NYSE$ASPN

Aspen Aerogels Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2024, driven by significant revenue growth in both Thermal Barrier and Energy Industrial segments, improved profitability, and positive cash flow.

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. achieved record revenues of $123.1 million in Q4 2024, a 46% year-over-year increase, with net income reaching $11.4 million and Adjusted EBITDA at $22.7 million, demonstrating strong operational performance and profitability.

  • Record Company revenues of $123.1 million, up 46% year-over-year.
  • Net income of $11.4 million, an $11.9 million improvement year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $22.7 million, a $13.6 million or 149% improvement year-over-year.
  • Cash generated from operations of $35.7 million in the quarter drove $20.9 million of free cash flow.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$123M

Previous: $84.2M+46.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.14

Previous: -$0.01+1500.0%
Free Cash Flow

$20.9M

No prior period
Net Income

$11.4M

Previous: -$500K+2372.4%
Operating Income

$14.7M

Previous: $1.4M+950.9%
Gross Profit

$47.1M

Previous: $29.6M+59.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Aspen Aerogels · Revenue · Quarterly

$123M

Q4 2024+46.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aspen Aerogels · $125M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Energy Industrial
    $125M

Forward guidance

For Q1 2025, Aspen expects revenue to range between $75 million and $95 million, with a net loss between $15.0 million and breakeven, and Adjusted EBITDA between breakeven and $15 million.

Tailwinds

  • Q1 revenue expected to range between $75 million and $95 million.
  • Q1 Adjusted EBITDA expected to range between breakeven and $15 million.
  • Capital expenditures, excluding demobilization costs related to the Statesboro plant project, are expected to be less than $7 million.
  • Company is fully funded by a strong balance sheet to play offense and evaluate growth opportunities.
  • Actions taken to right-size fixed cost base and continue reducing CAPEX.

Headwinds

  • Q1 Net loss expected to range between $15.0 million and breakeven.
  • Q1 Net loss per share expected to range between $0.18 and breakeven.
  • Vehicle production will now be more directly driven by sales, implying potential volatility.
  • Potential for additional charges, gains or losses, financing costs, or interest expense in 2025.
  • Risks include inability to execute growth plan, customer contract cancellations, and supply chain disruptions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

29 / 51 earnings

Positive

+52.3%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-44.7%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%+5.3%+9.9%
Q4 2025-26.7%-7.9%-7.3%
Q3 2025-44.7%-51.1%-52.2%
Q1 2025-24.3%+4.4%+5.8%
Q4 2024-23.4%-27.3%-37.2%
Q3 2024-9.4%-6.8%-27.8%
Q2 2024+8.8%+16.8%+20.5%
Q1 2024+52.3%+65.4%+91.1%
Q4 2023+19.4%+46.3%+49.2%
Q3 2023+11.1%+16.6%+43.4%
Q2 2023-8.7%-14.4%-22.2%
Q1 2023+22.5%+30.6%+19.9%
Q4 2022+16.5%+12.1%-37.9%
Q3 2022+6.7%+18.9%+24.4%
Q2 2022+19.9%+28.7%+29.3%
Q1 2022-5.5%-5.7%-21.3%
Q4 2021+3.8%-0.5%+12.0%
Q3 2021+16.3%+12.4%+23.5%
Q2 2021-4.4%-4.0%+12.1%
Q1 2021-11.8%-13.7%-1.8%
Q4 2020-1.1%-1.0%-16.3%
Q3 2020+6.8%+8.4%+41.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%-3.8%+41.8%
Q1 2020+5.7%+17.8%+8.0%
Q4 2019-2.5%-18.1%-48.2%
Q3 2019+13.2%+11.5%+15.0%
Q2 2019-5.0%-2.0%-8.5%
Q1 2019+6.0%+9.3%+16.7%
Q4 2018+2.5%+5.1%-19.2%
Q3 2018+10.3%+10.6%-6.1%
Q2 2018-7.5%-8.7%-6.6%
Q1 2018+1.8%+5.4%+13.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%+1.8%-4.1%
Q3 2017+7.4%+9.0%+8.5%
Q2 2017+6.1%+4.2%-8.6%
Q1 2017+4.5%+9.2%+6.7%
Q4 2016-7.8%-4.8%-7.6%
Q3 2016-33.1%-34.8%-32.3%
Q2 2016-4.8%-3.2%+2.4%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+9.9%
Q3 2015-20.8%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q1 2015-4.5%
Q4 2012-10.3%
Q1 2013-10.3%
Q3 2013-16.2%
Q4 2014+13.6%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q4 2013+9.2%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014
Q1 2014
Q3 2012
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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