NASDAQ$SHYF

The Shyft Group Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported Q1 sales growth and significant year-over-year profitability improvement.

The Shyft Group reported Q1 2023 sales of $243.4 million, an 18% increase compared to the prior year. Net income was $1.7 million, or $0.05 per share, compared to a loss of $3.9 million, or loss of $0.11 per share in the prior year. The company reaffirmed its 2023 sales and profit outlook.

  • Sales increased by 17.7% to $243.4 million compared to the first quarter of 2022.
  • Net income improved to $1.7 million, or $0.05 per share, compared to a net loss of $3.9 million, or loss of $0.11 per share in the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by $11.4 million to $10.8 million, or 4.4% of sales, from a loss of $0.6 million, or 0.3% of sales in the prior year.
  • Consolidated backlog decreased by 47.6% to $667.4 million as of March 31, 2023, compared to $1.3 billion as of March 31, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$243M

Previous: $207M+17.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.12

Previous: -$0.06+300.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$10.8M

Previous: -$600K+1900.0%
Capital Expenditures

$4.47M

Previous: $5.51M-19.0%
Free Cash Flow

$1.42M

Previous: -$33.3M+104.3%
Net Income

$1.7M

Previous: -$3.9M+143.6%
Operating Income

$4.3M

Previous: -$3.9M+210.3%
Gross Profit

$42.9M

Previous: $25.9M+65.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$19.5K

Previous: $3.69M-99.5%
Total Assets

$557M

Previous: $459M+21.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.83M

Previous: $1.65M+10.9%

Revenue & EPS history

The Shyft Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$243M

Q1 2023+17.7%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

The Shyft Group · $187M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Fleet Vehicles & Services
    $121M
  • Specialty Chassis & Vehicles
    $66M

Forward guidance

The company reaffirmed its 2023 outlook, projecting sales between $1.0 billion and $1.2 billion, adjusted EBITDA between $70 million and $100 million, and earnings per share between $0.77 and $1.39.

Tailwinds

  • Sales to be in the range of $1.0 billion to $1.2 billion
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $70 to $100 million
  • Net income of $28 to $50 million, with an income tax rate of approximately 25%
  • Earnings per share of $0.77 to $1.39
  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.98 to $1.60

Headwinds

  • Capital expenditures of approximately $35 million
  • Mixed demand signals create caution in the short term.
  • Exposure to changes in the operating environment.
  • Potential changes in operating environment could impact outlook.
  • No specific negative items mentioned besides expense and external factors.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 6 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+9.1%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

38 / 62 earnings

Positive

+28.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-33.6%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025
Q1 2025+4.6%+0.0%+19.9%
Q4 2025-1.0%-14.6%-28.4%
Q3 2024+4.3%+11.8%+17.8%
Q2 2024+18.5%+42.2%+21.8%
Q1 2024+4.8%+1.3%+17.6%
Q4 2023+2.8%-7.2%+5.8%
Q3 2023-5.9%
Q2 2023-28.5%
Q1 2023+6.4%
Q4 2022-15.4%
Q3 2022+2.9%
Q2 2022+12.8%
Q1 2022-9.7%
Q4 2021-3.4%
Q3 2021+18.5%
Q2 2021+3.9%
Q1 2021+7.7%
Q4 2020+18.7%
Q3 2020+4.0%
Q2 2020+1.3%
Q1 2020+28.0%
Q4 2019+2.8%
Q3 2019+16.0%
Q2 2019+8.3%
Q1 2019+0.4%
Q4 2018+4.9%
Q3 2018-33.6%
Q2 2018+7.3%
Q1 2018-6.8%
Q4 2017+13.2%
Q3 2017-5.6%
Q2 2017+4.0%
Q1 2017+4.1%
Q4 2016-15.1%
Q3 2016+3.2%
Q2 2016+4.1%
Q1 2016+13.4%
Q4 2015+21.0%
Q3 2015-1.2%
Q2 2015+6.1%
Q1 2015-6.4%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+12.5%
Q2 2014+3.0%
Q1 2014-6.0%
Q4 2013-3.7%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013-1.8%
Q1 2013+3.9%
Q4 2012-4.3%
Q3 2012-2.1%
Q2 2012+6.6%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2010-6.5%
Q3 2011-6.5%
Q2 2010+2.0%
Q2 2011+2.0%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q1 2010+2.0%

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