NYSE$EFX

Equifax Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Equifax's Q4 2023 financial results were announced, showcasing revenue growth despite challenges in the mortgage market.

Equifax reported a strong Q4 2023 with an 11% increase in revenue to $1.327 billion. Adjusted EPS increased by 19% to $1.81. The company's non-mortgage business saw a 14% local currency revenue growth, driven by new product performance and strong growth in Workforce Solutions and International segments.

  • Equifax's Q4 2023 revenue grew by 11% to $1.327 billion, driven by a 14% non-mortgage local currency revenue growth.
  • Workforce Solutions revenue increased by 10%, with a 17% non-mortgage revenue growth, and Verification Services non-mortgage revenue growth of 27%.
  • USIS revenue grew by 5%, with mortgage revenue up by 16% and non-mortgage revenue up by 3%.
  • International revenue increased by 20% on a reported basis and 22% on a local currency basis, with organic local currency revenue growth of 6%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.33B

Previous: $1.2B+10.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.81

Previous: $1.52+19.1%
Workforce Solutions Operating Margin

41.9%

Previous: 36.5%+14.8%
Workforce Solutions Adj. EBITDA Margin

51.2%

Previous: 46.8%+9.4%
International Operating Margin

17.9%

Previous: 12.4%+44.4%
International Adj. EBITDA Margin

31.2%

Previous: 25.8%+20.9%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

33.7%

Previous: 31.0%+8.7%
New Product Vitality Index

14.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$146M

No prior period
Net Income

$132M

Previous: $108M+22.4%
Operating Income

$245M

Previous: $176M+39.2%
Gross Profit

$589M

Previous: $659M-10.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.5M

Previous: $12.2M-13.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Equifax · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.33B

Q4 2023+10.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Equifax · $2.18B total across 7 segments · Q4 2021

  • Workforce Solutions
    $532M+30.8%
  • U.S. Information Solutions
    $434M+12.0%
  • Verification Services
    $427M
  • Online Information Solutions
    $314M
  • International
    $288M+16.2%
  • Employer Services
    $105M
  • Financial Marketing Services
    $79.4M

Forward guidance

Equifax issued its full-year 2024 guidance midpoint expectation for revenue of $5.720 billion, up 8.6%, with strong non-mortgage local currency revenue growth of over 10.5% and Adjusted EPS of $7.35. This reflects an expected 16%+ decline in our outlook for 2024 U.S. mortgage credit inquiries

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to grow by 8.6%.
  • Non-mortgage local currency revenue growth is expected to be over 10.5%.
  • Adjusted EPS is projected to be $7.35.
  • EBITDA margins are expected to expand to 33.3%.
  • The company anticipates outperforming the U.S. mortgage market by approximately 24% across USIS and Workforce Solutions.

Headwinds

  • An over 16% decline in U.S. mortgage credit inquiries is expected.
  • First half mortgage credit inquiries are anticipated to be weaker than the second half.
  • Guidance reflects an expectation of an over 16% decline in U.S. mortgage credit inquiries.
  • Normalization of incentive plans will lead to higher costs.
  • Mortgage Solutions revenue was $22.9 million, down 12 percent when compared to the fourth quarter of 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

30 / 70 earnings

Positive

+15.2%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-17.4%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-13.1%-19.4%
Q4 2025-3.8%+14.0%+18.7%
Q3 2025-0.6%+1.2%-10.6%
Q2 2025-2.1%-1.3%+1.2%
Q1 2025+13.8%+19.1%+22.4%
Q4 2024-8.4%-6.4%-5.8%
Q3 2024-3.4%-4.9%-14.4%
Q2 2024-0.2%+1.9%+10.5%
Q1 2024-8.8%-8.2%+4.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+5.1%+11.0%
Q3 2023-1.0%-1.0%+13.5%
Q2 2023-9.0%-13.1%-19.2%
Q1 2023+3.8%+3.1%+7.9%
Q4 2022-7.3%-4.1%-13.4%
Q3 2022-9.5%-5.4%+20.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%-1.4%+3.8%
Q1 2022-7.1%-2.3%-10.9%
Q4 2021-2.1%-6.4%-5.2%
Q3 2021-6.5%+0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2021-2.7%-0.6%+0.8%
Q1 2021+15.2%+17.3%+23.4%
Q4 2020-3.4%-1.2%-4.8%
Q3 2020-2.4%-5.5%+7.5%
Q2 2020+6.2%-0.6%-4.2%
Q1 2020+1.6%+2.7%+16.8%
Q4 2019+5.8%+6.3%-8.2%
Q3 2019-1.2%-1.9%-0.9%
Q2 2019-2.1%+1.6%+0.9%
Q1 2019-2.2%-0.3%+9.3%
Q4 2018+1.1%+1.0%+3.3%
Q3 2018-17.4%-18.8%-15.1%
Q2 2018-3.1%-1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2018-2.7%-5.9%-3.3%
Q4 2017+3.7%+7.4%+4.3%
Q3 2017+1.4%+2.0%+9.5%
Q2 2017-1.5%+0.4%-2.8%
Q1 2017-2.4%-3.2%-2.2%
Q4 2016+5.8%+7.4%+10.0%
Q3 2016-5.6%-5.0%-8.0%
Q2 2016-1.9%-3.0%-3.4%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+0.2%
Q3 2015-4.1%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-2.6%
Q2 2014+2.7%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013-2.2%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013+2.8%
Q4 2012-6.2%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012+6.0%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011+5.0%
Q2 2011+3.7%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q4 2008-2.2%
Q4 2010-2.2%
Q3 2010+2.2%
Q3 2009+2.2%
Q2 2009+3.6%
Q2 2010+3.6%
Q1 2010-4.7%
Q1 2009-4.7%
Q4 2009-4.7%

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