NYSE$ASPN

Aspen Aerogels Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a decrease in revenue due to subsea project slowdown and COVID-19 impacts, while making progress in the electric vehicle market.

Aspen Aerogels reported a 17% decrease in revenue for Q2 2020 compared to the previous year, primarily due to reduced subsea project work and the impact of COVID-19 on the maintenance business. Despite the revenue decline, the company saw year-over-year growth in on-shore project work, driven by strong demand in the LNG market. Aspen is making strides in leveraging its aerogel technology platform within the electric vehicle market.

  • Second quarter revenue decreased by 17% year-over-year due to subsea project slowdown and COVID-19 impacts.
  • Experienced year-over-year growth in on-shore project work, driven by LNG market demand.
  • Made progress in electric vehicle market initiatives, including cost and performance milestones with SKC Co., Ltd.
  • Received an initial order for silica aerogel blankets for thermal runaway mitigation from a major Asian electric vehicle producer.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$24.6M

Previous: $29.5M-16.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.21

Previous: -$0.22+4.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

-$2.08M

Previous: -$1.65M-25.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.98M

Previous: -$1.3M-51.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$7.68M

Previous: -$6.62M-15.9%
Net Income

-$5.7M

Previous: -$5.32M-7.1%
Operating Income

-$5.65M

Previous: -$5.22M-8.3%
Gross Profit

$2.85M

Previous: $3.51M-18.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$13.4M

Previous: $3.32M+302.1%
Total Assets

$97.5M

Previous: $102M-4.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Aspen Aerogels · Revenue · Quarterly

$24.6M

Q2 2020-16.6%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aspen Aerogels · $125M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Energy Industrial
    $125M

Forward guidance

Aspen issues a new 2020 full year outlook as follows:

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue is expected to range between $104 million and $110 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between $(3.0) million and $0.0 million
  • Aspen’s new 2020 outlook assumes depreciation and amortization of $10.5 million
  • Aspen’s new 2020 outlook assumes stock-based compensation expense of $4.0 million
  • Aspen’s new 2020 outlook assumes interest and other expense of $0.2 million, and weighted average shares outstanding of 26.3 million for the full year.

Headwinds

  • Net loss is expected to range between $17.7 million and $14.7 million
  • Net loss per share is expected to range between $0.67 and $0.55
  • Anticipate that contractor access issues at energy facilities will continue to reduce demand for our products during the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Expect to experience a year-over-year decrease in revenue during the second half of the year
  • Expect to experience an increase in net loss and a decrease in Adjusted EBITDA during the second half of the year

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

29 / 51 earnings

Positive

+52.3%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-44.7%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%+5.3%+9.9%
Q4 2025-26.7%-7.9%-7.3%
Q3 2025-44.7%-51.1%-52.2%
Q1 2025-24.3%+4.4%+5.8%
Q4 2024-23.4%-27.3%-37.2%
Q3 2024-9.4%-6.8%-27.8%
Q2 2024+8.8%+16.8%+20.5%
Q1 2024+52.3%+65.4%+91.1%
Q4 2023+19.4%+46.3%+49.2%
Q3 2023+11.1%+16.6%+43.4%
Q2 2023-8.7%-14.4%-22.2%
Q1 2023+22.5%+30.6%+19.9%
Q4 2022+16.5%+12.1%-37.9%
Q3 2022+6.7%+18.9%+24.4%
Q2 2022+19.9%+28.7%+29.3%
Q1 2022-5.5%-5.7%-21.3%
Q4 2021+3.8%-0.5%+12.0%
Q3 2021+16.3%+12.4%+23.5%
Q2 2021-4.4%-4.0%+12.1%
Q1 2021-11.8%-13.7%-1.8%
Q4 2020-1.1%-1.0%-16.3%
Q3 2020+6.8%+8.4%+41.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%-3.8%+41.8%
Q1 2020+5.7%+17.8%+8.0%
Q4 2019-2.5%-18.1%-48.2%
Q3 2019+13.2%+11.5%+15.0%
Q2 2019-5.0%-2.0%-8.5%
Q1 2019+6.0%+9.3%+16.7%
Q4 2018+2.5%+5.1%-19.2%
Q3 2018+10.3%+10.6%-6.1%
Q2 2018-7.5%-8.7%-6.6%
Q1 2018+1.8%+5.4%+13.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%+1.8%-4.1%
Q3 2017+7.4%+9.0%+8.5%
Q2 2017+6.1%+4.2%-8.6%
Q1 2017+4.5%+9.2%+6.7%
Q4 2016-7.8%-4.8%-7.6%
Q3 2016-33.1%-34.8%-32.3%
Q2 2016-4.8%-3.2%+2.4%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+9.9%
Q3 2015-20.8%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q1 2015-4.5%
Q4 2012-10.3%
Q1 2013-10.3%
Q3 2013-16.2%
Q4 2014+13.6%
Q2 2013+9.2%
Q4 2013+9.2%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014
Q1 2014
Q3 2012
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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