NYSE$ASPN

Aspen Aerogels Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Aspen Aerogels reported a revenue increase driven by strong demand and progress in the electric vehicle market.

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. announced financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2019. The company's total revenue for the fourth quarter was $46.5 million, compared to $35.7 million in the fourth quarter last year. The fourth quarter net loss was $1.0 million, compared to a net loss of $14.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2018.

  • Total revenue grew 30% to a record $46.5 million.
  • Gross profit more than doubled to a record $11.3 million.
  • Gross margin improved by 800 basis points to 24%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by $5.8 million to $2.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$46.5M

Previous: $35.7M+30.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.04

Previous: -$0.28+85.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$2.62M

Previous: -$3.17M+182.6%
Net Income

-$956K

No prior period
Operating Income

-$830K

No prior period
Gross Profit

$11.3M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$3.63M

No prior period
Total Assets

$104M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Aspen Aerogels · Revenue · Quarterly

$46.5M

Q4 2019+30.3%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aspen Aerogels · $125M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Energy Industrial
    $125M

Forward guidance

Aspen reaffirms its 2020 full year outlook.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue is expected to range between $138.0 million and $148.0 million
  • Net loss is expected to range between $5.7 million and $9.7 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between $5.0 million and $9.0 million
  • Net loss per share is expected to range between $0.22 and $0.37
  • Expects that ongoing initiatives to reduce raw material costs will help to improve gross margin to the mid-20s for the full year from 19% during 2019.

Headwinds

  • Expects revenue growth rate to moderate in 2020 due principally to expectation that subsea revenue will be closer to historical average of $11.0 million in 2020 versus $17.0 million in 2019.
  • Expects to see little to no growth from the PTT LNG Nong Fab receiving terminal project during 2020 as we complete the second half of the $35 to $40 million order during the year.
  • Decided to wind down government research services activities in 2020 that contributed approximately $2.4 million in revenue in 2019.
  • Expect between 40% and 45% of 2020 revenue will be generated during the first half of the year.
  • Anticipate the projected improvement in net loss and Adjusted EBITDA will be concentrated in the second half of the year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

29 / 51 earnings

Positive

+52.3%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-44.7%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%+5.3%+9.9%
Q4 2025-26.7%-7.9%-7.3%
Q3 2025-44.7%-51.1%-52.2%
Q1 2025-24.3%+4.4%+5.8%
Q4 2024-23.4%-27.3%-37.2%
Q3 2024-9.4%-6.8%-27.8%
Q2 2024+8.8%+16.8%+20.5%
Q1 2024+52.3%+65.4%+91.1%
Q4 2023+19.4%+46.3%+49.2%
Q3 2023+11.1%+16.6%+43.4%
Q2 2023-8.7%-14.4%-22.2%
Q1 2023+22.5%+30.6%+19.9%
Q4 2022+16.5%+12.1%-37.9%
Q3 2022+6.7%+18.9%+24.4%
Q2 2022+19.9%+28.7%+29.3%
Q1 2022-5.5%-5.7%-21.3%
Q4 2021+3.8%-0.5%+12.0%
Q3 2021+16.3%+12.4%+23.5%
Q2 2021-4.4%-4.0%+12.1%
Q1 2021-11.8%-13.7%-1.8%
Q4 2020-1.1%-1.0%-16.3%
Q3 2020+6.8%+8.4%+41.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%-3.8%+41.8%
Q1 2020+5.7%+17.8%+8.0%
Q4 2019-2.5%-18.1%-48.2%
Q3 2019+13.2%+11.5%+15.0%
Q2 2019-5.0%-2.0%-8.5%
Q1 2019+6.0%+9.3%+16.7%
Q4 2018+2.5%+5.1%-19.2%
Q3 2018+10.3%+10.6%-6.1%
Q2 2018-7.5%-8.7%-6.6%
Q1 2018+1.8%+5.4%+13.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%+1.8%-4.1%
Q3 2017+7.4%+9.0%+8.5%
Q2 2017+6.1%+4.2%-8.6%
Q1 2017+4.5%+9.2%+6.7%
Q4 2016-7.8%-4.8%-7.6%
Q3 2016-33.1%-34.8%-32.3%
Q2 2016-4.8%-3.2%+2.4%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+9.9%
Q3 2015-20.8%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q1 2015-4.5%
Q4 2012-10.3%
Q1 2013-10.3%
Q3 2013-16.2%
Q4 2014+13.6%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q4 2013+9.2%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014
Q1 2014
Q3 2012
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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