NYSE$ASPN

Aspen Aerogels Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Aspen Aerogels reported first quarter 2023 financial results with revenue growth of 19% year-over-year.

Aspen Aerogels reported revenue of $45.6 million, a 19% increase year-over-year. The company's net loss was $16.8 million, an improvement compared to the previous year's $19.5 million loss. The company was awarded a PyroThin® contract for a European EV commercial truck program and is executing a contract manufacturing strategy to increase capacity.

  • Total revenue grew 19% year-over-year, and net loss was reduced by $2.7M, or 14% year-over-year
  • PyroThin® thermal barrier revenues of $11.7 million, up 53% year-over-year
  • Gross margin of 11%, a 1,600bps improvement year-over-year, as well as maintaining OPEX flat quarter-over-quarter
  • Ended first quarter of 2023 with cash and equivalents of $208 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$45.6M

Previous: $38.4M+18.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.24

Previous: -$0.59+59.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$49.4M

Previous: -$14.5M-240.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$66.2M

Previous: -$34M-94.7%
Net Income

-$16.8M

Previous: -$19.5M+13.8%
Operating Income

-$18.9M

Previous: -$18.6M-1.5%
Gross Profit

$5.09M

Previous: -$1.79M+384.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$208M

Previous: $205M+1.2%
Total Assets

$621M

Previous: $341M+82.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Aspen Aerogels · Revenue · Quarterly

$45.6M

Q1 2023+18.7%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aspen Aerogels · $125M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Energy Industrial
    $125M

Forward guidance

Aspen updates its 2023 full year outlook as follows:

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue is expected to range between $200 million to $250 million
  • Net loss is expected to range between $101.9 million and $91.9 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between $(60) million and $(50) million
  • Net loss per share is expected to range between $1.46 and $1.31
  • CAPEX is reduced from a range of $350-400 million to a range of $100-150 million, including $49.4 million invested in the first quarter

Headwinds

  • Aspen may incur, among other items, additional charges, realize gains or losses, incur financing costs or interest expense, or experience other events in 2023, including those related to the planned capacity expansion, supply chain disruptions or further cost inflation, that could cause actual results to vary materially from this outlook.
  • Inability to execute the growth plan
  • Inability to complete construction and commissioning the Plant II and to do so at a cost consistent with Aspen's estimates and aligned with Aspen's expectations of demand from our EV customers
  • The right of EV thermal barrier customers to cancel contracts with Aspen at any time and without penalty
  • Any costs, expenses, or investments incurred by Aspen in excess of projections used to develop pricing under the contracts with EV thermal barrier customers

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

29 / 51 earnings

Positive

+52.3%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-44.7%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%+5.3%+9.9%
Q4 2025-26.7%-7.9%-7.3%
Q3 2025-44.7%-51.1%-52.2%
Q1 2025-24.3%+4.4%+5.8%
Q4 2024-23.4%-27.3%-37.2%
Q3 2024-9.4%-6.8%-27.8%
Q2 2024+8.8%+16.8%+20.5%
Q1 2024+52.3%+65.4%+91.1%
Q4 2023+19.4%+46.3%+49.2%
Q3 2023+11.1%+16.6%+43.4%
Q2 2023-8.7%-14.4%-22.2%
Q1 2023+22.5%+30.6%+19.9%
Q4 2022+16.5%+12.1%-37.9%
Q3 2022+6.7%+18.9%+24.4%
Q2 2022+19.9%+28.7%+29.3%
Q1 2022-5.5%-5.7%-21.3%
Q4 2021+3.8%-0.5%+12.0%
Q3 2021+16.3%+12.4%+23.5%
Q2 2021-4.4%-4.0%+12.1%
Q1 2021-11.8%-13.7%-1.8%
Q4 2020-1.1%-1.0%-16.3%
Q3 2020+6.8%+8.4%+41.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%-3.8%+41.8%
Q1 2020+5.7%+17.8%+8.0%
Q4 2019-2.5%-18.1%-48.2%
Q3 2019+13.2%+11.5%+15.0%
Q2 2019-5.0%-2.0%-8.5%
Q1 2019+6.0%+9.3%+16.7%
Q4 2018+2.5%+5.1%-19.2%
Q3 2018+10.3%+10.6%-6.1%
Q2 2018-7.5%-8.7%-6.6%
Q1 2018+1.8%+5.4%+13.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%+1.8%-4.1%
Q3 2017+7.4%+9.0%+8.5%
Q2 2017+6.1%+4.2%-8.6%
Q1 2017+4.5%+9.2%+6.7%
Q4 2016-7.8%-4.8%-7.6%
Q3 2016-33.1%-34.8%-32.3%
Q2 2016-4.8%-3.2%+2.4%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+9.9%
Q3 2015-20.8%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q1 2015-4.5%
Q4 2012-10.3%
Q1 2013-10.3%
Q3 2013-16.2%
Q4 2014+13.6%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q4 2013+9.2%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014
Q1 2014
Q3 2012
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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