NYSE$BROS

Dutch Bros Inc. · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dutch Bros reported exceptional Q3 2024 performance, driven by strategic initiatives and operational execution.

Dutch Bros Inc. reported a strong third quarter in 2024, with a 28% increase in revenue to $338.2 million. Systemwide same shop sales grew by 2.7%. The company opened 38 new shops and raised its revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance for the year.

  • Total revenues grew by 27.9% to $338.2 million compared to the same period in 2023.
  • Systemwide same shop sales increased by 2.7% relative to the same period in 2023.
  • Opened 38 new shops, 33 of which were company-operated, across 11 states.
  • Net income was $21.7 million compared to $13.4 million in the same period of 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$338M

Previous: $265M+27.9%
EPS

$0.11

Previous: $0.14-21.4%
Systemwide sales

$479M

Previous: $391M+22.4%
Systemwide same shop sales

2.7%

Previous: 4.0%-32.5%
Company-operated same shop sales

4.0%

Previous: 2.8%+42.9%
Total shop count, end of period

950

Previous: 794+19.6%
Company-operated shops, end of period

645

Previous: 510+26.5%
Franchised shops, end of period

305

Previous: 284+7.4%
Company-operated new openings

33

Previous: 37-10.8%
Franchised new openings

5

Previous: 2+150.0%
Systemwide same shop transactions

0.8%

No prior period
Company-operated same shop transactions

2.4%

No prior period
Dutch Rewards transactions as % of total

67.2%

No prior period
Systemwide same shop ticket

1.9%

No prior period
Company-operated same shop ticket

1.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$179M

Previous: -$168M-6.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$166M

Previous: -$164M-1.7%
Net Income

$12.6M

Previous: $4.21M+200.3%
Operating Income

$32.5M

Previous: $24.7M+31.7%
Gross Profit

$90.1M

Previous: $75.2M+19.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$281M

Previous: $150M+87.7%
Total Assets

$2.43B

Previous: $1.64B+48.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.96M

Previous: $9.7M-69.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Dutch Bros · Revenue · Quarterly

$338M

Q3 2024+27.9%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Dutch Bros · $265M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Company-operated shops
    $236M+36.3%
  • Franchising and other
    $28M+11.5%

Forward guidance

Dutch Bros revised its 2024 outlook, projecting total revenues between $1.255 billion and $1.260 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $215 million and $220 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenues are now projected to be between $1.255 billion and $1.260 billion, up from the prior range of $1.215 billion to $1.230 billion.
  • Total system shop openings in 2024 are now expected to be 150, consistent with the previously communicated outlook at the lower end of 150 to 165.
  • Same shop sales growth for 2024 is expected to be approximately 4.25%, from low single digits previously.
  • Adjusted SG&A is estimated to be between $195 million and $200 million, from $190 million to $200 million previously.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is now estimated to be between $215 million and $220 million, up from the prior range of $200 million to $210 million.

Headwinds

  • Capital expenditures are estimated to be between $245 million to $265 million, down from the prior range of $270 million to $290 million.
  • Same shop sales growth for the fourth quarter of 2024 is expected to be between 1% and 2%.
  • Unspecified risks related to general economic conditions.
  • Unspecified risks related to commodity inflation.
  • Unspecified risks related to increased labor costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

11 / 18 earnings

Positive

+33.1%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-38.5%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.2%-14.2%-6.0%
Q4 2025+4.7%+5.1%-6.9%
Q3 2025-4.2%+0.8%+5.2%
Q1 2025+8.9%+18.6%+23.4%
Q4 2024+29.1%+31.9%-3.4%
Q3 2024+33.1%+44.0%+64.0%
Q2 2024-19.9%-22.8%-15.6%
Q1 2024+12.1%+27.1%+36.2%
Q4 2023+1.0%+6.2%+23.7%
Q3 2023+1.1%+3.5%+3.6%
Q2 2023+18.2%+19.4%-4.0%
Q1 2023-11.5%-19.4%-6.3%
Q4 2022-8.9%-12.1%-23.3%
Q3 2022+10.7%+2.3%+0.2%
Q2 2022+8.9%+10.9%-12.9%
Q1 2022-38.5%-37.5%-15.7%
Q4 2021-8.3%+2.4%+14.6%
Q3 2021+2.2%-3.1%-22.1%
Q2 2021
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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