NYSE$BROS

Dutch Bros Inc. · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dutch Bros' financial performance in Q3 2022 was marked by record shop openings and significant revenue growth.

Dutch Bros Inc. reported a 53% increase in revenue to $198.6 million, driven by a record 38 new shop openings. The company also raised its annual revenue guidance and is targeting 150 new shop openings for 2023.

  • Opened a record 38 new shops, 34 of which were company-operated, across 11 states.
  • Total revenues grew 53.0% to $198.6 million as compared to the same period of 2021.
  • System same shop sales grew 1.7% as compared to the same period in 2021 and 11.4% on a 3-year stacked basis.
  • Net income was $1.6 million as compared to a net loss of $(116.8) million in the same period of 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$199M

Previous: $130M+53.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.23-60.9%
Systemwide sales

$313M

Previous: $241M+29.7%
Systemwide same shop sales

1.7%

Previous: 7.3%-76.7%
Company-operated same shop sales

1.0%

Previous: 4.7%-78.7%
Total shop count, end of period

641

Previous: 503+27.4%
Company-operated shops, end of period

370

Previous: 241+53.5%
Franchised shops, end of period

271

Previous: 262+3.4%
Company-operated new openings

34

Previous: 30+13.3%
Franchised new openings

4

Previous: 3+33.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$135M

Previous: -$74.1M-81.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$133M

Previous: -$80.9M-64.3%
Net Income

$1.76M

Previous: -$6.74M+126.2%
Operating Income

$5.18M

Previous: -$115M+104.5%
Gross Profit

$50.6M

Previous: $38.7M+30.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$34.6M

Previous: $25.9M+33.7%
Total Assets

$1.13B

Previous: $504M+124.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.6M

Previous: $125M-91.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Dutch Bros · Revenue · Quarterly

$199M

Q3 2022+53%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Dutch Bros · $199M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Company-operated shops
    $174M+59.7%
  • Franchising and other
    $25.1M+18.9%

Forward guidance

Dutch Bros is raising guidance for total revenues and reaffirming other elements of its full-year 2022 outlook.

Tailwinds

  • Total system shop openings in 2022 are expected to be at least 130, of which at least 110 shops will be company-operated.
  • In 2023, total system shop openings are expected to be at least 150.
  • Total revenues are now projected to be at least $725 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is estimated to be at least $90 million.
  • Capital expenditures are estimated to be in the range of $175 million to $200 million, which includes approximately $15 million to $20 million for our new roasting facility that we project will open in late 2023 / early 2024.

Headwinds

  • Same shop sales growth is estimated to be approximately flat.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

11 / 18 earnings

Positive

+33.1%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-38.5%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.2%-14.2%-6.0%
Q4 2025+4.7%+5.1%-6.9%
Q3 2025-4.2%+0.8%+5.2%
Q1 2025+8.9%+18.6%+23.4%
Q4 2024+29.1%+31.9%-3.4%
Q3 2024+33.1%+44.0%+64.0%
Q2 2024-19.9%-22.8%-15.6%
Q1 2024+12.1%+27.1%+36.2%
Q4 2023+1.0%+6.2%+23.7%
Q3 2023+1.1%+3.5%+3.6%
Q2 2023+18.2%+19.4%-4.0%
Q1 2023-11.5%-19.4%-6.3%
Q4 2022-8.9%-12.1%-23.3%
Q3 2022+10.7%+2.3%+0.2%
Q2 2022+8.9%+10.9%-12.9%
Q1 2022-38.5%-37.5%-15.7%
Q4 2021-8.3%+2.4%+14.6%
Q3 2021+2.2%-3.1%-22.1%
Q2 2021
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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