NYSE$EFX

Equifax Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Equifax reported strong double-digit growth and margin expansion for the fourth consecutive quarter, concluding a record year with over $4 billion in revenue.

Equifax reported a strong Q4 2020, with a 23% increase in revenue compared to Q4 2019. The company's performance was fueled by Workforce Solutions and U.S. Information Services, leveraging new Equifax Cloud capabilities and product roll-outs.

  • Equifax delivered its fourth consecutive quarter of strong double-digit growth and margin expansion.
  • Q4 revenue increased by 23% compared to the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Diluted EPS attributable to Equifax was $0.61 per share, up from $0.13 per share in the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • The company plans to restart its share repurchase program at an expected level over $100 million in 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.12B

Previous: $906M+23.5%
EPS (adj)

$2.00

Previous: $1.53+30.7%
Workforce Solutions Operating Margin

49.2%

Previous: 39.2%+25.5%
Workforce Solutions Adj. EBITDA Margin

56.2%

Previous: 47.0%+19.6%
USIS Operating Margin

29.6%

Previous: 33.6%-11.9%
USIS Adj. EBITDA Margin

43.5%

Previous: 45.1%-3.5%
International Operating Margin

13.0%

Previous: 15.3%-15.0%
International Adj. EBITDA Margin

34.0%

Previous: 36.4%-6.6%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

37.8%

Previous: 35.2%+7.4%
Net Income

$74.5M

Previous: $9.2M+709.8%
Operating Income

$170M

Previous: $47M+260.6%
Gross Profit

$638M

Previous: $523M+21.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.68B

Previous: $401M+319.8%
Total Assets

$9.61B

Previous: $7.91B+21.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.8M

Previous: $9.1M+18.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Equifax · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.12B

Q4 2020+23.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Equifax · $2.18B total across 7 segments · Q4 2021

  • Workforce Solutions
    $532M+30.8%
  • U.S. Information Solutions
    $434M+12.0%
  • Verification Services
    $427M
  • Online Information Solutions
    $314M
  • International
    $288M+16.2%
  • Employer Services
    $105M
  • Financial Marketing Services
    $79.4M

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of 2021, Equifax expects revenue between $1,105 and $1,125 million and adjusted EPS between $1.45 and $1.55 per share. For the full year 2021, the company expects revenue between $4.350 and $4.450 billion and adjusted EPS between $6.20 and $6.50 per share.

Tailwinds

  • Expects reported revenue to be between $1,105 and $1,125 million for Q1 2021.
  • Reflects growth as compared to the first quarter of 2020 of 15.3% to 17.4% for Q1 2021.
  • Expects a 1.9% positive impact of foreign exchange for Q1 2021.
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $1.45 and $1.55 per share for Q1 2021.
  • Expects full year 2021 reported revenue to be between $4.350 and $4.450 billion.

Headwinds

  • Expectation of a 24% increase in U.S. mortgage market inquiries impacting USIS and EWS units for Q1 2021.
  • Local currency growth compared to 2020 of 5.4% to 7.8% for full year 2021.
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $6.20 and $6.50 per share for full year 2021.
  • U.S. mortgage market inquiries are expected to decline by 5% in 2021 versus 2020.
  • Growth in inquiries in the first half of 2021, offset by a decline in inquiries in the second half of 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

30 / 70 earnings

Positive

+15.2%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-17.4%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-13.1%-19.4%
Q4 2025-3.8%+14.0%+18.7%
Q3 2025-0.6%+1.2%-10.6%
Q2 2025-2.1%-1.3%+1.2%
Q1 2025+13.8%+19.1%+22.4%
Q4 2024-8.4%-6.4%-5.8%
Q3 2024-3.4%-4.9%-14.4%
Q2 2024-0.2%+1.9%+10.5%
Q1 2024-8.8%-8.2%+4.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+5.1%+11.0%
Q3 2023-1.0%-1.0%+13.5%
Q2 2023-9.0%-13.1%-19.2%
Q1 2023+3.8%+3.1%+7.9%
Q4 2022-7.3%-4.1%-13.4%
Q3 2022-9.5%-5.4%+20.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%-1.4%+3.8%
Q1 2022-7.1%-2.3%-10.9%
Q4 2021-2.1%-6.4%-5.2%
Q3 2021-6.5%+0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2021-2.7%-0.6%+0.8%
Q1 2021+15.2%+17.3%+23.4%
Q4 2020-3.4%-1.2%-4.8%
Q3 2020-2.4%-5.5%+7.5%
Q2 2020+6.2%-0.6%-4.2%
Q1 2020+1.6%+2.7%+16.8%
Q4 2019+5.8%+6.3%-8.2%
Q3 2019-1.2%-1.9%-0.9%
Q2 2019-2.1%+1.6%+0.9%
Q1 2019-2.2%-0.3%+9.3%
Q4 2018+1.1%+1.0%+3.3%
Q3 2018-17.4%-18.8%-15.1%
Q2 2018-3.1%-1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2018-2.7%-5.9%-3.3%
Q4 2017+3.7%+7.4%+4.3%
Q3 2017+1.4%+2.0%+9.5%
Q2 2017-1.5%+0.4%-2.8%
Q1 2017-2.4%-3.2%-2.2%
Q4 2016+5.8%+7.4%+10.0%
Q3 2016-5.6%-5.0%-8.0%
Q2 2016-1.9%-3.0%-3.4%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+0.2%
Q3 2015-4.1%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-2.6%
Q2 2014+2.7%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013-2.2%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013+2.8%
Q4 2012-6.2%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012+6.0%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011+5.0%
Q2 2011+3.7%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q4 2008-2.2%
Q4 2010-2.2%
Q3 2010+2.2%
Q3 2009+2.2%
Q2 2009+3.6%
Q2 2010+3.6%
Q1 2010-4.7%
Q1 2009-4.7%
Q4 2009-4.7%

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