NASDAQ$SHYF

The Shyft Group Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a decrease in sales and net loss compared to the previous year, with positive cash generation driven by Specialty Vehicles business.

The Shyft Group reported a decrease in sales to $202.3 million and a net loss of $4.4 million for Q4 2023, compared to sales of $302.0 million and net income of $17.8 million in Q4 2022. The company's Specialty Vehicles business delivered strong profitability, while Fleet Vehicles and Services performance was underwhelming. The company introduces 2024 outlook with sales of $850 to $900 million and adjusted EBITDA of $40 to $50 million.

  • Sales decreased to $202.3 million, a 33.0% decrease from $302.0 million year-over-year.
  • Net loss was $4.4 million, or ($0.13) per share, compared to net income of $17.8 million, or $0.50 per share year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $2.3 million, or 1.1% of sales, from $30.7 million, or 10.2% of sales year-over-year.
  • Consolidated backlog decreased to $409.3 million, down 50.9% compared to $832.7 million year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$202M

Previous: $302M-33.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.03

Previous: $0.58-105.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.59M

Previous: $6.34M-172.4%
Net Income

-$4.4M

Previous: $17.8M-124.7%
Operating Income

-$6M

Previous: $27.7M-121.7%
Gross Profit

$27.9M

Previous: $58.3M-52.1%
R&D Expense

$7.12M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2.65M

Previous: $2.7M-1.9%

Revenue & EPS history

The Shyft Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$202M

Q4 2023-33%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

The Shyft Group · $187M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Fleet Vehicles & Services
    $121M
  • Specialty Chassis & Vehicles
    $66M

Forward guidance

The company provided full-year 2024 guidance with sales expected to be in the range of $850 million to $900 million and adjusted EBITDA of $40 to $50 million.

Tailwinds

  • Sales to be in the range of $850 million to $900 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $40 to $50 million, including EV spending of $20 to $25 million.
  • Net income of $2.5 to $10.5 million, with an income tax rate of approximately 20%.
  • Earnings per share of $0.07 to $0.30.
  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.28 to $0.51

Headwinds

  • Challenging demand environment for parcel and motorhome is expected to continue in the first half of 2024.
  • Assumes no Blue Arc EV revenue.
  • EV spending of $20 to $25 million.
  • Capital expenditures of approximately $20 to 25 million.
  • Actively managing and navigating a highly dynamic demand environment in 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 6 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+9.1%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

38 / 62 earnings

Positive

+28.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-33.6%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025
Q1 2025+4.6%+0.0%+19.9%
Q4 2025-1.0%-14.6%-28.4%
Q3 2024+4.3%+11.8%+17.8%
Q2 2024+18.5%+42.2%+21.8%
Q1 2024+4.8%+1.3%+17.6%
Q4 2023+2.8%-7.2%+5.8%
Q3 2023-5.9%
Q2 2023-28.5%
Q1 2023+6.4%
Q4 2022-15.4%
Q3 2022+2.9%
Q2 2022+12.8%
Q1 2022-9.7%
Q4 2021-3.4%
Q3 2021+18.5%
Q2 2021+3.9%
Q1 2021+7.7%
Q4 2020+18.7%
Q3 2020+4.0%
Q2 2020+1.3%
Q1 2020+28.0%
Q4 2019+2.8%
Q3 2019+16.0%
Q2 2019+8.3%
Q1 2019+0.4%
Q4 2018+4.9%
Q3 2018-33.6%
Q2 2018+7.3%
Q1 2018-6.8%
Q4 2017+13.2%
Q3 2017-5.6%
Q2 2017+4.0%
Q1 2017+4.1%
Q4 2016-15.1%
Q3 2016+3.2%
Q2 2016+4.1%
Q1 2016+13.4%
Q4 2015+21.0%
Q3 2015-1.2%
Q2 2015+6.1%
Q1 2015-6.4%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+12.5%
Q2 2014+3.0%
Q1 2014-6.0%
Q4 2013-3.7%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013-1.8%
Q1 2013+3.9%
Q4 2012-4.3%
Q3 2012-2.1%
Q2 2012+6.6%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2010-6.5%
Q3 2011-6.5%
Q2 2010+2.0%
Q2 2011+2.0%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q1 2010+2.0%

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