NYSE$ASPN

Aspen Aerogels Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record quarterly revenue and improved gross margins.

Aspen Aerogels reported a strong fourth quarter in 2023, with record revenues of $84.2 million, a gross margin of 35%, and an adjusted EBITDA of $9.1 million. The company saw improvements in operating income and net loss compared to the previous year. They also provided a financial outlook for 2024, projecting revenue of at least $350 million and adjusted EBITDA of at least $30 million.

  • Achieved record company revenues of $84.2 million, up 41% year-over-year.
  • Delivered gross margins of 35%, a twelve-percentage point improvement quarter-over-quarter.
  • Reported operating income of $1.4 million, a $16.0 million improvement quarter-over-quarter.
  • Net loss improved to $0.5 million, a $9.1 million improvement year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$84.2M

Previous: $59.6M+41.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.01

Previous: -$0.20+95.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$9.1M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$27.8M

Previous: $58.6M-52.6%
Net Income

-$500K

Previous: -$9.61M+94.8%
Operating Income

$1.4M

Previous: -$9.67M+114.5%
Gross Profit

$29.6M

Previous: $14.3M+106.6%
R&D Expense

$4.08M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Aspen Aerogels · Revenue · Quarterly

$84.2M

Q4 2023+41.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aspen Aerogels · $125M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Energy Industrial
    $125M

Forward guidance

Aspen Aerogels expects total revenue to be at least $350 million, with approximately $150 million in Energy Industrial revenues, and $200 million in Thermal Barrier revenues. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be at least $30 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue is expected to be at least $350 million.
  • Energy Industrial revenues are projected to be approximately $150 million.
  • Thermal Barrier revenues are projected to be approximately $200 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be at least $30 million.
  • Net loss is expected to be under $23 million.

Headwinds

  • Net loss per share is expected to be under $0.30.
  • Capital Expenditures, excluding investments in Plant II, are expected to be $50 million.
  • Capital Expenditures for Plant II in the first half of 2024 are expected to be $30 million.
  • Capital Expenditures for Plant II an additional $15 million for the second half of 2024, assuming continued construction right-timing.
  • Aspen may incur additional charges, realize gains or losses, incur financing costs or interest expense, or experience other events in 2024, including those related to the planned capacity expansion, supply chain disruptions, or further cost inflation, that could cause actual results to vary materially from this outlook.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

29 / 51 earnings

Positive

+52.3%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-44.7%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%+5.3%+9.9%
Q4 2025-26.7%-7.9%-7.3%
Q3 2025-44.7%-51.1%-52.2%
Q1 2025-24.3%+4.4%+5.8%
Q4 2024-23.4%-27.3%-37.2%
Q3 2024-9.4%-6.8%-27.8%
Q2 2024+8.8%+16.8%+20.5%
Q1 2024+52.3%+65.4%+91.1%
Q4 2023+19.4%+46.3%+49.2%
Q3 2023+11.1%+16.6%+43.4%
Q2 2023-8.7%-14.4%-22.2%
Q1 2023+22.5%+30.6%+19.9%
Q4 2022+16.5%+12.1%-37.9%
Q3 2022+6.7%+18.9%+24.4%
Q2 2022+19.9%+28.7%+29.3%
Q1 2022-5.5%-5.7%-21.3%
Q4 2021+3.8%-0.5%+12.0%
Q3 2021+16.3%+12.4%+23.5%
Q2 2021-4.4%-4.0%+12.1%
Q1 2021-11.8%-13.7%-1.8%
Q4 2020-1.1%-1.0%-16.3%
Q3 2020+6.8%+8.4%+41.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%-3.8%+41.8%
Q1 2020+5.7%+17.8%+8.0%
Q4 2019-2.5%-18.1%-48.2%
Q3 2019+13.2%+11.5%+15.0%
Q2 2019-5.0%-2.0%-8.5%
Q1 2019+6.0%+9.3%+16.7%
Q4 2018+2.5%+5.1%-19.2%
Q3 2018+10.3%+10.6%-6.1%
Q2 2018-7.5%-8.7%-6.6%
Q1 2018+1.8%+5.4%+13.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%+1.8%-4.1%
Q3 2017+7.4%+9.0%+8.5%
Q2 2017+6.1%+4.2%-8.6%
Q1 2017+4.5%+9.2%+6.7%
Q4 2016-7.8%-4.8%-7.6%
Q3 2016-33.1%-34.8%-32.3%
Q2 2016-4.8%-3.2%+2.4%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+9.9%
Q3 2015-20.8%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q1 2015-4.5%
Q4 2012-10.3%
Q1 2013-10.3%
Q3 2013-16.2%
Q4 2014+13.6%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q4 2013+9.2%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014
Q1 2014
Q3 2012
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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