NYSE$ASPN

Aspen Aerogels Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Aspen Aerogels reported a decrease in revenue and net loss compared to the same quarter last year, impacted by COVID-19.

Aspen Aerogels reported a decrease in revenue for the fourth quarter, from $46.5 million to $23.0 million. The company experienced a net loss of $6.2 million, compared to a net loss of $1.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2019. The company is focusing on leveraging its aerogel technology platform into high-value markets, including electric vehicles.

  • Total revenue for the fourth quarter was $23.0 million, a decrease from $46.5 million in the fourth quarter last year.
  • Net loss for the fourth quarter was $6.2 million, compared to a net loss of $1.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Net loss per share for the fourth quarter was $0.23, compared to $0.04 in the fourth quarter last year.
  • The company achieved a significant design win for its PyroThinTM thermal barriers with a major U.S. automotive OEM.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$23M

Previous: $46.5M-50.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.23

Previous: -$0.04-475.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

-$1.59M

Previous: $2.62M-160.7%
Capital Expenditures

$816K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$5.96M

No prior period
Net Income

-$6.19M

Previous: -$956K-547.4%
Operating Income

-$6.13M

Previous: -$830K-638.7%
Gross Profit

$3.86M

Previous: $11.3M-65.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$16.5M

Previous: $3.63M+354.1%
Total Assets

$97.4M

Previous: $104M-5.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Aspen Aerogels · Revenue · Quarterly

$23M

Q4 2020-50.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aspen Aerogels · $125M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Energy Industrial
    $125M

Forward guidance

Aspen Aerogels expects COVID-19 to continue to constrain demand in energy infrastructure markets in 2021. Revenue is projected to be roughly in line with 2020, with potential upside. Gross margin is expected to improve to approximately 20%. The company plans to increase investment in its electric vehicle opportunities by $6.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue is expected to range between $100.0 million and $108.0 million.
  • Gross margin is expected to improve to approximately 20% from 15% in 2020.
  • Demand will rebound when the pandemic subsides and access restrictions for contractors in energy infrastructure facilities are removed.
  • Initiatives to reduce raw material costs and enhance manufacturing productivity will help improve gross margin.
  • Strong growth is expected in the EV thermal barrier business.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 pandemic will continue to constrain demand for Aspen’s products in the energy infrastructure markets.
  • Net loss is expected to range between $21.0 million and $25.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between $(8.0) million and $(12.0) million.
  • Net loss per share is expected to range between $0.77 and $0.92.
  • The company expects to experience a decrease in Adjusted EBITDA and an increase in net loss versus 2020

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

29 / 51 earnings

Positive

+52.3%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-44.7%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%+5.3%+9.9%
Q4 2025-26.7%-7.9%-7.3%
Q3 2025-44.7%-51.1%-52.2%
Q1 2025-24.3%+4.4%+5.8%
Q4 2024-23.4%-27.3%-37.2%
Q3 2024-9.4%-6.8%-27.8%
Q2 2024+8.8%+16.8%+20.5%
Q1 2024+52.3%+65.4%+91.1%
Q4 2023+19.4%+46.3%+49.2%
Q3 2023+11.1%+16.6%+43.4%
Q2 2023-8.7%-14.4%-22.2%
Q1 2023+22.5%+30.6%+19.9%
Q4 2022+16.5%+12.1%-37.9%
Q3 2022+6.7%+18.9%+24.4%
Q2 2022+19.9%+28.7%+29.3%
Q1 2022-5.5%-5.7%-21.3%
Q4 2021+3.8%-0.5%+12.0%
Q3 2021+16.3%+12.4%+23.5%
Q2 2021-4.4%-4.0%+12.1%
Q1 2021-11.8%-13.7%-1.8%
Q4 2020-1.1%-1.0%-16.3%
Q3 2020+6.8%+8.4%+41.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%-3.8%+41.8%
Q1 2020+5.7%+17.8%+8.0%
Q4 2019-2.5%-18.1%-48.2%
Q3 2019+13.2%+11.5%+15.0%
Q2 2019-5.0%-2.0%-8.5%
Q1 2019+6.0%+9.3%+16.7%
Q4 2018+2.5%+5.1%-19.2%
Q3 2018+10.3%+10.6%-6.1%
Q2 2018-7.5%-8.7%-6.6%
Q1 2018+1.8%+5.4%+13.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%+1.8%-4.1%
Q3 2017+7.4%+9.0%+8.5%
Q2 2017+6.1%+4.2%-8.6%
Q1 2017+4.5%+9.2%+6.7%
Q4 2016-7.8%-4.8%-7.6%
Q3 2016-33.1%-34.8%-32.3%
Q2 2016-4.8%-3.2%+2.4%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+9.9%
Q3 2015-20.8%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q1 2015-4.5%
Q4 2012-10.3%
Q1 2013-10.3%
Q3 2013-16.2%
Q4 2014+13.6%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q4 2013+9.2%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014
Q1 2014
Q3 2012
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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