NYSE$COMP

Compass Inc. · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record first quarter 2025 results with strong revenue growth and improved profitability.

Compass achieved record Q1 free cash flow and Adjusted EBITDA, with significant revenue growth driven by increased transactions and market share gains. The company's strategic acquisitions contributed to top-line expansion while operating expenses remained controlled.

  • Revenue in Q1 2025 increased by 28.7% year-over-year to $1.4 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $15.6 million in Q1 2025, a $35.7 million improvement year-over-year.
  • Operating Cash Flow was $23.1 million and free cash flow was $19.5 million in Q1 2025.
  • Quarterly market share grew 125 basis points year-over-year to a record 6.0%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.36B

Previous: $1.05B+28.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.09

Previous: -$0.27+66.7%
Principal Agents

20.7K

Previous: 14.6K+41.6%
Total Transactions

49.1K

Previous: 38.4K+27.8%
Gross Transaction Value

$52.4B

Previous: $40.1B+30.7%
Organic Transactions Growth

7.3%

No prior period
Quarterly Agent Retention

96.6%

Previous: 96.3%+0.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.6M

Previous: -$2.7M-33.3%
Net Income

-$50.7M

Previous: -$133M+61.9%
Operating Income

-$53.7M

Previous: -$132M+59.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Compass · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.36B

Q1 2025+28.7%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For Q2 2025, Compass expects revenue between $2.0 billion and $2.15 billion and Adjusted EBITDA between $115 million and $135 million. For the full year 2025, they anticipate non-GAAP OPEX between $1.017 billion and $1.042 billion and expect to be free cash flow positive.

Tailwinds

  • Projected strong revenue growth in Q2 2025.
  • Expected positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2025.
  • Anticipated positive free cash flow for the full year 2025.
  • Full year non-GAAP OPEX guidance includes costs from recent acquisitions.
  • Confidence in their playbook and structural advantages for long-term upside.

Headwinds

  • Guidance for Adjusted EBITDA not reconciled to GAAP Net loss due to unpredictability.
  • Guidance for non-GAAP OPEX not reconciled to GAAP OPEX due to unpredictability.
  • Recent market trends have been somewhat mixed.
  • Subject to risks and uncertainties in the real estate industry and general economic conditions.
  • Ongoing industry antitrust class action litigation.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

+8.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

10 / 21 earnings

Positive

+89.2%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-18.8%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-7.2%
Q4 2025-2.7%-5.1%-29.2%
Q3 2025+7.7%+9.9%+33.7%
Q1 2025-18.8%-18.0%-18.6%
Q4 2024+28.3%+14.0%+17.7%
Q3 2024+17.6%+23.3%+31.3%
Q2 2024-4.5%-4.5%+15.0%
Q1 2024+19.4%+21.2%+5.9%
Q4 2023+15.4%+16.0%+8.4%
Q3 2023-5.5%-10.5%+21.5%
Q2 2023-5.2%-8.4%-13.5%
Q1 2023+43.2%+38.6%+39.0%
Q4 2022-14.8%-4.7%-14.2%
Q3 2022+89.2%+84.9%+38.9%
Q2 2022-5.3%-23.0%-34.9%
Q1 2022+29.5%+27.3%+26.8%
Q4 2021+1.8%-5.7%-23.3%
Q3 2021-8.7%-10.9%-17.7%
Q2 2021+9.8%+18.7%+3.2%
Q4 2020-2.1%-1.7%+0.6%
Q1 2021-11.5%-8.8%-5.8%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q4 2019

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