NYSE$AFG
American Financial Group Inc · Q2 2022 earnings
Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
American Financial Group reported strong Q2 2022 results with increased core net operating earnings and a record underwriting profit in the Specialty P&C segment.
American Financial Group (AFG) reported a net income of $167 million ($1.96 per share) for Q2 2022, compared to $1.0 billion ($11.70 per share) in Q2 2021. Core net operating earnings were $243 million ($2.85 per share), up from $205 million ($2.39 per share) in the prior year. The Specialty P&C operations achieved a record underwriting profit, and the company increased its full-year core net operating earnings guidance.
- Net earnings per share were $1.96, including a negative impact of $0.89 from after-tax non-core items.
- Core net operating earnings per share increased by 19% year-over-year to $2.85.
- The annualized return on equity was 14.3%, with a core operating ROE of 20.7%.
- Full-year 2022 core net operating earnings guidance was raised to $10.75—$11.75 per share.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
AFG · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.54B
Revenue by segment
AFG · $1.39B total across 1 segment · Q2 2022
- Net Earned Premiums$1.39B—100.0%
Forward guidance
AFG expects core net operating earnings in 2022 to be in the range of $10.75 to $11.75 per share. The guidance reflects higher expected underwriting profit in Specialty Casualty and Specialty Financial Groups, the current interest rate environment, and an overall annual yield of 10%-12% on alternative investments for the full year.
Tailwinds
- Higher expected underwriting profit in Specialty Casualty and Specialty Financial Groups.
- Impact of the current interest rate environment on investment income.
- Overall annual yield of 10%-12% on alternative investments for the full year.
- Market remains firm throughout 2022, allowing AFG to act on business opportunities.
- Expect net written premiums to be 9% to 13% higher than the $5.6 billion reported in 2021.
Headwinds
- Minimal income from alternative investments in the second half of 2022.
- Continued strong performance of multi-family housing investments will offset weaker performance of traditional private equity investments.
- Guidance continues to reflect an average crop year.
- Core earnings per share guidance excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses.
- Other significant items that are not able to be estimated with reasonable precision.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022
+0.2%
Avg return
Earnings day
+0.9%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.8%
Avg return
30 days after
59%
40 / 68 earnings
Positive
+6.7%
Q3 2021
Best reaction
-9.0%
Q1 2020
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.0% | -0.8% | -2.6% | |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7% | -0.5% | +0.4% | |
| Q3 2025 | +2.7% | +8.2% | +0.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | -6.3% | -5.0% | -3.7% | |
| Q4 2024 | -6.2% | -7.0% | -6.5% | |
| Q3 2024 | +5.5% | +9.4% | +13.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | +0.1% | +3.2% | +7.8% | |
| Q1 2024 | -0.1% | +1.8% | +1.7% | |
| Q4 2023 | +3.1% | +3.5% | +8.4% | |
| Q3 2023 | -0.5% | +0.9% | +6.5% | |
| Q2 2023 | -7.6% | -6.8% | -3.6% | |
| Q1 2023 | -5.8% | -5.9% | -8.4% | |
| Q4 2022 | -5.5% | -4.2% | -6.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | +0.3% | +2.0% | -2.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | -3.4% | -1.9% | -2.3% | |
| Q1 2022 | +4.8% | +1.8% | -1.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | +2.5% | +1.8% | +2.2% | |
| Q3 2021 | +6.7% | +5.2% | +0.8% | |
| Q2 2021 | +2.5% | +4.4% | +9.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | +0.9% | +3.8% | +11.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | +3.2% | +10.3% | +21.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +0.5% | +4.1% | +25.9% | |
| Q2 2020 | +1.0% | +6.5% | +8.5% | |
| Q1 2020 | -9.0% | -17.2% | +1.4% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.2% | +4.1% | -12.2% | |
| Q3 2019 | +0.9% | +2.8% | +7.9% | |
| Q2 2019 | +3.0% | +5.1% | +6.1% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.0% | +0.7% | -5.1% | |
| Q4 2018 | +1.1% | -0.0% | +5.7% | |
| Q3 2018 | -0.1% | +0.1% | +2.6% | |
| Q2 2018 | +0.8% | +0.4% | -1.2% | |
| Q1 2018 | -3.9% | -2.3% | -2.5% | |
| Q4 2017 | +6.4% | -1.2% | -2.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -3.4% | -2.5% | -0.3% | |
| Q2 2017 | +3.4% | +3.2% | +0.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | +3.7% | +1.8% | +3.2% | |
| Q4 2016 | +5.6% | +5.6% | +10.4% | |
| Q3 2016 | +2.0% | -0.3% | +11.2% | |
| Q2 2016 | -1.4% | +0.6% | +2.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +3.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +3.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +0.4% | — | — |
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