NYSE$COMP

Compass Inc. · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Compass reported first quarter 2023 results, exceeding guidance and consensus on Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA.

Compass's Q1 2023 revenue decreased by 31% year-over-year to $957 million, while achieving a GAAP Net loss of $150 million, an improvement from Q1 2022. The company's national market share increased to 4.5%, and it expects to be free cash flow positive in Q2 2023 and for the full year.

  • Revenue decreased by 31% year-over-year to $957 million due to a 24% decline in transactions.
  • GAAP Net loss was $150 million, an improvement from $188 million in Q1 2022.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $(67) million, compared to $(97) million in Q1 2022, an improvement of $30 million.
  • National market share in Q1 2023 was 4.5%, up 17 basis points sequentially from Q4 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$957M

Previous: $1.4B-31.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.33

Previous: -$0.45+26.7%
Principal Agents

13.5K

Previous: 12.6K+7.5%
Total Transactions

35.9K

Previous: 47.4K-24.2%
Gross Transaction Value

$36.6B

Previous: $53.7B-31.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.5M

Previous: $20.8M-116.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$154M

Previous: -$132M-16.8%
Net Income

-$150M

Previous: -$188M+20.0%
Operating Income

-$148M

Previous: -$186M+20.0%
Gross Profit

$957M

Previous: $251M+281.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$364M

Previous: $476M-23.6%
Total Assets

$1.51B

Previous: $1.73B-12.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$44.9M

Previous: $63.8M-29.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Compass · Revenue · Quarterly

$957M

Q1 2023-31.5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Compass anticipates revenue between $1.45 billion and $1.6 billion and Adjusted EBITDA between $30 million and $50 million for Q2 2023, with expectations of being free cash flow positive for the full year. Non-GAAP Operating expense range of $850-$950 million.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue of $1.45 billion to $1.6 billion
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $30 million to $50 million
  • Free cash flow positive
  • Expense reduction initiatives
  • Digitizing the real estate transaction process

Headwinds

  • General macroeconomic conditions in the U.S. and globally (e.g., inflation)
  • Economic and industry downturns
  • The health of the U.S. real estate industry
  • Risks generally incident to the ownership of residential real estate, including seasonal and cyclical trends (e.g., increases in mortgage interest rates, continued limited inventory, slowed consumer demand, reduced home affordability and declines in price appreciation and home prices)
  • Current interest rates and changes in prevailing interest rates

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+8.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

10 / 21 earnings

Positive

+89.2%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-18.8%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.2%-7.2%
Q4 2025-2.7%-5.1%-29.2%
Q3 2025+7.7%+9.9%+33.7%
Q1 2025-18.8%-18.0%-18.6%
Q4 2024+28.3%+14.0%+17.7%
Q3 2024+17.6%+23.3%+31.3%
Q2 2024-4.5%-4.5%+15.0%
Q1 2024+19.4%+21.2%+5.9%
Q4 2023+15.4%+16.0%+8.4%
Q3 2023-5.5%-10.5%+21.5%
Q2 2023-5.2%-8.4%-13.5%
Q1 2023+43.2%+38.6%+39.0%
Q4 2022-14.8%-4.7%-14.2%
Q3 2022+89.2%+84.9%+38.9%
Q2 2022-5.3%-23.0%-34.9%
Q1 2022+29.5%+27.3%+26.8%
Q4 2021+1.8%-5.7%-23.3%
Q3 2021-8.7%-10.9%-17.7%
Q2 2021+9.8%+18.7%+3.2%
Q4 2020-2.1%-1.7%+0.6%
Q1 2021-11.5%-8.8%-5.8%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q4 2019

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