NYSE$EFX

Equifax Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Equifax reported Q1 2024 revenue growth of 7% to $1.389 billion amid challenging mortgage market.

Equifax delivered strong first quarter results with revenue of $1.389 billion, up 7% year-over-year. The company's US mortgage business grew 6% despite a 19% decline in USIS mortgage credit inquiries. Non-mortgage business grew 9% in local currency.

  • First quarter 2024 revenue of $1.389 billion grew 7%, with 9% non-mortgage local currency revenue growth.
  • US mortgage revenue grew 6% in the first quarter despite a 19% decline in USIS mortgage credit inquiries.
  • Workforce Solutions first quarter revenue growth of 1%, with 7% non-mortgage revenue growth and Verification Services non-mortgage revenue growth of 15% led by Government.
  • USIS first quarter revenue growth of 10%, the strongest in three years, with 38% mortgage revenue growth and 1% non-mortgage revenue growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.39B

Previous: $1.3B+6.7%
EPS

$1.00

Previous: $1.43-30.1%
Workforce Solutions Operating Margin

42.3%

Previous: 41.7%+1.4%
Workforce Solutions Adj. EBITDA Margin

51.1%

Previous: 50.4%+1.4%
USIS Operating Margin

19.9%

No prior period
USIS Adj. EBITDA Margin

32.7%

No prior period
International Operating Margin

9.9%

Previous: 11.5%-13.9%
International Adj. EBITDA Margin

24.3%

Previous: 23.5%+3.4%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

29.1%

Previous: 29.2%-0.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$132M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$125M

Previous: $112M+11.1%
Net Income

$125M

Previous: $112M+11.1%
Operating Income

$225M

Previous: $205M+9.4%
Gross Profit

-$628M

Previous: -$580M-8.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$201M

Previous: $233M-13.5%
Total Assets

$12.3B

Previous: $11.6B+5.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$41.2M

Previous: $39.7M+3.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Equifax · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.39B

Q1 2024+6.7%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Equifax · $2.18B total across 7 segments · Q4 2021

  • Workforce Solutions
    $532M+30.8%
  • U.S. Information Solutions
    $434M+12.0%
  • Verification Services
    $427M
  • Online Information Solutions
    $314M
  • International
    $288M+16.2%
  • Employer Services
    $105M
  • Financial Marketing Services
    $79.4M

Forward guidance

Equifax maintains its full-year 2024 guidance, expecting revenue of $5.720 billion, up 8.6%, and Adjusted EPS of $7.35.

Tailwinds

  • Maintaining full-year 2024 revenue guidance with a midpoint expectation of $5.720 billion, up 8.6%.
  • Expecting strong non-mortgage local currency revenue growth of over 10%.
  • Maintaining full-year 2024 Adjusted EPS guidance of $7.35.
  • EBITDA margins are expected to expand to 33.3%.
  • Confident in delivering strong non-mortgage revenue growth.

Headwinds

  • Guidance reflects an expectation of an 11% decline in 2024 U.S. mortgage credit inquiries.
  • Expects a decline of about 13% in total U.S. mortgage market credit inquiries in Q2 2024.
  • Cloud transformation efforts may cause operational disruptions and strain on resources.
  • Potential risks associated with the use of certain artificial intelligence and machine learning models.
  • Dependence on outsourcing certain portions of operations could damage reputation.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

30 / 70 earnings

Positive

+15.2%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-17.4%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-13.1%-19.4%
Q4 2025-3.8%+14.0%+18.7%
Q3 2025-0.6%+1.2%-10.6%
Q2 2025-2.1%-1.3%+1.2%
Q1 2025+13.8%+19.1%+22.4%
Q4 2024-8.4%-6.4%-5.8%
Q3 2024-3.4%-4.9%-14.4%
Q2 2024-0.2%+1.9%+10.5%
Q1 2024-8.8%-8.2%+4.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+5.1%+11.0%
Q3 2023-1.0%-1.0%+13.5%
Q2 2023-9.0%-13.1%-19.2%
Q1 2023+3.8%+3.1%+7.9%
Q4 2022-7.3%-4.1%-13.4%
Q3 2022-9.5%-5.4%+20.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%-1.4%+3.8%
Q1 2022-7.1%-2.3%-10.9%
Q4 2021-2.1%-6.4%-5.2%
Q3 2021-6.5%+0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2021-2.7%-0.6%+0.8%
Q1 2021+15.2%+17.3%+23.4%
Q4 2020-3.4%-1.2%-4.8%
Q3 2020-2.4%-5.5%+7.5%
Q2 2020+6.2%-0.6%-4.2%
Q1 2020+1.6%+2.7%+16.8%
Q4 2019+5.8%+6.3%-8.2%
Q3 2019-1.2%-1.9%-0.9%
Q2 2019-2.1%+1.6%+0.9%
Q1 2019-2.2%-0.3%+9.3%
Q4 2018+1.1%+1.0%+3.3%
Q3 2018-17.4%-18.8%-15.1%
Q2 2018-3.1%-1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2018-2.7%-5.9%-3.3%
Q4 2017+3.7%+7.4%+4.3%
Q3 2017+1.4%+2.0%+9.5%
Q2 2017-1.5%+0.4%-2.8%
Q1 2017-2.4%-3.2%-2.2%
Q4 2016+5.8%+7.4%+10.0%
Q3 2016-5.6%-5.0%-8.0%
Q2 2016-1.9%-3.0%-3.4%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+0.2%
Q3 2015-4.1%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-2.6%
Q2 2014+2.7%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013-2.2%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013+2.8%
Q4 2012-6.2%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012+6.0%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011+5.0%
Q2 2011+3.7%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q4 2008-2.2%
Q4 2010-2.2%
Q3 2010+2.2%
Q3 2009+2.2%
Q2 2009+3.6%
Q2 2010+3.6%
Q1 2010-4.7%
Q1 2009-4.7%
Q4 2009-4.7%

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