NYSE$BROS

Dutch Bros Inc. · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dutch Bros' first quarter results were announced, featuring revenue growth and new shop openings, but also margin pressure from inflation.

Dutch Bros Inc. reported a 54% increase in total revenues to $152.2 million for the first quarter of 2022, driven by new shop openings and same shop sales growth. However, the company experienced a net loss of $16.3 million and margin pressure due to record inflation, leading to a revised full-year outlook with a more conservative stance on adjusted EBITDA.

  • Opened 34 new shops, all company-operated, marking the second-highest quarterly opening count on record.
  • Total revenues increased by 54.0% to $152.2 million compared to the same period in 2021.
  • System same shop sales grew by 6.0% in the first quarter, and company-operated same shop sales grew by 5.1%.
  • Revised full-year 2022 outlook includes plans to open at least 130 new shops and projects total revenues between $700 million and $715 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$152M

Previous: $98.8M+54.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.02

Previous: -$0.10+80.6%
Systemwide sales

$255M

Previous: $190M+33.6%
Systemwide same shop sales

6.0%

Previous: 7.0%-14.3%
Company-operated same shop sales

5.1%

Previous: 10.0%-49.0%
Total shop count, end of period

572

Previous: 453+26.3%
Company-operated shops, end of period

310

No prior period
Franchised shops, end of period

262

No prior period
Company-operated new openings

34

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$40M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$44.9M

No prior period
Net Income

-$4.95M

Previous: -$4.82M-2.6%
Operating Income

-$14.2M

Previous: -$3.71M-283.5%
Gross Profit

$31M

Previous: $32.3M-4.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$26.8M

No prior period
Total Assets

$885M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$9.9M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Dutch Bros · Revenue · Quarterly

$152M

Q1 2022+54%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 10 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Dutch Bros · $152M total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Company-operated shops
    $130M+67.1%
  • Franchising and other
    $22M+5.3%

Forward guidance

For the full year 2022, Dutch Bros expects to open at least 130 total system shops, with at least 110 being company-operated. Total revenues are projected to be in the range of $700 million to $715 million. Same shop sales growth is estimated to be approximately flat, and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be at least $90 million. Capital expenditures are still estimated to be in the range of $175 million and $200 million including the new roasting facility.

Tailwinds

  • Total system shop openings are expected to increase to at least 130, with at least 110 shops being company-operated.
  • Total revenues are projected to remain in the range of $700 million to $715 million.
  • Focus on continued expansion in shop openings.
  • Capital expenditures include investment in a new roasting facility expected to open in 2023.
  • Continued commitment to people-first culture and community involvement.

Headwinds

  • Same shop sales growth is now estimated to be approximately flat.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is now estimated to be at least $90 million, reflecting near-term margin pressure in company-operated shops.
  • Decision to take modest price increases during the year.
  • Macro-economic headwinds impacting consumer discretionary income and gas prices.
  • April same shop sales were (3.7)% in 2022 compared to 22.6% in 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

11 / 18 earnings

Positive

+33.1%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-38.5%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.2%-14.2%-6.0%
Q4 2025+4.7%+5.1%-6.9%
Q3 2025-4.2%+0.8%+5.2%
Q1 2025+8.9%+18.6%+23.4%
Q4 2024+29.1%+31.9%-3.4%
Q3 2024+33.1%+44.0%+64.0%
Q2 2024-19.9%-22.8%-15.6%
Q1 2024+12.1%+27.1%+36.2%
Q4 2023+1.0%+6.2%+23.7%
Q3 2023+1.1%+3.5%+3.6%
Q2 2023+18.2%+19.4%-4.0%
Q1 2023-11.5%-19.4%-6.3%
Q4 2022-8.9%-12.1%-23.3%
Q3 2022+10.7%+2.3%+0.2%
Q2 2022+8.9%+10.9%-12.9%
Q1 2022-38.5%-37.5%-15.7%
Q4 2021-8.3%+2.4%+14.6%
Q3 2021+2.2%-3.1%-22.1%
Q2 2021
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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