decreased by 4% compared to the prior year, reaching $3.36 billion.
  • Organic net sales decreased by 5% due to worsened consumer sentiment in China and low conversion rates in Asia travel retail.
  • The company reported a net loss of $156 million, primarily due to charges associated with talcum litigation settlement agreements.
  • Adjusted diluted net earnings per common share increased to $0.14, a 7% rise in constant currency.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.36B

Previous: $3.52B-4.5%
EPS

-$0.43

Previous: $0.11-490.9%
Gross Margin

72.4%

No prior period
Operating Margin

-3.6%

No prior period
Adj. Operating Margin

4.3%

No prior period
Effective Tax Rate

13.3%

No prior period
Adj. Effective Tax Rate

38.8%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$141M

Previous: -$295M+52.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$297M

Previous: -$259M-14.7%
Net Income

-$156M

Previous: $36M-533.3%
Operating Income

-$121M

Previous: $98M-223.5%
Gross Profit

$2.43B

Previous: $2.45B-0.6%
Total Assets

$21.3B

Previous: $22.7B-5.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$74M

Previous: $80M-7.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Estee Lauder · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.36B

Q1 2025-4.5%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Estee Lauder · $3.52B total across 5 segments · Q1 2024

  • Skin Care
    $1.64B-22.1%
  • Makeup
    $1.06B+1.0%
  • Fragrance
    $637M+4.9%
  • Hair Care
    $148M-6.3%
  • Other
    $32M+128.6%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates continued challenges in mainland China and Asia travel retail, but is cautiously optimistic about long-term growth opportunities from new economic stimulus measures in China. The company expects ongoing normalization of growth in prestige beauty, particularly in North America, and is providing only a second quarter outlook, withdrawing the full-year fiscal 2025 outlook.

Tailwinds

  • Potential medium- to long-term growth opportunities presented by new economic stimulus measures in China.
  • Continued investments to support growth in key areas of the business, particularly for innovation, holiday and key shopping moments.
  • Sequential acceleration of retail sales growth in the U.S.
  • Expansion of consumer reach of luxury and artisanal portfolio.
  • Strategic investments to support targeted expanded consumer reach globally and the growth of the Company’s Luxury Brands

Headwinds

  • Additional risks associated with the ongoing slowdown in overall prestige beauty in mainland China and the challenging retail environment in Asia travel retail.
  • Continued net sales decline in Hong Kong SAR primarily driven by ongoing low conversion rates among traveling consumers due to worsened consumer sentiment.
  • Volatility and uncertainty remain elevated in the near-term in China.
  • The company does not expect the stimulus measures to benefit its second quarter performance.
  • Ongoing normalization of growth in the prestige beauty industry, most notably in North America.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 67 earnings

Positive

+12.8%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-23.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.8%+13.0%+16.1%
Q2 2026-19.2%-15.3%-22.5%
Q1 2026+0.3%-4.6%-3.4%
Q3 2025-1.8%-2.4%+11.6%
Q2 2025-16.1%-21.4%-13.6%
Q1 2025-23.6%-24.4%-17.2%
Q4 2024-4.2%-1.3%-7.3%
Q3 2024-8.0%-11.3%-15.9%
Q2 2024+9.0%+6.9%+8.4%
Q1 2024-11.2%-12.6%+2.4%
Q4 2023-6.9%-5.7%-3.9%
Q3 2023-18.0%-16.0%-23.2%
Q2 2023-4.0%-7.0%-9.8%
Q1 2023-6.3%-0.4%+15.6%
Q4 2022-1.2%-4.0%-13.4%
Q3 2022-1.3%-7.8%+1.4%
Q2 2022-1.8%-1.3%-10.5%
Q1 2022+4.7%+7.5%+2.9%
Q4 2021+3.5%+5.8%+0.3%
Q3 2021-3.7%-3.3%-3.2%
Q2 2021+10.9%+12.4%+15.7%
Q1 2021+2.3%+8.6%+11.7%
Q4 2020-2.6%+1.4%-0.1%
Q3 2020-1.1%-3.9%+11.9%
Q2 2020+3.8%+4.2%-4.7%
Q1 2020-3.5%-4.8%+1.1%
Q4 2019+12.8%+10.0%+7.1%
Q3 2019-0.9%-1.0%-6.3%
Q2 2019+10.3%+13.6%+14.1%
Q1 2019+8.2%+8.1%+8.7%
Q4 2018+0.5%-0.3%+2.7%
Q3 2018-7.5%-7.7%+2.4%
Q2 2018-0.2%+0.1%+4.5%
Q1 2018+7.5%+8.3%+11.6%
Q4 2017+8.3%+6.2%+11.6%
Q3 2017+5.0%+5.9%+9.9%
Q2 2017+3.9%+4.4%+3.8%
Q1 2017-7.8%-6.7%-12.1%
Q4 2016-3.9%-4.8%-7.8%
Q3 2016-4.1%
Q2 2016+3.0%
Q1 2016+7.9%
Q4 2015-5.6%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q2 2015+9.6%
Q1 2015-6.3%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2014+2.6%
Q2 2014-3.5%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-2.6%
Q4 2012+10.8%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q2 2012-0.1%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q2 2011+4.0%
Q4 2009+4.0%
Q4 2011+4.0%
Q3 2011+5.7%
Q3 2010+5.7%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q1 2010-0.9%

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