NYSE$EFX

Equifax Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Equifax's Q4 2019 financial results were announced, showing revenue growth and progress in its EFX2020 cloud technology transformation.

Equifax reported revenue of $905.8 million for Q4 2019, an 8% increase year-over-year. Diluted EPS was $0.07, down from $0.21 in Q4 2018, while net income attributable to Equifax was $9.2 million, also down from $25.6 million in the same period last year. The results included a pre-tax legal accrual of $99.6 million related to the 2017 cybersecurity incident.

  • Equifax delivered its strongest revenue growth of the year in the fourth quarter.
  • The company made significant progress on its multi-year, $1.25 billion EFX2020 cloud technology transformation.
  • Equifax took strong steps to expand its access to unique, differentiated data.
  • The company is collaborating with customers and partners to deliver advanced decisioning and data solutions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$906M

Previous: $835M+8.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.53

Previous: $1.38+10.9%
Workforce Solutions Operating Margin

39.2%

Previous: 39.7%-1.3%
Workforce Solutions Adj. EBITDA Margin

47.0%

Previous: 48.7%-3.5%
USIS Operating Margin

33.6%

Previous: 35.5%-5.4%
USIS Adj. EBITDA Margin

45.1%

Previous: 47.5%-5.1%
International Operating Margin

15.3%

Previous: 6.6%+131.8%
International Adj. EBITDA Margin

36.4%

Previous: 32.4%+12.3%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

35.2%

Previous: 33.2%+6.0%
Net Income

$9.2M

Previous: $25.6M-64.1%
Operating Income

$47M

Previous: $46.1M+2.0%
Gross Profit

$523M

Previous: $463M+12.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$401M

Previous: $224M+79.5%
Total Assets

$7.91B

Previous: $7.15B+10.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.1M

Previous: $9.7M-6.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Equifax · Revenue · Quarterly

$906M

Q4 2019+8.4%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Equifax · $2.18B total across 7 segments · Q4 2021

  • Workforce Solutions
    $532M+30.8%
  • U.S. Information Solutions
    $434M+12.0%
  • Verification Services
    $427M
  • Online Information Solutions
    $314M
  • International
    $288M+16.2%
  • Employer Services
    $105M
  • Financial Marketing Services
    $79.4M

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of 2020, Equifax expects reported revenue to be between $915 and $930 million and adjusted EPS to be between $1.29 and $1.34 per share. For the full year 2020, the company expects reported revenue to be between $3.650 and $3.750 billion and adjusted EPS to be between $5.60 and $5.80 per share.

Tailwinds

  • Expects reported revenue to be between $915 and $930 million for Q1 2020.
  • Local currency growth is expected to be 9% to 11% as compared to Q1 2019.
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $1.29 and $1.34 per share for Q1 2020.
  • Expects full year 2020 reported revenue to be between $3.650 and $3.750 billion.
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $5.60 and $5.80 per share for full year 2020.

Headwinds

  • Expects over 1% negative impact of foreign exchange on revenue for Q1 2020.
  • The impact of foreign exchange on adjusted EPS compared to Q1 2019 is expected to be a negative impact of less than $0.01 per share.
  • U.S. mortgage market inquiries are expected to increase 21% impacting USIS and EWS units for Q1 2020.
  • Expects less than 1% negative impact of foreign exchange on revenue for full year 2020.
  • The impact of foreign exchange on adjusted EPS compared to full year 2019 is expected to be a negative impact of $0.03 per share.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

30 / 70 earnings

Positive

+15.2%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-17.4%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-13.1%-19.4%
Q4 2025-3.8%+14.0%+18.7%
Q3 2025-0.6%+1.2%-10.6%
Q2 2025-2.1%-1.3%+1.2%
Q1 2025+13.8%+19.1%+22.4%
Q4 2024-8.4%-6.4%-5.8%
Q3 2024-3.4%-4.9%-14.4%
Q2 2024-0.2%+1.9%+10.5%
Q1 2024-8.8%-8.2%+4.3%
Q4 2023+3.6%+5.1%+11.0%
Q3 2023-1.0%-1.0%+13.5%
Q2 2023-9.0%-13.1%-19.2%
Q1 2023+3.8%+3.1%+7.9%
Q4 2022-7.3%-4.1%-13.4%
Q3 2022-9.5%-5.4%+20.6%
Q2 2022-0.2%-1.4%+3.8%
Q1 2022-7.1%-2.3%-10.9%
Q4 2021-2.1%-6.4%-5.2%
Q3 2021-6.5%+0.6%+5.7%
Q2 2021-2.7%-0.6%+0.8%
Q1 2021+15.2%+17.3%+23.4%
Q4 2020-3.4%-1.2%-4.8%
Q3 2020-2.4%-5.5%+7.5%
Q2 2020+6.2%-0.6%-4.2%
Q1 2020+1.6%+2.7%+16.8%
Q4 2019+5.8%+6.3%-8.2%
Q3 2019-1.2%-1.9%-0.9%
Q2 2019-2.1%+1.6%+0.9%
Q1 2019-2.2%-0.3%+9.3%
Q4 2018+1.1%+1.0%+3.3%
Q3 2018-17.4%-18.8%-15.1%
Q2 2018-3.1%-1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2018-2.7%-5.9%-3.3%
Q4 2017+3.7%+7.4%+4.3%
Q3 2017+1.4%+2.0%+9.5%
Q2 2017-1.5%+0.4%-2.8%
Q1 2017-2.4%-3.2%-2.2%
Q4 2016+5.8%+7.4%+10.0%
Q3 2016-5.6%-5.0%-8.0%
Q2 2016-1.9%-3.0%-3.4%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+0.2%
Q3 2015-4.1%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014+8.5%
Q3 2014-2.6%
Q2 2014+2.7%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013-2.2%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013+2.8%
Q4 2012-6.2%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012+6.0%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011+5.0%
Q2 2011+3.7%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q4 2008-2.2%
Q4 2010-2.2%
Q3 2010+2.2%
Q3 2009+2.2%
Q2 2009+3.6%
Q2 2010+3.6%
Q1 2010-4.7%
Q1 2009-4.7%
Q4 2009-4.7%

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