NYSE$EFX

Equifax Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Equifax reported strong third quarter revenue, driven by non-mortgage growth and international performance.

Equifax announced financial results for Q3 2022, with revenue up 2% to $1.244 billion. The company's non-mortgage business showed strong constant dollar revenue growth of 20%, offsetting a decline in the mortgage market. Workforce Solutions and International segments performed well, while USIS revenue declined due to the mortgage market downturn. Full year revenue guidance was maintained at $5.1 billion, but Adjusted EPS guidance was revised downward to $7.54 per share.

  • Third quarter revenue reached $1.244 billion, a 2% increase despite mortgage market challenges and foreign exchange impacts.
  • Non-mortgage constant dollar revenue grew by 20%, compensating for the mortgage market decline.
  • Workforce Solutions revenue increased by 9%, with non-mortgage revenue growth of 40%.
  • International revenue achieved record levels, with a 17% increase in local currency revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.24B

Previous: $1.22B+1.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.73

Previous: $1.85-6.5%
Workforce Solutions Operating Margin

41.3%

Previous: 49.8%-17.1%
Workforce Solutions Adj. EBITDA Margin

49.5%

Previous: 54.3%-8.8%
International Operating Margin

14.8%

Previous: 11.4%+29.8%
International Adj. EBITDA Margin

26.8%

Previous: 26.7%+0.4%
Free Cash Flow

$166M

Previous: $205M-19.3%
Net Income

$166M

Previous: $205M-19.3%
Operating Income

$243M

Previous: $273M-11.1%
Gross Profit

-$543M

Previous: -$489M-10.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$242M

Previous: $2.03B-88.1%
Total Assets

$11.3B

Previous: $11.1B+2.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$13.7M

Previous: $10.9M+25.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Equifax · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.24B

Q3 2022+1.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Equifax · $2.18B total across 7 segments · Q4 2021

  • Workforce Solutions
    $532M+30.8%
  • U.S. Information Solutions
    $434M+12.0%
  • Verification Services
    $427M
  • Online Information Solutions
    $314M
  • International
    $288M+16.2%
  • Employer Services
    $105M
  • Financial Marketing Services
    $79.4M

Forward guidance

The company is revising its fourth quarter guidance to reflect the expected impact of a further decline in U.S. mortgage originations and the negative impact of foreign exchange. Full year guidance for revenue is unchanged at $5.1 billion at the midpoint, while Adjusted EPS guidance is revised downward to $7.54 per share at the midpoint.

Tailwinds

  • Strong double-digit non-mortgage revenue growth.
  • Progress on EFX Cloud transformation.
  • Leveraging new Cloud capabilities to accelerate new product roll-outs.
  • Investing in new product and data and analytics capabilities to drive future growth.
  • Addition of recent LawLogix and Midigator acquisitions.

Headwinds

  • Further weakening in the U.S. mortgage market.
  • Expected decline in fourth quarter mortgage originations of over 60%.
  • Expected decline in fourth quarter mortgage credit inquiries of over 50%.
  • Negative margin impact of the loss of high margin mortgage revenue.
  • Increased interest expense.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

30 / 70 earnings

Positive

+15.2%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-17.4%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-13.1%-19.4%
Q4 2025-3.8%+14.0%+18.7%
Q3 2025-0.6%+1.2%-10.6%
Q2 2025-2.1%-1.3%+1.2%
Q1 2025+13.8%+19.1%+22.4%
Q4 2024-8.4%-6.4%-5.8%
Q3 2024-3.4%-4.9%-14.4%
Q2 2024-0.2%+1.9%+10.5%
Q1 2024-8.8%-8.2%+4.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+5.1%+11.0%
Q3 2023-1.0%-1.0%+13.5%
Q2 2023-9.0%-13.1%-19.2%
Q1 2023+3.8%+3.1%+7.9%
Q4 2022-7.3%-4.1%-13.4%
Q3 2022-9.5%-5.4%+20.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%-1.4%+3.8%
Q1 2022-7.1%-2.3%-10.9%
Q4 2021-2.1%-6.4%-5.2%
Q3 2021-6.5%+0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2021-2.7%-0.6%+0.8%
Q1 2021+15.2%+17.3%+23.4%
Q4 2020-3.4%-1.2%-4.8%
Q3 2020-2.4%-5.5%+7.5%
Q2 2020+6.2%-0.6%-4.2%
Q1 2020+1.6%+2.7%+16.8%
Q4 2019+5.8%+6.3%-8.2%
Q3 2019-1.2%-1.9%-0.9%
Q2 2019-2.1%+1.6%+0.9%
Q1 2019-2.2%-0.3%+9.3%
Q4 2018+1.1%+1.0%+3.3%
Q3 2018-17.4%-18.8%-15.1%
Q2 2018-3.1%-1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2018-2.7%-5.9%-3.3%
Q4 2017+3.7%+7.4%+4.3%
Q3 2017+1.4%+2.0%+9.5%
Q2 2017-1.5%+0.4%-2.8%
Q1 2017-2.4%-3.2%-2.2%
Q4 2016+5.8%+7.4%+10.0%
Q3 2016-5.6%-5.0%-8.0%
Q2 2016-1.9%-3.0%-3.4%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+0.2%
Q3 2015-4.1%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-2.6%
Q2 2014+2.7%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013-2.2%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013+2.8%
Q4 2012-6.2%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012+6.0%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011+5.0%
Q2 2011+3.7%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q4 2008-2.2%
Q4 2010-2.2%
Q3 2010+2.2%
Q3 2009+2.2%
Q2 2009+3.6%
Q2 2010+3.6%
Q1 2010-4.7%
Q1 2009-4.7%
Q4 2009-4.7%

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