NYSE$ASPN

Aspen Aerogels Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Aspen Aerogels reported fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 financial results, announcing Statesboro, Georgia as the site for its 2nd manufacturing plant.

Aspen Aerogels reported a revenue increase of 21% for the full year 2021, driven by initial revenues in the electric vehicle market and recovery in the energy infrastructure market. However, the company experienced a net loss for both the quarter and the full year, impacted by COVID-related challenges and increased investments in personnel and infrastructure.

  • Total revenue for the fourth quarter was $31.5 million, compared to $23.0 million in the fourth quarter last year.
  • Fourth quarter net loss was $16.4 million, compared to a net loss of $6.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • The company carried a backlog of between $6 million and $8 million of fourth quarter orders into the first quarter of 2022 due to COVID related production constraints.
  • Aspen began shipments of production parts to major U.S. and Asian automotive customers during the fourth quarter and delivered $6.7 million of PyroThin thermal barriers during the year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$31.5M

Previous: $23M+36.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.50

Previous: -$0.23-117.4%
Capital Expenditures

$7.65M

Previous: $816K+836.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$19.7M

Previous: -$5.96M-230.5%
Net Income

-$16.4M

Previous: -$6.19M-164.2%
Operating Income

-$16.3M

Previous: -$6.13M-166.1%
Gross Profit

-$1.67M

Previous: $3.86M-143.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$76.6M

Previous: $16.5M+364.1%
Total Assets

$183M

Previous: $97.4M+87.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Aspen Aerogels · Revenue · Quarterly

$31.5M

Q4 2021+36.7%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aspen Aerogels · $125M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Energy Industrial
    $125M

Forward guidance

Aspen issues its 2022 full year outlook as follows: Total revenue is expected to range between $145.0 million and $155.0 million. Net loss is expected to range between $66.7 million and $70.7 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between $(42.0) million and $(46.0) million. Net loss per share is expected to range between $1.95 and $2.07

Tailwinds

  • Projecting solid revenue growth in each of our principal markets during 2022
  • Expecting a tripling of EV thermal barrier revenue to $20.0 million for the year
  • Increasing investment levels during the year to keep pace with rapidly growing e-mobility opportunities
  • Focusing investment on establishing an automated fabrication operation in Mexico
  • Enhancing the technical, commercial and operational teams and associated resources supporting our thermal barrier and carbon aerogel battery materials businesses.

Headwinds

  • Planned investments will expand Adjusted EBITDA loss and net loss in 2022 versus 2021
  • Assumes depreciation and amortization of $9.7 million
  • Assumes stock-based compensation expense of $8.2 million
  • Assumes interest expense of $6.8 million
  • Assumes weighted average shares outstanding of 34.2 million for the full year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

29 / 51 earnings

Positive

+52.3%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-44.7%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%+5.3%+9.9%
Q4 2025-26.7%-7.9%-7.3%
Q3 2025-44.7%-51.1%-52.2%
Q1 2025-24.3%+4.4%+5.8%
Q4 2024-23.4%-27.3%-37.2%
Q3 2024-9.4%-6.8%-27.8%
Q2 2024+8.8%+16.8%+20.5%
Q1 2024+52.3%+65.4%+91.1%
Q4 2023+19.4%+46.3%+49.2%
Q3 2023+11.1%+16.6%+43.4%
Q2 2023-8.7%-14.4%-22.2%
Q1 2023+22.5%+30.6%+19.9%
Q4 2022+16.5%+12.1%-37.9%
Q3 2022+6.7%+18.9%+24.4%
Q2 2022+19.9%+28.7%+29.3%
Q1 2022-5.5%-5.7%-21.3%
Q4 2021+3.8%-0.5%+12.0%
Q3 2021+16.3%+12.4%+23.5%
Q2 2021-4.4%-4.0%+12.1%
Q1 2021-11.8%-13.7%-1.8%
Q4 2020-1.1%-1.0%-16.3%
Q3 2020+6.8%+8.4%+41.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%-3.8%+41.8%
Q1 2020+5.7%+17.8%+8.0%
Q4 2019-2.5%-18.1%-48.2%
Q3 2019+13.2%+11.5%+15.0%
Q2 2019-5.0%-2.0%-8.5%
Q1 2019+6.0%+9.3%+16.7%
Q4 2018+2.5%+5.1%-19.2%
Q3 2018+10.3%+10.6%-6.1%
Q2 2018-7.5%-8.7%-6.6%
Q1 2018+1.8%+5.4%+13.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%+1.8%-4.1%
Q3 2017+7.4%+9.0%+8.5%
Q2 2017+6.1%+4.2%-8.6%
Q1 2017+4.5%+9.2%+6.7%
Q4 2016-7.8%-4.8%-7.6%
Q3 2016-33.1%-34.8%-32.3%
Q2 2016-4.8%-3.2%+2.4%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+9.9%
Q3 2015-20.8%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q1 2015-4.5%
Q4 2012-10.3%
Q1 2013-10.3%
Q3 2013-16.2%
Q4 2014+13.6%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q4 2013+9.2%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014
Q1 2014
Q3 2012
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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