NYSE$BROS

Dutch Bros Inc. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Dutch Bros achieved strong Q4 growth with a 34.9% YoY increase in revenue and a swing to profitability with $6.37M in net income. Same shop sales rose, driven by increased transactions and strategic initiatives in marketing and loyalty programs.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$343M

Previous: $254M+34.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.07

Previous: $0.04+75.0%
Net Income

$6.37M

Previous: -$3.77M+268.9%
Operating Income

$15.8M

Previous: $2.18M+624.1%
Gross Profit

$67.3M

Previous: $59.1M+13.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Dutch Bros · Revenue · Quarterly

$343M

Q4 2024+34.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Dutch Bros · $265M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Company-operated shops
    $236M+36.3%
  • Franchising and other
    $28M+11.5%

Forward guidance

Dutch Bros expects continued revenue growth in 2025, supported by increased store openings, mobile ordering expansion, and potential food offerings. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to improve despite rising coffee costs.

Tailwinds

  • Projected revenue between $1.555B - $1.575B (+21.4% YoY)
  • Same shop sales expected to grow between 2% - 4%
  • At least 160 new shop openings planned for 2025
  • Mobile order and throughput initiatives expected to enhance transaction volume
  • Adjusted EBITDA forecasted at $265M - $275M

Headwinds

  • Rising coffee costs expected to impact margins
  • Labor costs remain a potential headwind
  • Expansion into food offerings introduces operational complexity
  • Macroeconomic uncertainty may affect consumer demand
  • Franchise revenue growth remains slower than company-operated segment

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

11 / 18 earnings

Positive

+33.1%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-38.5%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.2%-14.2%-6.0%
Q4 2025+4.7%+5.1%-6.9%
Q3 2025-4.2%+0.8%+5.2%
Q1 2025+8.9%+18.6%+23.4%
Q4 2024+29.1%+31.9%-3.4%
Q3 2024+33.1%+44.0%+64.0%
Q2 2024-19.9%-22.8%-15.6%
Q1 2024+12.1%+27.1%+36.2%
Q4 2023+1.0%+6.2%+23.7%
Q3 2023+1.1%+3.5%+3.6%
Q2 2023+18.2%+19.4%-4.0%
Q1 2023-11.5%-19.4%-6.3%
Q4 2022-8.9%-12.1%-23.3%
Q3 2022+10.7%+2.3%+0.2%
Q2 2022+8.9%+10.9%-12.9%
Q1 2022-38.5%-37.5%-15.7%
Q4 2021-8.3%+2.4%+14.6%
Q3 2021+2.2%-3.1%-22.1%
Q2 2021
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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