NYSE$EFX

Equifax Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Equifax had a solid second quarter, executing against its 2023 Cloud spending reduction plan and achieving revenue growth in a challenging mortgage market.

Equifax reported flat revenue growth (1% in constant currency) in Q2 2023, despite a challenging mortgage market. The company is revising its full-year guidance downward due to weaker than expected U.S. mortgage originations and slowing U.S. hiring activity.

  • Revenue of $1.318 billion was flat and up 1% in constant currency.
  • New Product Vitality Index reached a record of 14%.
  • USIS revenue increased by 6%, driven by B2B non-mortgage revenue growth.
  • Shareholder approval received for the merger of Boa Vista Serviços in Brazil.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.32B

Previous: $1.32B+0.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.71

Previous: $2.09-18.2%
Workforce Solutions Operating Margin

42.0%

No prior period
Workforce Solutions Adj. EBITDA Margin

51.5%

No prior period
USIS Operating Margin

23.1%

No prior period
USIS Adj. EBITDA Margin

36.0%

No prior period
International Operating Margin

11.9%

No prior period
International Adj. EBITDA Margin

24.2%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

32.7%

Previous: 35.0%-6.6%
New Product Vitality Index

14.0%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$138M

Previous: $201M-31.1%
Net Income

$138M

Previous: $201M-31.1%
Operating Income

$237M

Previous: $305M-22.2%
Gross Profit

-$588M

Previous: -$542M-8.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$164M

Previous: $224M-26.6%
Total Assets

$11.5B

Previous: $11.2B+2.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.5M

Previous: $14.4M-13.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Equifax · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.32B

Q2 2023+0.1%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Equifax · $2.18B total across 7 segments · Q4 2021

  • Workforce Solutions
    $532M+30.8%
  • U.S. Information Solutions
    $434M+12.0%
  • Verification Services
    $427M
  • Online Information Solutions
    $314M
  • International
    $288M+16.2%
  • Employer Services
    $105M
  • Financial Marketing Services
    $79.4M

Forward guidance

Equifax is reducing its full year revenue guidance to $5.300 billion at the midpoint and Adjusted EPS Guidance to $6.98 at the midpoint, reflecting the impact of the weaker mortgage market.

Tailwinds

  • Cloud spending reductions of $210 million in 2023 and $275 million in 2024.
  • Strong new product innovation leveraging Equifax Cloud.
  • Continued strong revenue growth in Government.
  • Strong Online B2B non-mortgage revenue growth in USIS.
  • Closing of the strategic acquisition of Boa Vista Serviços in early August.

Headwinds

  • Weaker than expected U.S. mortgage originations.
  • Slowing U.S. hiring activity.
  • Expected continuation of weaker U.S. mortgage market.
  • Expected continuation of slowing U.S. hiring throughout 2023.
  • Loss of high margin mortgage revenue.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

30 / 70 earnings

Positive

+15.2%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-17.4%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-13.1%-19.4%
Q4 2025-3.8%+14.0%+18.7%
Q3 2025-0.6%+1.2%-10.6%
Q2 2025-2.1%-1.3%+1.2%
Q1 2025+13.8%+19.1%+22.4%
Q4 2024-8.4%-6.4%-5.8%
Q3 2024-3.4%-4.9%-14.4%
Q2 2024-0.2%+1.9%+10.5%
Q1 2024-8.8%-8.2%+4.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+5.1%+11.0%
Q3 2023-1.0%-1.0%+13.5%
Q2 2023-9.0%-13.1%-19.2%
Q1 2023+3.8%+3.1%+7.9%
Q4 2022-7.3%-4.1%-13.4%
Q3 2022-9.5%-5.4%+20.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%-1.4%+3.8%
Q1 2022-7.1%-2.3%-10.9%
Q4 2021-2.1%-6.4%-5.2%
Q3 2021-6.5%+0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2021-2.7%-0.6%+0.8%
Q1 2021+15.2%+17.3%+23.4%
Q4 2020-3.4%-1.2%-4.8%
Q3 2020-2.4%-5.5%+7.5%
Q2 2020+6.2%-0.6%-4.2%
Q1 2020+1.6%+2.7%+16.8%
Q4 2019+5.8%+6.3%-8.2%
Q3 2019-1.2%-1.9%-0.9%
Q2 2019-2.1%+1.6%+0.9%
Q1 2019-2.2%-0.3%+9.3%
Q4 2018+1.1%+1.0%+3.3%
Q3 2018-17.4%-18.8%-15.1%
Q2 2018-3.1%-1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2018-2.7%-5.9%-3.3%
Q4 2017+3.7%+7.4%+4.3%
Q3 2017+1.4%+2.0%+9.5%
Q2 2017-1.5%+0.4%-2.8%
Q1 2017-2.4%-3.2%-2.2%
Q4 2016+5.8%+7.4%+10.0%
Q3 2016-5.6%-5.0%-8.0%
Q2 2016-1.9%-3.0%-3.4%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+0.2%
Q3 2015-4.1%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-2.6%
Q2 2014+2.7%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013-2.2%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013+2.8%
Q4 2012-6.2%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012+6.0%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011+5.0%
Q2 2011+3.7%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q4 2008-2.2%
Q4 2010-2.2%
Q3 2010+2.2%
Q3 2009+2.2%
Q2 2009+3.6%
Q2 2010+3.6%
Q1 2010-4.7%
Q1 2009-4.7%
Q4 2009-4.7%

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